WOFOST模型对河南省冬小麦模拟的适用性分析     

张弘  刘伟昌  李树岩 《气象与环境科学》2019,42(1):34-40

为进一步研究WOFOST模型在河南省冬麦区的适用性,以河南省30个农业气象观测站1991—2014年冬小麦观测资料、历史气象资料和土壤资料为依据,对WOFOST模型进行逐站调参和验证,分别建立了30个站的冬小麦模型参数。其中1991—2010年为模型调参年份,2011—2014年为模型验证年份。各站开花期和成熟期调参模拟的归一化均方根误差NRMSE分别小于5%和3%,验证误差分别为3.7%和2.9%。除潢川和固始外,模型对其余各站产量模拟的归一化均方根误差NRMSE全省各站均小于20.0%,验证误差全省平均为15.2%,大部分站点观测值和模拟值相关系数r通过了显著检验。利用调参后的模型模拟2011—2014年冬小麦生长动态变化可知,模拟地上部总干物重与实测单株干物重、模拟LAI与单株叶面积有较一致的变化趋势,拟合度较高。因此,WOFOST模型对河南省冬小麦主要发育阶段、产量及干物质积累模拟能力较强,具有良好的应用前景。  相似文献   

2016—2017年贵州大雾时空分布及气象要素演变分析     

胡跃文  秦杰  苏静文  牛迪宇  吉廷艳 《气象》2019,45(5):659-666

利用2016—2017年自动站逐小时观测资料,统计分析了贵州大雾天气的时空分布特征;同时,结合天气图资料分析筛选了锋面大雾个例31 d和辐射大雾个例17 d,对比分析大雾生消过程中风、温、湿等气象要素演变特点。结果表明：(1)贵州大雾在秋末到初春较为频发;一天中夜间02—09时是大雾频发时段,07时达到峰值。(2)贵州自西向东有4个多雾区,分别为西南部区域、中部区域、东部边缘区域和北部局部区域。(3)锋面大雾主要出现在贵州中西部,范围最广时可达20个县站左右,持续时长可达10~13 h,单站可持续60 h以上。辐射大雾以贵州中东部地区出现较多,范围最广时可接近40个县站,远比锋面大雾范围广,持续时间相对较短。(4)大雾期间,10 min平均风速为0~3 m?s-1,相对湿度为97%~100%,温度露点差为0~0.5℃;辐射大雾初期或形成前气温呈下降状态,消散期升温较明显,地气温差呈现由负到正或由低到高的变化趋势,反映出近地层大气由较为稳定的逆温环境向不稳定环境变化的过程;锋面大雾初期的降温和后期的升温现象并不突出,地气温差也没有特定的变化规律,仅有部分个例与锋面大雾情况一致。  相似文献   

Spatial modelling of reference evapotranspiration using adjusted Blaney-Criddle equation in an arid environment     

Hossein Tabari  B. Shifteh Some'e 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(2):408-420

Abstract

The Blaney-Criddle (BC) temperature-based equation is used in areas where the complete weather data to estimate reference evapotranspiration (ET₀) by the Penman-Monteith FAO-56 (PMF-56) standard model is complex. In this study, the BC equation was first tested and calibrated against the ET₀ values computed by the PMF-56 method using data from 17 weather stations in arid regions of Iran. Then, geographical information systems (GIS)-based spatially-distributed maps of ET₀ were prepared by means of geographic/topographic factors derived from a digital elevation model (DEM) for all months, separately. The results indicate that the original BC equation overestimated PMF-56 ET₀ by 4% at the study sites. The BC equation produced closer ET₀ estimates to the PMF-56 method after it was calibrated. The error rate of <3% for the spatial modelling approach suggests that the developed ET₀ maps are reliable.

Editor D. Koutsoyiannis; Associate editor D. Yang

Citation Tabari, H., Hosseinzadeh Talaee, P., and Shifteh Some'e, B., 2013. Spatial modelling of reference evapotranspiration using adjusted Blaney-Criddle equation in an arid environment. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 58 (2), 408–420.  相似文献   

同步辐射标定平面镜反射率不确定度分析方法研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

陈伯伦  杨正华  曹柱荣  董建军  侯立飞  崔延莉  江少恩  易荣清  李三伟  刘慎业  杨家敏 《海洋学报》2010,32(10):7078-7085

