IPCC国家温室气体清单指南精细化的主要内容和启示     

朱松丽  蔡博峰  朱建华  高庆先  张称意  于胜民  方双喜  潘学标 《气候变化研究进展》2018,14(1):86-94

作为IPCC新一轮气候变化综合评估的组成部分,IPCC国家温室气体清单指南进入了正式的精细化阶段,将在2019年形成最终成果,与现有的《IPCC2006指南》合并使用,为“适用于所有缔约方的”《巴黎协定》的实施奠定基础。精细化工作分为提供新方法、更新已有内容、补充/澄清已有内容等三大类,共有107个“精细化点”,涵盖通用方法论、能源活动、工业过程、农业林业和其他土地利用、废弃物等各个领域和部门。中国共有12名专家参与此次工作。建议中国科研工作者尽快以英文著述的形式发表相关成果,提高中国文献的引用率;鉴于中国已具备根据最新指南要求编制清单的能力,建议未来国家温室气体清单的编制尽可能全面转向《IPCC2006指南》及其增补和精细化内容。  相似文献   

《全球升温1.5℃特别报告》2018年10月     

《气象科学进展》2018,(5):129-129

IPCC在这份新的评估报告的全名为《IPCC在加强全球应对气候变化威胁、实现可持续发展和努力消除贫困的背景下,关于全球升温高于工业化前水平1.5oC的影响和相关全球温室气体排放路径的全球升温1.5oC特别报告》。报告指出,将全球变暖限制在1.5oC需要社会各方进行快速、深远和前所未有的变革。将全球变暖限制1.5oC对人类和自然生态系统有明显的益处,同时还可确保社会更加可持续和公平。《到2030年,粮食和农业研究的科学突破》2018年8月美国科学院多个委员会合作出版的这份报告,瞄准粮食和农业这一涉及多领域的主题,在9个章节里阐述相关科学问题,尤其是在最后一章给出了到2030年战略。《新科学家》2018年8月这本科普期刊本期封面报道瞄准了2018年夏季的“热点”,探讨了全球热浪滚滚的原因所在:被称为大西洋搅拌器的海洋环流循环出现了异常,海洋上的改变,带来大气更多极端事件发生。  相似文献   

温室气体强迫与东亚亚热带季风演变耦合效应及动力机制研究     

侯立春  林振山  何亮 《地理科学》2018,38(1):151-160

基于主要温室气体（CO₂、CH₄和N₂O）强迫因子和石笋δ¹⁸О观测资料（1~2002 年）,分别利用关联性耦合模型和非线性统计-动力学方法,分析温室气体强迫与东亚亚热带季风演变耦合度的时序规律和定量反演模拟温室气体强迫对近2 000 a东亚亚热带季风演变影响的非线性趋势和相对贡献。研究发现：① 温室气体与季风演变耦合度的高低对应季风的强弱变化,即两者耦合作用越强,东亚亚热带季风越强;反之,两者耦合强度越小,东亚亚热带季风越弱;耦合度峰谷值对应季风极强降水和极端干旱时段。② 时序演变规律为：N₂O和CO₂相互作用与季风演变间耦合效应最强,成为东亚亚热带季风演变的主要驱动力。其次,N₂O一次项和CO₂非线性项对季风演变起主要的负反馈调节机制。③ 时序演变阶段上有所不同：1~180年,CH₄因子对季风演变主要起负反馈调节机制;180~1760年和1760~2002年,对季风演变起主要的驱动和调节机制分别为CO₂因子和N₂O因子;但1900年后N₂O和CO₂相互作用与季风演变的耦合驱动效应近百年来明显增强,耦合度在中等-较强（或极强）之间来回波动转换,耦合作用明显增强,在耦合度由较强（或极强）转弱至中等时,东亚亚热带季风也随之减弱。  相似文献   

川西坳陷中段天然气碳同位素特征及其成因类型   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2  

王玲辉  沈忠民  赵虎 《物探化探计算技术》2008,30(4):326-330

川西坳陷中段天然气的组份以烃类气体为主,占气体总体积的98.1%～99.7%;非烃气体以CO,2和N2为主,其含量分别占气体的0.12%～1.32%和0.25%～1.54%;烃类气体中以甲烷占绝对优势,平均含量为95.83%;重烃含量较低,平均为3.21%;干燥系数(C1/C,1-5>)平均为0.97,整体上属典型的干气.川西坳陷中段的所有样品δ13C,2都大于-25.8‰,属于典型的煤型气范畴,天然气的δ13C,1δ'13C,2δ13C,3,呈明显的正序排列,显示出天然气为典型的有机成因.甲烷碳同位素组成,反映了其母质演化程度已处于成熟～高成熟阶段,且以高成熟阶段为主.  相似文献   

Main Controlling Factors on Hydrocarbon Accumulation and Distribution in Marine Sedimentary Sequences in South China     

