Deformation at Stromboli volcano (Italy) revealed by rock mechanics and structural geology     

A Tibaldi  C Corazzato  T Apuani  A Cancelli 《Tectonophysics》2003,361(3-4):187-204

We approach the reconstruction of the recent structural evolution of Stromboli volcano (Italy) and the analysis of the interplay between tectonics, gravity and volcanic deformation. By tying together structural, lithostratigraphic and rock mechanics data, we establish that since 100 ka BP, the edifice has faulted and jointed mainly along NE-striking planes. Faults mostly dip to the NW with normal displacement. Taking also into account the presence of a NW-trending regional least principal stress and of tectonic earthquake hypocenters inside the cone, we suggest that this fracturing can be related to the transmission of tectonic forces from the basement to the cone. Dyking concentrated along a main NE-trending weakness zone (NEZ) across the volcano summit, resembling a volcanic rift, whose geometry is governed by the tectonic field. In the past 13 ka, Stromboli experienced a reorganisation of the strain field, which was linked with the development of four sector collapses affecting the NW flank, alternating with growth phases. The tectonic strain field interplayed with dyking and fracturing related to unbuttressing along the collapse shoulders. We propose that tectonics control the geometry of dykes inside the cone and that these, in turn, contribute to destabilise the cone flanks.  相似文献   

A statistical approach to evaluating distance metrics and analog assignments for pollen records     

Daniel G. Gavin  W. Wyatt Oswald  Eugene R. Wahl  John W. Williams 《Quaternary Research》2003,60(3):356-367

The modern analog technique typically uses a distance metric to determine the dissimilarity between fossil and modern biological assemblages. Despite this quantitative approach, interpretation of distance metrics is usually qualitative and rules for selection of analogs tend to be ad hoc. We present a statistical tool, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, which provides a framework for identifying analogs from distance metrics. If modern assemblages are placed into groups (e.g., biomes), this method can (1) evaluate the ability of different distance metrics to distinguish among groups, (2) objectively identify thresholds of the distance metric for determining analogs, and (3) compute a likelihood ratio and a Bayesian probability that a modern group is an analog for an unknown (fossil) assemblage. Applied to a set of 1689 modern pollen assemblages from eastern North America classified into eight biomes, ROC analysis confirmed that the squared-chord distance (SCD) outperforms most other distance metrics. The optimal threshold increased when more dissimilar biomes were compared. The probability of an analog vs no-analog result (a likelihood ratio) increased sharply when SCD decreased below the optimal threshold, indicating a nonlinear relationship between SCD and the probability of analog. Probabilities of analog computed for a postglacial pollen record at Tannersville Bog (Pennsylvania, USA) identified transitions between biomes and periods of no analog.  相似文献   

黄壁庄水库副坝塌坑Ⅳ76+1槽段安全监测     

曹荣祥  李强  周启 《岩土力学》2003,(Z1)

介绍了黄壁庄水库副坝塌坑Ⅳ76+1槽段进行的安全监测设计及根据此设计进行的安全监测实施,根据取得的监测资料解决了一直未能确定的主要变形地层的问题,为水库的加固施工和后期的运行安全提供了一定的依据。  相似文献   

南昌市呼吸道和脑血管疾病与天气类型关系的初步分析     

喻迎春  刘熙明  雷桂莲  刘志萍 《气象与减灾研究》2003,26(2):40-42

使用南昌市4家大医院(江西医学院第二附属医院、江西省肺科医院、南昌市第一医院、南昌市中西医结合医院)1999年呼吸道和脑血管两大类常见疾病的住院病例数,挑选出发病高峰期,对照相应日期的天气图进行分析,发现夏季的低气压和其它季节的冷空气是诱发或加重呼吸道和脑血管疾病的主要因素,气温或气压的变化对疾病的诱发或加重具有一定的滞后性。  相似文献   

干热风年型的模糊综合评判     

郭小芹  王宇春 《干旱气象》1997,(4)

根据武威１９８０—１９９７年春小麦产量和气候资料，利用模糊综合评判对干热风年型进行预测。预报效果好，实用性强。  相似文献   

震后震型早期判定的人工神经网络方法     

杨仕升 《华南地震》1997,17(4):42-47

应用人工神经网络的方法，利用３０次强震震后１天和２天内的地震资料作为学习样本，对广西及其邻区发生的４次地震的震型作了早期预测判定，结果表明应用效果较好，正确率达７５％。该方法值得进一步研究。  相似文献   

中国东部旱涝型的研究   总被引：12，自引：1，他引：12       下载免费PDF全文

叶瑾琳王绍武  李晓东 《应用气象学报》1997,8(1):69-77

文章利用中国东部25个站524年（1470～1993年）的旱涝级别资料分析了中国东部旱涝的空间分布，比较了EOF方法和REOF方法的不同点，研究指出可用6个中心地区的旱涝情况来补充原来划分的6种旱涝型，使得旱涝中心更明确，旱涝分布更符合实际情况，突出体现了REOF在旱涝型研究中的优点。最后给出了近五百年中国东部的主要旱涝中心及特征。  相似文献   

龙门山地区泥盆纪碳酸盐与硅质碎屑的混积相与混积机理   总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7       下载免费PDF全文

李祥辉  刘文均  郑荣才 《沉积与特提斯地质》1997,17(3):1-10

碳酸盐与陆源碎屑的混合沉积研究至今尚未引起足够重视。文献屈指可数。扬子西经缘龙门山地区盆纪发育了了这类良好的混合沉积。作者根据实际材料，首次从这一思路出发，识别该区泥盆纪Ｅｍｓｉａｎ期到Ｇｉｖｅｔｉａｎ早期的混积相四种，混积亚相约１４种，阐明了其优势混积作用；根据混积作用特征、沉积背景关系，划分出两大混积类型，即泥质背景下的混积１型和砂灰质背景下的混积Ⅱ型；对混积作用机理进行了探讨；并指出不同级次  相似文献   

中国分省地质灾害图集与主要地质灾害类型   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

段永侯 《水文地质工程地质》1997,24(4):49-52

本文阐述了中国分省地质灾害图编图的意义，编图原则和方法，通过分省地质灾害图集的编制和大量资料的综合分析，提出了我国主要地质灾害类型的分类方案，论述了我国地质灾害发育的基本特点与发展趋势。  相似文献   

地区发展水平衡量指标体系设计及实例分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

朱振国  吴楚材 《热带地理》1997,17(3):225-232

选定地区发展水平衡量指标，测度区域社会，经济，文化发展水平或发育程度是一项有重要的工作，本文试图为量度我国西部地区发展水平提供一套昼完整的指标体系，并对一个具体实例进行衡量和计算，由此说明地区的区内发展程度的差异，划分区域发展的不同类型。  相似文献