结构模糊随机可靠度的实用计算方法   总被引：15，自引：0，他引：15  

王光远  刘玉彬 《地震工程与工程振动》1995,15(3):38-46

本文以模糊随机变量为基本变量，定义了结构的模糊随机功能函数，分析了结构有效状态与失效状态之间的模糊性，建立了结构的模糊随机极限状态方程。利用序关系给出单失效模式结构的模糊安全准则，讨论了ａ－约束水平条件下单失效模式结构的失效概率、可靠度及可靠指标，进而得出结构的模糊随机失效概率、模糊随机可靠度及模糊可靠指标等。本文给出的具体计算方法和目前设计规范中彩的方法是相对应的。  相似文献   

新型灌浆材料在已建砌体结构抗震加固中的应用     

施养杭  余建星 《地震工程与工程振动》2005,25(2):88-92

具有悠久历史的石结构是砌体结构的重要组成部分，本文作者经广泛调研和试验分析：(1)提出以石粉为集料对石砌体进行抗震加固，寓环保与防灾于一体；(2)给出新型浆体配比和复合砂浆的强度等级，阐述加固技术和方法，建立灌浆石砌体抗震抗剪强度公式；(3)阐明抗震验算方法，提出基于模糊随机可靠理论的可靠性分析方法。  相似文献   

Application of saddlepoint approximation in reliability analysis of dynamic systems     

阮家荣  王家  区兆驹 《地震工程与工程振动(英文版)》2007,6(4):391-400

The application of the saddlepoint approximation to reliability analysis of dynamic systems is investigated. The failure event in reliability problems is formulated as the exceedance of a single performance variable over a prescribed threshold level. The saddlepoint approximation technique provides a choice to estimate the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the performance variable. The failure probability is obtained as the value of the complement CDF at a specif ied threshold. The method requires computing the saddlepoint from a simple algebraic equation that depends on the cumulant generating function (CGF) of the performance variable. A method for calculating the saddlepoint using random samples of the performance variable is presented. The applicable region of the saddlepoint approximation is discussed in detail. A 10-story shear building model with white noise excitation illustrates the accuracy and effi ciency of the proposed methodology.  相似文献   

Seismic fragility methodology for highway bridges using a component level approach     

Bryant G. Nielson  Reginald DesRoches 《地震工程与结构动力学》2007,36(6):823-839

Bridge fragility curves, which express the probability of a bridge reaching a certain damage state for a given ground motion parameter, play an important role in the overall seismic risk assessment of a transportation network. Current analytical methodologies for generating bridge fragility curves do not adequately account for all major contributing bridge components. Studies have shown that for some bridge types, neglecting to account for all of these components can lead to a misrepresentation of the bridges' overall fragilities. In this study, an expanded methodology for the generation of analytical fragility curves for highway bridges is presented. This methodology considers the contribution of the major components of the bridge, such as the columns, bearings and abutments, to its overall bridge system fragility. In particular, this methodology utilizes probability tools to directly estimate the bridge system fragility from the individual component fragilities. This is illustrated using a bridge whose construction and configuration are typical to the Central and Southeastern United States and the results are presented and discussed herein. This study shows that the bridge as a system is more fragile than any one of the individual components. Assuming that the columns represent the entire bridge system can result in errors as large as 50% at higher damage states. This provides support to the assertion that multiple bridge components should be considered in the development of bridge fragility curves. The findings also show that estimation of the bridge fragilities by their first‐order bounds could result in errors of up to 40%. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

西霞院反调节水库控制网的布设及优化     

王保丰  丁万庆等 《测绘学院学报》2002,19(4):250-254

采取平面网与高程网相结合的方法布设了施工控制网，并引用工程控制网优化设计的有关理论，结合实际对平面网的网形进行了机助优化。在网形确定的基础上，文中采用可靠因子为质量指标对网中的观测量进行优化，最终得到了满足精度和可靠性要求的最优布设方案。  相似文献   

巴基斯坦地方地震台网的监控能力与可靠性     

MohammadQaisar TarigMahmood 《地震研究》2001,24(3):272-278

使用Bungum和Huseby方法对地方地震台网的监控能力和可靠性进行了分析。用震源位置的标准计算机码重新定位地震事件。由频率震级分布导出50％，90％和100％的累积监控能力阀值，对这些阀值23年内记录资料的监控能力水平作了估测。分析表明，在台网内发生的地震事件的台网100％监控能力水平为ML=1.7，从台网内固定实时震源对台网震源解精度作了分析。地震事件在台网内发生时，震中误差低于4km。最后讨论了地方地震台网连续运行期间影响监控能力的因素。  相似文献   

边坡稳定可靠性的随机有限元分析   总被引：9，自引：2，他引：9  

傅旭东  茜平一  刘祖德 《岩土力学》2001,22(4):413-418

随机有限元法可以处理土性参数的变异性和空间相关性。对二阶摄动随机有限元法的摄动理论和程序进行了研究，提出了偏导矩阵的组集方法，采用正态分布随机变量的正交变换法来提高计算效率。考虑土性参数随机场作用和土性指标之间的互相关性，建立边坡局部抗剪和总体稳定性可靠度的随机有限元分析模型，对某实际土坡进行了可靠度计算，计算结果较为符合实际。  相似文献   

随机地震动场激励下拱坝多点输入的抗震可靠度分析   总被引：5，自引：3，他引：5  

梁爱虎  陈厚群 《地震工程与工程振动》1996,16(1):49-59

本文首次将空间随机地震场输入用于拱坝随机振动分析之中，与拱坝三维动力学有限元法结合，完成了三维拱坝在空间随机地震动场作用下的随机振动分析方法及算法的研究，另外考虑动力和静力的叠加，提出了三维空间随机地震动场的拱坝抗震可靠度分析方法，最后编制了相应的程序，对小湾拱坝进行了抗震可靠度分析，并与随机变量的结果进行了比较。  相似文献   

GPS网可靠性强度分析     

吴素芹 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》1992,(3)

本文对GPS基线向量网的可靠性进行了探讨,提出了作为相关观测值的单个基线向量的可靠性指标和粗差检验方法,并通过对实测网和模拟网的计算与分析,得出了一些有关GPS基线向量网可靠性设计的建议和结论。  相似文献   

Evaluation of safety of hydraulic structures affected by migrating pits     

Y-K. Tung  K. -C. Yeh 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》1993,7(2):131-145

Because it can be carried by flowing water, a sand/gravel pit on the river bed could migrate downstream. Consequently, the presence of pits on river beds could pose a safety threat to in-stream hydraulic structures such as bridge piers. A pit migration model can be used to predict progressive changes of pit geometry as it migrates downstream. However, due to the existence of many uncertainties, the maximum pit depth cannot be predicted with certainty. This paper adopted a simple pit migration model and evaluated the uncertainty associated with the calculated maximum pit depth. Such information is essential for evaluating the probability that a migrating pit could pose a safety threat to a downstream hydraulic structure. Three reliability analysis techniques were applied and their performances were compared.  相似文献