德国在线和江苏MOS的评估分析及应用     

朱双  俞剑蔚  胡洛林  陈德群 《气象科学》2006,26(3):346-349

江苏省分县逐日滚动MOS预报和德国天气在线是预报员经常参考的预报工具,本文对2003年3月到7月的资料用常规的统计方法和TS评分对这两种方法进行分析评估,利用得到的一些结论,在2004年汛期中使用,产生了较好的预报效果。  相似文献   

Local configuration measures for categorical spatial data: binary regular lattices     

Barry Boots 《Journal of Geographical Systems》2006,8(1):1-24

This paper examines the utility of a number of pattern measures for local exploratory analysis of binary spatial data. Based on a review of existing pattern measures in cartography, geography, image analysis, and landscape ecology, two fundamental classes of such measures, termed compositional and configurational, are identified. The paper focuses on configurational measures and it is suggested that as many as five such measures (join counts, patch numbers, patch sizes, patch proximity, and distribution of the classes relative to the focal cell of the window) are required to differentiate between all possible local categorical maps. This suggestion is explored by examining aspects of the statistical behaviour (probability distributions and correlations between extreme values of pairs of measures) of a set of 12 configurational measures. Their use is also demonstrated by means of an empirical example.  相似文献   

A STATISTICAL ANALYSIS ON INTENSITY CHANGE OF TROPICAL CYCLONES OVER THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC     

于玉斌  姚秀萍 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2007,13(1):14-16

55-year (1949 - 2003) data sets are used to study the statistical characteristics in intensity change of the tropical cyclones (TC) over the western North Pacific. According to the mathematical meaning of average value and standard deviation, the abruptly intensifying, gradually intensifying, stable intensity, gradually weakening and abruptly weakening of TC intensity are defined and the statistical characteristics, such as inter-decadal variation, inter-annual variation, inter-monthly variation, and regional distribution, etc. are analyzed. Main results are as follows: (1) From 1949 to 2003, there were 1886 TCs, averaging at 34.29 TCs per year. After 1995, the number of TCs dropped dramatically with less than 30 per year. 3.56% of the total were abruptly intensifying samples, and 3.31% were weakening samples. (2) For the annual mean, all but the stable group tend to decrease with the shift of decades as far as the overall change of the 6-h isallobaric process is concerned. (3) The abruptly intensifying TC seldom occurs over mid- and high-latitude area (north of 30°N) and low-latitude area and sometimes occurs around the islands and continent. Basically there is no gradually intensifying of TC over mid- and high- latitude area (north of 30°N and west of 125°E), in offshore Chinese waters. The gradually weakening and abruptly weakening TCs usually occur offshore China, west of 125 °E, but seldom over low-latitude area (0 - 5°N).  相似文献   

对我国2000-2004年发表的“RS”论文的统计分析   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

罗玲  牛汝辰 《测绘科学》2007,32(1):157-159

本文对近年来国内主要科技期刊上有关“RS”论文进行统计与分析,叙述了近年来我国RS科学研究的现状和水平,揭示了这一学科的应用范围、研究者现状、分布的特点和规律,明确了RS在国民经济建设中的重要地位。对RS的发展阶段给予了评价。  相似文献   

应用计算机进行固体矿产储量计算,提高地质工作水平     

张文宽  徐洪恩  谯小平  杨本锦 《四川地质学报》2007,27(1):75-76

Windos XP版储量计算程序是作者90年代DOS版的全面升级。该程序按照目前地质工作普遍采用的公式和做法,符合现行规范规定和要求。程序对储量计算中矿体圈定等难点解决较好。该程序已经多个矿区应用检验,最近又为南非英铂公司采用推广。  相似文献   

基于支持向量机的遥感大雾判识   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

刘年庆  蒋建莹  吴晓京 《气象》2007,33(10):73-79

提出了一种基于支持向量机的卫星遥感数据大雾判识方法:首先通过对风云1D卫星大雾区域的各通道辐射值出现频次进行概率统计,利用其阈值来粗判识大雾;然后在粗判识的基础上通过支持向量机的方法进行大雾细判识;最后利用腐蚀和膨胀的图像处理技术对判识后的图像进行优化处理。在对我国2006年9-12月的65条监测到大雾的风云1D轨道的探测数据进行分析之后,发现大雾判识结果与专家标记吻合。检验结果表明,利用1、2、4、6、7、10通道组合进行粗判识的结果最好,5交叉正确率为89.9849%,TS评分为74.04%。利用上述方法对个例的分析检验表明,基于支持向量机的遥感大雾判识方法是切实可行的。  相似文献   

