Prediction of Resource Volumes at Untested Locations Using Simple Local Prediction Models   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Emil D. Attanasi  Timothy C. Coburn  Philip A. Freeman 《Natural Resources Research》2006,15(4):223-239

This paper shows how local spatial nonparametric prediction models can be applied to estimate volumes of recoverable gas resources at individual undrilled sites, at multiple sites on a regional scale, and to compute confidence bounds for regional volumes based on the distribution of those estimates. An approach that combines cross-validation, the jackknife, and bootstrap procedures is used to accomplish this task. Simulation experiments show that cross-validation can be applied beneficially to select an appropriate prediction model. The cross-validation procedure worked well for a wide range of different states of nature and levels of information. Jackknife procedures are used to compute individual prediction estimation errors at undrilled locations. The jackknife replicates also are used with a bootstrap resampling procedure to compute confidence bounds for the total volume. The method was applied to data (partitioned into a training set and target set) from the Devonian Antrim Shale continuous-type gas play in the Michigan Basin in Otsego County, Michigan. The analysis showed that the model estimate of total recoverable volumes at prediction sites is within 4 percent of the total observed volume. The model predictions also provide frequency distributions of the cell volumes at the production unit scale. Such distributions are the basis for subsequent economic analyses.

Emil D. AttanasiEmail:

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Geography Department Weather Forecasting Contests in the 21st Century     

《The Journal of geography》2012,111(3):129-132

Abstract

The benefits of weather forecasting contests within geography departments are reaffirmed. The greatly increased ease of conducting such contests in the new millennium is stressed. Some of the specifics of the forecasting contest at Salisbury University are discussed. In addition, the advantages of a departmental contest over a national contest are presented, and suggestions for future research are listed.  相似文献   

基于互联网信息的城市商业游憩网点空间竞争域划分研究     

曹瑞  李仁杰  傅学庆  张军海 《地理与地理信息科学》2012,28(3):54-58,67

提出了一种基于互联网信息的空间竞争域划分方法。在Voronoi图的模型中尝试以网络平台数据作加权因子,使空间竞争域体现互联网中的消费者偏好差异,通过对加权Voronoi图的类型划分和地理学解释,描述竞争环境的空间特征。以北京市健身俱乐部为例,选择大众点评网、爱帮等网络平台信息作为权重因子,构建样本网点的传统Voronoi、互联网信息加权Voronoi计算模型并对比边界线、面积等空间特征分析的结果表明:互联网信息对城市商业游憩网点的空间竞争力产生着不同的影响强度,对Voronoi图空间特征的分类和地理解释可以指示商业网点跨越距离阻碍的消费吸引力及竞争差异,弥补传统加权方法未考虑消费者偏好和购物习惯而对竞争域划分表达不足的缺点。  相似文献   

广东湛江红树林国家级自然保护区资源管理策略     

陈粤超  陈菁菁 《湿地科学与管理》2012,8(1):17-19

阐述了广东湛江红树林国家级自然保护区的资源管理现状,分析了资源管理方面存在的问题,探讨积极的保护策略和自然保护新思维。  相似文献   

GEOCAB Portal: A gateway for discovering and accessing capacity building resources in Earth Observation     

《International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation》2017

The discovery of and access to capacity building resources are often essential to conduct environmental projects based on Earth Observation (EO) resources, whether they are Earth Observation products, methodological tools, techniques, organizations that impart training in these techniques or even projects that have shown practical achievements. Recognizing this opportunity and need, the European Commission through two FP7 projects jointly with the Group on Earth Observations (GEO) teamed up with the Committee on Earth observation Satellites (CEOS). The Global Earth Observation CApacity Building (GEOCAB) portal aims at compiling all current capacity building efforts on the use of EO data for societal benefits into an easily updateable and user-friendly portal. GEOCAB offers a faceted search to improve user discovery experience with a fully interactive world map with all inventoried projects and activities. This paper focuses on the conceptual framework used to implement the underlying platform. An ISO19115 metadata model associated with a terminological repository are the core elements that provide a semantic search application and an interoperable discovery service. The organization and the contribution of different user communities to ensure the management and the update of the content of GEOCAB are addressed.  相似文献   