蔡立国  周雁  白振瑞 《中国地质大学学报(英文版)》2008,19(6):645-655

Multiple source rock assemblages were deposited in the sedimentary provinces in South China in geologic history,and some of them were destructed by and some survived against multiple tectonic movements.Therefore,multiple sources,mixed sources,and uneven distribution of sources occurred in the marine sedimentary basins in South China during the late stage of hydrocarbon pooling.Epidiagenesis of the marine carbonate reservoirs and its modification to reservoir poroperm characteristics determined the formation and the scale of natural gas pools.The exploration practices show that the large to medium gas fields mainly occur in areas with high-quality reservoirs.Detailed study of the paleo-oil accumulations and typical oil and gas reservoirs reveals that the basins experienced multiphase superimposition and modification,leading to the distribution of the Paleozoic paleo-oil accumulations and bitumen in the peripheral areas.The phenomenon that oil and gas production concentrates in the Sichuan basin indicates that the overall sealing conditions of a basin determine the oil/gas potentials and the scale of oil and gas production.This is a critical factor controlling the accumulation and distribution of gas in the marine sequences in South China.The early oil and gas pools in the Yangtze platform left billions of bitumen in the peripheral areas due to the destruction of seals.Since the Himalayan,"late-generation and late-accumulation" gas pools represented by the gas pools in the Sichuan (四川) basin were formed in the marine sedimentary sequences in South China as a result of the change of the sealing conditions.Current gas discoveries appear to be "paleo-generation and paleo-accumulation" gas pools but actually are "late-generation and late-accumulation" gas pools.These patterns of hydrocarbon pooling clearly depict themselves in western Sichuan basin and Weiyuan (威远)gas field.It is revealed that the gas pools in the Sichuan basin were mainly formed as a result of hydrocarbon phase change (thermal cracking of oil to gas),miscible migration,and dynamic equilibration since the Himalayan.A large number of gas pools were formed in the Himalayan and the gas pools in the marine sequences are characterized by late pooling; this kind of gas fields/pools are controlled by:(1) effectiveness of modification and superimposition of the marine basins,(2) effectiveness of the source rocks,(3) effectiveness of the overall preservation conditions,and (4) effectiveness of plays.  相似文献   

Bottom Simulating Reflector and Gas Seepage in Okinawa Trough： Evidence of Gas Hydrate in an Active Back-Arc Basin     

栾锡武  Kelin  Wang  Roy  Hyndman  Eleanor  Willoughby 《中国地质大学学报(英文版)》2008,19(2):152-161

To look for gas hydrate, 22 multi-channel and 3 single-channel seismic lines on the East China Sea (ECS) shelf slope and at the bottom of the Okinawa Trough were examined. It was found that there was indeed bottom simulating reflector (BSR) occurrence, but it is very rare. Besides several BSRs, a gas seepage was also found. As shown by the data, both the BSR and gas seepage are all related with local geological structures, such as mud diapir, anticline, and fault-controlled graben-like structure. However, similar structural "anomalies" are quite common in the tectonically very active Okinawa Trough region, but very few of them have developed BSR or gas seepage. The article points out that the main reason is probably the low concentration of organic carbon of the sediment in this area. It was speculated that the rare occurrence of gas hydrates in this region is governed by structure-controlled fluid flow. Numerous faults and fractures form a network of high-permeability channels in the sediment and highly fractured igneous basement to allow fluid circulation and ventilation. Fluid flow in this tectonic environment is driven primarily by thermal buoyancy and takes place on a wide range of spatial scales. The fluid flow may play two roles to facilitate hydrate formation:to help gather enough methane into a small area and to modulate the thermal regime.  相似文献   

回注地下——解决气候变化问题     

宋清 《水文地质工程地质技术方法动态》2008,(4)

从地球内部开采石油、煤和天然气来供给我们能量。在这类化石燃料燃烧和释放能量时产生了不需要的二氧化碳气体,这会对全球气候产生影响。可以捕集这种二氧化碳,输送到地下并且封存,这样可从根本上减少温室气体的放出量,有助于缓解气候变化,成为向持久供应能量过渡的关键因素。  相似文献   

碳的地下封存     

J.  Davison  P.  Freund  A.  Smith.  赵玉军 《水文地质工程地质技术方法动态》2008,(4)

引言 减少温室气体排放量的需要 随着地球大气层中二氧化碳和其他温室气体浓度的不断上升,自然温室效应不断增强,这将导致全球气候变化。这些气候变化的特征、程度和时限是不可确定的,但一种主要的气候变化是可预测的,即全球平均气温上升。图1中的观测结果表明,由于外在因素的影响,例如火山尘和太阳辐射输出,全球平均气温逐渐增加且很有可能已超出气候自然变化的范围。  相似文献   

天然气水合物与全球气候变化   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

吴庐山 《南海地质研究》2008,(1):86-98

天然气水合物作为21世纪的重要能源已受到广泛认可和高度关注。与此同时,作为一个重要的气候致变因素,在地质历史时期中天然气水合物在自然条件下的突然分解释放甲烷气体可能造成全球气候变暖、地质灾害和生物灭绝等负面影响仍不容忽视。本文通过分析天然气水合物的稳定性与分解释放甲烷气体、天然气水合物对气候的反馈机制以及天然气水合物的分解在地质历史时期中对全球气候变化的可能影响,如新元古代“雪球”地球的终结、古新世一始新世极热事件和第四纪冰期后气候快速变暖等,对天然气水合物在全球气候变化过程中的作用进行了探讨。  相似文献   

更具开发前景的浅成天然气水合物     

刘玉山祝有海吴必豪 《海洋地质前沿》2016,(4):24-30

浅成天然气水合物呈致密块状赋存在海床面上或海床附近,在全球大陆坡上有广范的分布,由于其饱和度高及赋存部位浅因而被认为更适于开采。与甲烷渗漏、气体烟囱和水合物丘密切相伴的浅成天然气水合物,是在构造活动带由高通量的富甲烷流体以集束方式沿断层或断裂破碎带上升形成的。推测在我国南海北坡也可能存在浅成天然气水合物。  相似文献