Optical and near-infrared imaging of faint Gigahertz Peaked Spectrum sources     

I. A. G. Snellen    R. T. Schilizzi    M. N. Bremer    A. G. de Bruyn    G. K. Miley    H. J. A. Ro¨ttgering    R. G. McMahon  & I. Pérez Fournon 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》1998,301(4):985-1000

A sample of 47 faint Gigahertz Peaked Spectrum (GPS) radio sources selected from the Westerbork Northern Sky Survey (WENSS) has been imaged in the optical and near-infrared, resulting in an identification fraction of 87 per cent. The R  −  I R  −  K colours of the faint optical counterparts are as expected for passively evolving elliptical galaxies, assuming that they follow the R -band Hubble diagram as determined for radio-bright GPS galaxies. We find evidence that the radio spectral properties of the GPS quasars are different from those of GPS galaxies. The observed distribution of radio spectral peak frequencies for GPS sources optically identified with bright stellar objects (presumably quasars) is shifted compared with GPS sources identified with faint or extended optical objects (presumably galaxies), in the sense that a GPS quasar is likely to have a higher peak frequency than a GPS galaxy. This means that the true peak frequency distribution is different for the GPS galaxies and quasars, because the sample selection effects are independent of optical identification. The correlation between peak frequency and redshift that has been suggested for bright sources has not been found in this sample; no correlation exists between R magnitude (and therefore redshift) and peak frequency for the GPS galaxies. We therefore believe that the claimed correlation is actually caused by the dependence of the peak frequency on optical host, because the GPS galaxies are generally at lower redshifts than the quasars. The difference in the peak frequency distributions of the GPS galaxies and quasars is further evidence against the hypothesis that they form a single class of object.  相似文献   

SAR图像保留边缘多窗口相干斑滤除方法     

庞晓红  王贞松 《遥感学报》1998,2(4):259-263

在处理合成孔径雷达（ＳＡＲ）图像中,精确地估计图像的局部统计特性和尽可能多地滤除相干斑都需要较大的窗口尺寸,而这与图像边缘和纹理结构的检测需要较小的窗口尺寸相矛盾。一般滤波器都是二者窗口尺寸的均衡,这必然导致二者都不能取得很好的效果。本文提出的新方法有效的解决了这一矛盾。此方法使处理后的ＳＡＲ图像既保存了边缘和纹理结构,避免了以往滤波器中使边缘变模糊的问题,又有效地滤除了相干斑噪声。  相似文献   

Spatial Breakdown Point of Variogram Estimators     

Marc G. Genton 《Mathematical Geology》1998,30(7):853-871

In the context of robust statistics, the breakdown point of an estimator is an important feature of reliability. It measures the highest fraction of contamination in the data that an estimator can support before being destroyed. In geostatistics, variogram estimators are based on measurements taken at various spatial locations. The classical notion of breakdown point needs to be extended to a spatial one, depending on the construction of most unfavorable configurations of perturbation. Explicit upper and lower bounds are available for the spatial breakdown point in the regular unidimensional case. The difficulties arising in the multidimensional case are presented on an easy example in IR² , as well as some simulations on irregular grids. In order to study the global effects of perturbations on variogram estimators, further simulations are carried out on data located on a regular or irregular bidimensional grid. Results show that if variogram estimation is performed with a 50% classical breakdown point scale estimator, the number of initial data likely to be contaminated before destruction of the estimator is roughly 30% on average. Theoretical results confirm the previous statement on data in IR^d , d 1.  相似文献   

Optimized and robust experimental design: a non-linear application to EM sounding     

Hansruedi Maurer  & David E. Boerner 《Geophysical Journal International》1998,132(2):458-468

Pragmatic experimental design requires objective consideration of several classes of information including the survey goals, the range of expected Earth responses, acquisition costs, instrumental capabilities, experimental conditions and logistics. In this study we consider the ramifications of maximizing model parameter resolution through non-linear experimental design. Global optimization theory is employed to examine and rank different EM sounding survey designs in terms of model resolution as defined by linearized inverse theory. By studying both theoretically optimal and heuristic experimental survey configurations for various quantities of data, it is shown that design optimization is critical for minimizing model variance estimates, and is particularly important when the inverse problem becomes nearly underdetermined. We introduce the concept of robustness so that survey designs are relatively immune to the presence of potential bias errors in important data. Bias may arise during practical measurement, or from designing a survey using an appropriate model.  相似文献