A STATISTICAL ANALYSIS ON INTENSITY CHANGE OF TROPICAL CYCLONES OVER THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC     

于玉斌  姚秀萍 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2007,13(1):14-16

55-year (1949 - 2003) data sets are used to study the statistical characteristics in intensity change of the tropical cyclones (TC) over the western North Pacific. According to the mathematical meaning of average value and standard deviation, the abruptly intensifying, gradually intensifying, stable intensity, gradually weakening and abruptly weakening of TC intensity are defined and the statistical characteristics, such as inter-decadal variation, inter-annual variation, inter-monthly variation, and regional distribution, etc. are analyzed. Main results are as follows: (1) From 1949 to 2003, there were 1886 TCs, averaging at 34.29 TCs per year. After 1995, the number of TCs dropped dramatically with less than 30 per year. 3.56% of the total were abruptly intensifying samples, and 3.31% were weakening samples. (2) For the annual mean, all but the stable group tend to decrease with the shift of decades as far as the overall change of the 6-h isallobaric process is concerned. (3) The abruptly intensifying TC seldom occurs over mid- and high-latitude area (north of 30°N) and low-latitude area and sometimes occurs around the islands and continent. Basically there is no gradually intensifying of TC over mid- and high- latitude area (north of 30°N and west of 125°E), in offshore Chinese waters. The gradually weakening and abruptly weakening TCs usually occur offshore China, west of 125 °E, but seldom over low-latitude area (0 - 5°N).  相似文献   

STUDY ON THE CHARACTERISTICS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES ACTIVITY OVER THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC IN 2004 AND THE CAUSATION     

董美莹  郑沛群  薛根元 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2007,13(1):49-52

In this paper, we summarized the characteristics of tropical cyclones (TC) activity over the western North Pacific in 2004 and analyzed their causation. Compared with the normal, the annual frequency of TC in 2004 was slightly higher, tropical cyclones in 2004 had a longer life span and occurred in a concentrated period, the source of TC were situated eastward; in all tracks of TC, the recurvature tracks took up larger proportion, the landfall regions of TC were located northward, which concentrated from East China to Japan. The primary causes were revealed as follows. Firstly, the intensity and area of the western North Pacific subtropical high was stronger and larger than usual respectively, and its ridge was frequently in the form of cells and stretched northwestward. Secondly, the convergence of intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) was reinforced and the convergence zone moved more eastward than average. Thirdly, the meridionality of the westerlies was larger than average and the cell-shaped ridge formed a saddle region, which is in favor of TC northward motion and recurature.  相似文献   

WMO热带气象工作组会议在广州召开          下载免费PDF全文

《应用气象学报》2007,18(2):256-256

2007年3月22—24日，世界气象组织热带气象工作组（WGTM）会议在广州召开。来自中国、美国、法国、日本、澳大利亚、马来西亚、印度、中国香港以及世界气象组织的相关官员和专家参加了会议。此次会议由世界气象组织和中国气象局组织、中国气象科学研究院和广东省气象局承办。  相似文献   

西北地区3-9月降水量与ENSO的联系   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

王国荣  罗哲贤  赵东 《南京气象学院学报》2007,30(6):849-856

利用1950-2005年全球陆地月平均降水资料,分析了中国西北地区3-9月平均降水量(Rm)与ENSO的统计关系.结果表明:在全球变暖背景下,厄尔尼诺当年(次年)西北地区Rm偏少(偏多)的关系依然稳定存在,并且随着全球增暖,该关系表现得更稳定.西北地区,尤其是西北地区东部是同纬度带主要干旱半干旱区中Rm与ENSO联系最紧密、最稳定的区域.北半球主要干旱半干旱区中,厄尔尼诺当年Rm偏少,次年Rm偏多的关系仅存在于中国北部地区.我国西北地区东部厄尔尼诺事件当年(次年)Rm偏少(偏多),我国西北地区西部38°N以南厄尔尼诺事件当年(次年)Rm偏多(偏少),存在着明显的东西部差异.  相似文献   

环境风垂直切变与个例TC整个生命史中强度的关系   总被引：2，自引：4，他引：2  

苏丽欣  张晨辉  黄茂栋 《广东气象》2007,29(4):30-32

选取2006年3个典型的TC个例(碧利斯、珍珠和桑美),分别作为强热带风暴、强台风和超强台风的代表,分析在TC整个生命史中环境风垂直切变与其强度变化的关系。结果表明:在典型个例TC中,弱的环境风垂直切变有利于TC的发展;强的环境风垂直切变阻碍TC的发展;并且环境风垂直切变对TC强度的影响存在着一定的时间滞后。  相似文献   

影响珠海夏季高温的天气系统类型     

涂建文  许连丰 《气象研究与应用》2007,28(Z2):35

对珠海市1962~2006年高温资料进行统计分析,对高温日天气过程进行普查,发现副热带高压和热带气旋是导致珠海市高温的主要天气系统。分析发现导致高温天气的系统可以分为三种类型,热带气旋型在三种类型中占比较大的比例,热带气旋和副热带高压共同影响型会导致珠海出现极端高温。  相似文献   

近30年来影响福州的热带气旋统计研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

刘静  吴启树  龚振彬  郑颖青 《气象研究与应用》2007,28(Z2):61-62

利用1975~2005年近30a来的MICAPS和NCEP 2.5°×2.5°再分析资料以及近年来沿海自动站大风资料,对影响福州的热带气旋以及着重对过程雨量超过150mm、过程雨量小于50mm的热带气旋活动进行系统性研究,给出对福州有影响的热带气旋活动的年频数、月际分布、登陆地点分类,以及沿海大风和降水等,为福州今后的台风预报提供一些依据。  相似文献   

登陆热带气旋"北冕"异常路径的动力分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

魏清  黄敏辉  贺海晏  黎伟标 《气象研究与应用》2007,28(Z2):98-100

选取热带气旋"北冕"(登陆前复杂类型)作为研究对象,用一个P坐标系下支配热带气旋移动的诊断方程(包含气压梯度力、柯氏力、相对速度的局地变化、系统的水平动量交换、摩擦力以及温度的局地变化、感热平流和非绝热加热随高度的变化八个物理因子)对其进行动力分析,定量计算的结果表明:在热带气旋移动的不同阶段,决定热带气旋移动的物理因子不同;左折阶段气压梯度力的作用是最重要的;右折阶段除了显式热力因子外其它因子几乎都是有利因子,其中相对速度的局地变化项的贡献最大;正是由于不同因子的不同作用过程,使得"北冕"在登陆前移动路径异常、复杂。  相似文献   

ENSO事件对梧州市汛期降水的滞后影响效应   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

古鸣 《气象研究与应用》2007,28(Z2):104

对ENSO事件进行划分及评定,从汛期预报时效出发,分析了ENSO事件对梧州市汛期降水的滞后影响效应,希望能从中发现一些规律性的东西,对汛期的降水预报提供一些有参考价值的信息。  相似文献   

中尺度自动气象站维护-DTU篇     

陶伟  李艳萍  苏禹宾 《气象研究与应用》2007,28(Z3):53-55

介绍自动气象站DTU的性能特点、数据传输、工作流程、故障诊断和维护方法.  相似文献