模型误差对平差结果及其参数估计性质的影响分析     

丁士俊 《四川测绘》1997,(1)

本文从模型误差的理论出发，讨论了模型误差对平差结果及其参数估计性质的影响，提出了当存在模型误差时，采用均方差对平差模型及其结果进行估价更为合理．  相似文献   

地图手工数字化对点误差的统计分布     

史文中  刘文宝 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》1997,(1)

定义了对点误差，导出了统计分布密度和分布函数，给出了矩母函数、特征函数和数字特征，以及对点误差及其投影分量和标准化分布  相似文献   

论光电测距仪的周期误差和相位不均匀性误差     

徐前徽 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》1997,(2)

论述了测距仪周期误差及相位不均匀性误差的性质，分析了这些误差对距离测量的影响，给出了实验结果，提出了改进有关误差检定的建议  相似文献   

德国卫星定位与导航服务计划     

刘经南  闵宜仁 《测绘通报》1997,(8):37-39

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国家级数值预报产品分发系统          下载免费PDF全文

相秀珍 《气象》1997,23(8):21-24

随着９２１０工程系统建设的完成，Ｔ１０６中期数值预报产品分发采用了地面通信系统和卫星通信系统两种传输路径。地面通信系统由于受传输能力限制，国家气象中心根据区域、省，地市级的不同接收能力，采取了３种不同的传输方式以满足各级气象台站的需求；  相似文献   

参考大气谱方法在国家气象中心谱模式上的应用          下载免费PDF全文

杨学胜  陈嘉滨 《应用气象学报》1997,8(1):109-113

参考大气引入中期谱模式，能有效地减少截谱误差，提高预报精度。文章主要叙述了参考大气在国家气象中心业务预报谱模式上的进一步发展。计算结果表明，引入参考大气后，T63预报质量和降水的TS评分均有一定程度的提高。  相似文献   

DOES WIND STRESS DEPEND ON SEA-STATE OR NOT? – A STATISTICAL ERROR ANALYSIS OF HEXMAX DATA     

J. A. M. JANSSEN 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》1997,83(3):479-503

There have been several claims, either explicit or by implication, either based on experimental evidence or on theoretical reasoning, that the wind stress is modified by the stage of development of the wind sea. However, the overall evidence is weak, because theories are still incomplete and because it is questionable whether the sea-state effect, which is of the order of 10%, can be separated from experimental noise, which is of the order of 20%. In this paper a rigorous statistical analysis of HEXMAX data is pursued in order to establish the significance of sea-state effects. It appears that the enhanced drag, especially at high winds, which has already been established by previous analyses, cannot be attributed to the effect of young waves. The analysis provides no clues for the actual mechanism, which could be related to breaking or shoaling waves. As the effect of sea-state on wind stress is much smaller than the experimental noise level, it is hard to detect. Nevertheless, HEXMAX seems to contain a wave effect that is at the edge of statistical significance. It is, however, not the wave age itself that influences the drag, but a parameter involving wave height.Because the HEXMAX evidence is only indicative, we conclude that the issue set out in this paper cannot be answered on the basis of the HEXMAX data alone. It is recommended that error analyses are also carried out for other relevant observational data sets and that new measurements with suppressed noise will be taken up.  相似文献   

Multiresolution Flux Decomposition     

J. F. Howell  L. Mahrt 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》1997,83(1):117-137

Geophysical variables are orthogonally decomposed by averaging timeseries using different averaging lengths, referred to as a (Haar)multiresolution decomposition. This simple and economic decomposition isassociated with cospectra that formally satisfy Reynolds averaging rules foreach averaging length. The multiresolution decomposition provides a naturalestimate of the random error in estimating a mean turbulent flux. The Fourierand multiresolution decompositions are compared using aircraft data fromBOREAS.  相似文献   

用卡尔曼滤波预报南海热带气旋路径的试验   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

刘春霞  周家斌 《热带气象学报》1997,13(4):359-356

利用卡尔曼滤波方法预报南海热带气旋路径，发现采用卡尔曼滤波可以大大地降低预报误差，提高预测模型的预报能力。  相似文献   

古洪水流量的误差计算   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

谢悦波 《水文》1997,(1):6-11

古洪水研究已在大型工程和长江三峡，黄河小浪底等的设计洪水中得到动用取得了令人虚心成功，但古洪水流量的推求与实测量的计算往往有大的差别，根据随机误差的传播给出了一般情况下的古洪不流量推误差计算公式，以小流底２３６０ａＢＰ古洪水注同误差的计算为例，对最终计算出的古洪水流量成果给出了一个误差范围。  相似文献