中国地理与资源期刊集群化服务平台的发展与实践   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2  

朱晓华  何书金  袁丽华 《地理学报》2017,72(5):918-941

学术期刊的集群发展已经成为国际趋势,国外出版集团稳居科技期刊的霸主地位,中国科技期刊的集群化发展还处于起步阶段。自2006年起,中国地理与资源期刊及其期刊人经过10年持续不断的努力,积极应对国内外期刊发展的机遇与挑战,勇于创新,已经基本形成中国地理与资源期刊集群化服务平台发展的战略构想,并成功地推出了拥有54家加盟期刊并且模块功能完备的集群化服务平台网站（www.geores.com.cn）、统一的在线采编系统、底层数据的结构化、富媒体出版、手机APP与微信服务公众号、数据出版、科研云助手系统、媒体宣传与推广、中国地理与资源权威专家库、中国地理会议服务系统、中国地理编辑出版年会、不定期的专题性期刊沙龙、《中国地理与资源国情快报》政策版与科普版、“具影响力中国地理期刊优秀论文”等14项具有显示度的期刊多元增值产品,事业思路清晰,行动果敢有力,工作扎实有序,集群功能完备,投入产出比高,极大地推动了中国地理与资源期刊由传统纸质出版向富媒体出版、由文献生产者向学科与社会集成型知识服务提供平台的两大根本性转型,这使得中国地理与资源期刊更加掌握了主动,把握了先机,开启了中国地理与资源期刊集群发展的新局面和新时代。  相似文献   

地方政府竞争对城市土地利用效率影响分析     

周游  谭光荣 《地域研究与开发》2017,36(3)

利用面板随机前沿分析法研究了2009-2015年期间地方政府竞争对中国城市土地利用效率的影响,为规范地方政府的竞争行为并提高中国城市土地利用效率提供政策参考.研究结果表明:地方政府基础设施竞争对中国城市土地技术效率的提高具有促进作用,但效果并不显著,而地方政府财政收支竞争、土地优惠政策竞争及外商直接投资竞争都不利于城市土地利用效率的提高.进一步测算各地区土地利用的技术效率发现,地方政府竞争影响下中国东、中、西部城市土地利用个体技术效率均出现明显下降.因此,应进一步完善城市土地利用中的地方政府竞争关系,改革地方政府官员考核机制,为城市土地集约利用提供良好政策环境.  相似文献   

中国地理与资源期刊集群微信公众号的发展与实践     

刘宇峰  朱晓华  何书金  袁丽华  李义 《地理研究》2018,37(11):2355-2360

在“互联网+”时代,微信公众号服务在社会各行业、各领域得到广泛普及,在学术传播方面,能够有效地帮助期刊传播科学文化,增加期刊与读者群之间的“粘性”,扩大期刊的学术影响力和社会知名度。本文对中国地理与资源期刊集群微信公众号的运营发展过程进行总结,同时基于微信后台数据,对微信公众号取得的实践成效进行统计分析,结果表明：① 微信公众号的创立是扩大受众范围、有效传播科学文化、提高期刊影响力的重要手段;② 微信公众号的科学定位、标题创意设计、内容创新以及广泛宣传是吸引公众、提高期刊知名度的必要举措;③ 中国地理与资源期刊集群微信公众号实践成效显著。最后从重视微信用户体验、优化平台菜单设置、增加平台与用户互动及加大宣传力度等几方面提出打造品牌微信公众号的对策建议。  相似文献   

Exploitation or 'Wise Use' of the Coongie Lakes,South Australia: Issues arising from a petroleum exploration proposal     

Thomas Jenkin 《The Australian geographer》1999,30(3):355-371

The exploitation of natural resources within areas that are valued for their environmental qualities raises competing emotions. This paper considers a proposal to undertake petroleum exploration in an area of recognised environmental value, namely, the Coongie Lakes of far north-east South Australia. In development cases such as this, the level of inquiry needs to address environmental, social, cultural and economic issues from a range of interest groups; therefore, the process of assessment is a crucial factor in minimising conflict and meeting the wishes of the stakeholders. In the example of Coongie Lakes, the chosen method failed. This paper discusses the perspectives of the major stakeholders, the process of assessment undertaken, and the criticisms directed at this process. The apparent inadequacies of the assessment process undertaken are then highlighted, and an alternative assessment procedure suggested.  相似文献   

土地资源开发专家系统设计--以黄河大柳树水利枢纽灌区为例     

张永涛  申元村 《干旱区地理》1999,22(1):88-95

本文在黄河大柳树水利枢纽灌区土地资源系统研究的基础上,设计了土地资源开发专家系统（ＬＲＤＥＳ）把计算机智能引入了灌区土地资源系列开发中,文章介绍了ＬＲＤＥＳ的参数设计,功能需求及功能模块之间的关系,对系统性能,系统控制流及系统信息流等作了简要分析。  相似文献