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31.
S.?MoyseyEmail author J.?Caers R.?Knight R. M.?Allen-King 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2003,17(5):306-318
Explicitly defining large-scale heterogeneity is a necessary step of groundwater model calibration if accurate estimates of flow and transport are to be made. In this work, neural networks are used to estimate radar facies probabilities from ground penetrating radar (GPR) images, yielding stochastic facies-based models that honour the large-scale architecture of the subsurface. For synthetic GPR images, a neural network was able to correctly identify radar facies with an accuracy of approximately 90%. Manual interpretation of a set of 450 MHz GPR field data from the Borden aquifer resulted in the identification of four radar facies. Of these, a neural network was able to identify two facies with an accuracy of near 80% and one with an accuracy of 44%. The neural network was not able to identify the fourth facies, likely due to the choice of defining facies characteristics. Sequential indicator simulation was used to generate facies realizations conditioned to the radar facies probabilities. Numerical simulations indicate that significant improvements in the prediction of solute transport are possible when GPR is used to constrain the facies model compared to using well data alone, especially when data are sparse.This work was supported by funding to R. Knight under Grant No. DE-FG07–00ER15118-A000, Environmental Management Science Program, Office of Science and Technology, Office of Environment Management, United States Department of Energy (DOE). However, any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of DOE. Further support was provided by a Stanford Graduate Fellowship to S. Moysey. The authors would also like to thank James Irving for his assistance with processing of the radar data. 相似文献
32.
Based on self-organizing map, a method that can perform cluster analysis and discrimination analysis in one step is proposed in this paper. Using the proposed method, one can view the relative topological relationships of input patterns, determine the proper number of clusters, and assign unknown patterns to known clusters without losing any information of input patterns. Regarding the capability of determining the proper number of clusters, the proposed method is superior to conventional cluster analysis. The discrimination results also show that the assignments of unknown patterns to known clusters are reasonable using the proposed method. The advantages of the proposed method are also demonstrated by an application to the hydrological factors affecting low-flow duration curves in southern Taiwan. 相似文献
33.
区域降水数值预报产品人工神经网络释用预报研究 总被引：6，自引：1，他引：6
利用T213、日本细网格降水预报等数值预报产品,采用人工神经网络方法进行预报释用。通过聚类分析方法对广西自治区测站进行分类,简化预报对象,对数量众多的T213数值预报产品采用自然正交分解(EOF)方法,浓缩大量因子的有效信息,并结合日本降水预报因子建立广西5~6月区域降水量级的逐日人工神经网络预报模型。运用与实际业务预报相同的方法进行逐日预报试验。结果表明,用这种数值预报产品释用方法建立广西3个预报区域的B-P人工神经网络预报模型对中雨以上降水量级预报的TS评分分别为0.55、0.5和0.26,比目前业务预报中参考使用的T213和日本数值预报产品降水预报具有更好的预报效果。 相似文献
34.
Remotely sensed estimation of forest canopy density: A comparison of the performance of four methods
Chudamani Joshi Jan De Leeuw Andrew K. Skidmore Iris C. van Duren Henk van Oosten 《International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation》2006
In recent years, a number of alternative methods have been proposed to predict forest canopy density from remotely sensed data. To date, however, it remains difficult to decide which method to use, since their relative performance has never been evaluated. In this study the performance of: (1) an artificial neural network, (2) a multiple linear regression, (3) the forest canopy density mapper and (4) a maximum likelihood classification method was compared for prediction of forest canopy density using a Landsat ETM+ image. Comparison of confusion matrices revealed that the regression model performed significantly worse than the three other methods. These results were based on a z-test for comparison of weighted kappa statistics, which is an appropriate statistic for analysis of ranked categories. About 89% of the variance of the observed canopy density was explained by the artificial neural networks, which outperformed the other three methods in this respect. Moreover, the artificial neural networks gave an unbiased prediction, while other methods systematically under or over predicted forest canopy density. The choice of biased method could have a high impact on canopy density inventories. 相似文献
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36.
动量BP算法在路基沉降预测中的应用 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
提出一种采用动量BP算法来预测路基沉降的方法,结合具体的工程实例,构建了预测路基沉降的具体BP神经网络模型。预测结果表明,该模型有较高的预测精度,可作为预测路基沉降的一种新方法。 相似文献
37.
38.
The neural network system has been developing very fast recently. It has been widely used in many industries such as automation, nuclear power plant, chemical industry, etc. Neural network systems have a great advantage in dealing with problems in which many factors influence the process and result, and the understanding of this process is poor, and there are experimental data or field data. In rock engineering, many problems are of this nature. In this paper, a brief introduction to neural network systems is given. Problems such as what is a neural network, how it works and what kind of advantages it has are discussed. After this, several applications in rock engineering, made by us, are presented. Case 1 is ore boundary delineation. In this case, the rock are divided into three classes, i.e.: (1) waste rock; (2) semi-ore; and (3) ore for mining purposes. The neural network system built can judge whether it is ore, semi-ore or waste rock along the borehole according its corresponding geophysical logging data, such as gamma-ray, gamma-gamma, neutron and resistivity. Case 2 is aggregate quality prediction. In this case, the quality parameters: (1) impact value; (2) abrasion value I; and (3) abrasion value II are predicted by using a neural network system based on density, point load, content of quarts and content of brittle minerals. Case 3 is rock indentation depth prediction. In this case, the rock indentation depth under indentation load is predicted by the established neural network system based on the indentation load on rock, indenter type and rock mechanical properties, such as uniaxial compressive strength, Young's modulus. Poisson's ratio, critical energy release rate and density. In all these cases, the neural network systems have been applied successfully. The testing results are satisfactory and better than the existing techniques. 相似文献
39.
The time series of the dynamic response of a slender marine structure was predicted in approximate sense using a truncated quadratic Volterra series. The wave-structure interaction system was identified using the NARX (Nonlinear Autoregressive with Exogenous Input) technique, and the network parameters were determined through supervised training using prepared datasets. The dataset used for network training was obtained by nonlinear finite element analysis of the slender marine structure under random ocean waves of white noise. The nonlinearities involved in the analysis were both large deformation of the structure under consideration and the quadratic term of the relative velocity between the water particle and structure in the Morison formula. The linear and quadratic frequency response functions of the given system were extracted using the multi-tone harmonic probing method and the time series of the response of the structure was predicted using the quadratic Volterra series. To check the applicability of the method, the response of a slender marine structure under a realistic ocean wave environment with a given significant wave height and modal period was predicted and compared with the nonlinear time domain simulation results. The predicted time series of the response of structure with quadratic Volterra series successfully captured the slowly varying response with reasonably good accuracy. This method can be used to predict the response of the slender offshore structure exposed to a Morison type load without relying on the computationally expensive time domain analysis, especially for screening purposes. 相似文献
40.