为了提高多通道软X射线能谱仪的测量精度,2009年在北京同步辐射(BSRF)软X束线源上对多种材料的掠入射平面镜的反射率进行了标定.在标定实验的基础上,对光源的单色性、高次谐波以及源强稳定性、探测器响应一致性和数据采集统计误差等多项不确定因素进行了评估,给出了反射率的修正方法和相应的不确定度分析结果.  相似文献   

Probabilistic Approach of Coastal Defense Against Typhoon Attacks for Nuclear Power Plant     

刘德辅  韩凤亭  庞亮  李华军  谢波涛  王风清 《中国海洋工程》2010,24(2):265-275

With the global wanning and sea level rising, it is widely recognized that there is an increasing tendency of typhoon occurrence frequency and intensity. The defenses code against typhoon attacks for nuclear power plant should be calibrated because of the increasing threat of typhoon disaster and severe consequences. This paper discusses the probabilistic approach of definitions about "probable maximum typhoon" and "probable maximum storm surge" in nuclear safety regulations of China and has made some design code calibrations by use of a newly proposed Double Layer Nested Multi-objective Probability Model (DLNMPM).  相似文献   

Explicit integration of bounding surface model for the analysis of earthquake soil liquefaction     

Konstantinos I. Andrianopoulos  Achilleas G. Papadimitriou  George D. Bouckovalas 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2010,34(15):1586-1614

This paper presents a new plasticity model developed for the simulation of monotonic and cyclic loading of non‐cohesive soils and its implementation to the commercial finite‐difference code FLAC, using its User‐Defined‐Model (UDM) capability. The new model incorporates the framework of Critical State Soil Mechanics, while it relies upon bounding surface plasticity with a vanished elastic region to simulate the non‐linear soil response. Stress integration of constitutive relations is performed using a recently proposed explicit scheme with automatic error control and substepping, which so far has been employed in the literature only for constitutive models aiming at monotonic loading. The overall accuracy of this scheme is evaluated at element level by simulating cyclic loading along complex stress paths and by using iso‐error maps for paths involving change of the Lode angle. The performance of the new constitutive model and its stress integration scheme in complex boundary value problems involving earthquake‐induced liquefaction is evaluated, in terms of accuracy and computational cost, via a number of parametric analyses inspired by the successful simulation of the VELACS centrifuge Model Test No. 2 studying the lateral spreading response of a liquefied sand layer. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

标准系列制备的一种简单方法     

赵珍义  马成龙 《岩矿测试》1990,9(3):240-242

一些新的稀释装置已用于原子发射光谱法和原子吸收分光光度法中,改变了以往预先配制浓度依次变化的标准系列的习惯做法。Ko(?)cielniak提出的一种非连续稀释方法,所配制溶液的浓度与稀释次数成指数关系。本文采用了这种技术对稀释装置作了改进,只需要一个小锥形瓶,添加或稀释同一个原始溶液便可制备出一系列标准溶液。设备简单、操作方便,用于原子吸收分光光度法测定钾长石中的钠、钾并与常规法对照结果满意。  相似文献   

皖江中东部雾的客观预报自动化业务系统     

周述学  叶金印 《气象》1994,20(11):37-39

介绍了一种雾的客观预报方法，并研制了一个与ＳＴＹＳ接口的雾的客观预报自动化业务系统，对雾有一定的预报能力。  相似文献   

裂变径迹定年标准化的研究   总被引：9，自引：0，他引：9       下载免费PDF全文

王世成  康铁笙 《地质科学》1994,29(1):78-84

用钴活化箔对SRM962标准铀玻璃进行了刻度,并比较了用钴活化范和用经过刻度的标准铀玻璃测量中子注量的定年方法,结果表明后者的定年结果优于前者,两者都有正系统偏差。利用磷灰石、结石和榍石的7种年龄标准样品和SRM962标准铀玻璃进行多次刻度,发现3种年龄标准矿物的Zeta常数基本一致,为327.4±7.8(±2σ).  相似文献   

配位滴定法同时测定金属离子浓度的研究     

乔延江  王英华  刘友谊 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》1994,(3)

将多元校正分析法应用于配位滴定中，以ＥＤＴＡ为滴定剂，玻璃电极为指示电极，饱和甘汞电极为参比电极。依据电位滴定原理，对混合三组分：Ｃｕ￣（２＋）、Ｃｄ￣（２＋）、Ｚｎ￣（２＋）、及Ｃｕ￣（２＋）、ＣＯ￣（２＋）、Ｎｉ￣（２＋）进行测定，各金属离子之间的△ｌｏｇＫ在０．０４～２．３４之间，计算误差一般小于土１０％。  相似文献