排序方式： 共有58条查询结果，搜索用时 15 毫秒
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模式内部变率是模拟结果不确定性的重要来源,然而它对于1.5℃和2℃升温阈值出现时间不确定性的影响尚不清楚。因此,基于耦合模式比较计划第五阶段(CMIP5)的多模式数据研究了模式内部变率对1.5℃和2℃升温阈值出现时间不确定性的影响以及对未来排放情景的敏感性。结果表明,模式内部变率对升温阈值出现时间模拟的影响与外强迫的影响相当,单个模式内部不同成员达到全球平均1.5℃或2℃增温的年份相差2~12年;其影响具有明显的空间差异,影响极大值出现在欧亚大陆以北洋面、白令海峡周围区域、北美东北部及其与格陵兰岛之间的海域、南半球高纬地区等;低排放情景下模式内部变率的影响大于高排放情景。 相似文献
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基于多普勒天气雷达的两种垂直风廓线反演方法的对比分析 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
利用2010年阳江高精度探空仪国际比对试验中观测的探空测风资料、CINRAD-SA型多普勒天气雷达体扫资料及基于PUP-VAD方法反演的垂直风廓线产品资料,使用三种不同复杂程度的分层VVP方法(VVP1、VVP2和VVP3)反演了阳江雷达站上空的垂直风廓线,以探空测风为参考,以平均风向、风速均方差和相关系数作为评估因子,将雷达站周围降水回波分布分为较均匀和不均匀两种情况,对比分析了基于分层VVP方法和PUP-VAD方法反演的垂直风廓线。结果表明,相比PUPVAD方法,分层VVP方法都能提供更实用、质量更好的垂直风廓线,特别是在雷达周围降水回波分布不太均匀的情况下。主要原因是在某一高度,相比PUP-VAD方法只分析某仰角某距离圈上的径向速度资料来说,分层VVP方法是通过对该高度层10~100 km范围内的所有有效径向速度资料进行多元线性回归来求解该高度层的平均水平风向、风速,受资料覆盖率的影响程度要小于PUP-VAD方法。 相似文献
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基于云和地球辐射能量系统观测数据集（CERES),对比分析了耦合模式比较计划第五（CMIP5）和第六阶段（CMIP6）模拟的历史大气层顶和地表辐射收支的年际变化和空间分布,明确了多模式间不确定性大的关键区域。结果表明：在年际尺度上,除地表向上长波辐射外,CMIP6的辐射分量的集合均值较CMIP5更接近于CERES观测值,全球地表向下短波辐射的高估和大气逆辐射的低估在CMIP6中分别降低了1.9 W/m2和3.3 W/m2。除大气逆辐射外,CMIP6的辐射分量在多模式间的一致性较CMIP5提高。在北极,CMIP6对大气层顶反射短波、大气层顶出射长波和地表向下短波辐射的模拟偏差较CMIP5大。在南北纬60°,CMIP6对大气逆辐射的模拟偏差较CMIP5大。其他区域CMIP6的辐射分量更接近CERES观测值。CMIP6模拟的地表向下短波辐射和大气逆辐射的不确定性较大区域面积较CMIP5减小,但不确定性极大区域面积无变化。地表净辐射的不确定性空间分布在两代CMIP间变化甚小。青藏高原、赤道太平洋、热带雨林、阿拉伯半岛和南极洲沿海依然是地球系统模式模拟辐射收支不确定性极大的关键区域。 相似文献
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J. Nicholson I. Broker J. A. Roelvink D. Price J. M. Tanguy L. Moreno 《Coastal Engineering》1997,31(1-4)
Five different coastal area morphodynamic models have been set up to run on the same offshore breakwater layout and an intercomparison carried out on the hydrodynamic and morphodynamic output produced by each scheme. In addition, the predicted morphodynamics was checked against available laboratory and field data.It is concluded that the models are capable of producing realistic estimates for the dominant morphodynamic features associated with offshore breakwaters. Coupling of the wave, current and sediment transport components of each scheme is shown to yield bathymetry which attains a state of equilibrium, unlike models which are based on the initial transport field only. 相似文献
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Andrew R. Bowie Eric P. Achterberg Peter L. Croot Hein J.W. de Baar Patrick Laan James W. Moffett Simon Ussher Paul J. Worsfold 《Marine Chemistry》2006
The first large-scale international intercomparison of analytical methods for the determination of dissolved iron in seawater was carried out between October 2000 and December 2002. The exercise was conducted as a rigorously “blind” comparison of 7 analytical techniques by 24 international laboratories. The comparison was based on a large volume (700 L), filtered surface seawater sample collected from the South Atlantic Ocean (the “IRONAGES” sample), which was acidified, mixed and bottled at sea. Two 1-L sample bottles were sent to each participant. Integrity and blindness were achieved by having the experiment designed and carried out by a small team, and overseen by an independent data manager. Storage, homogeneity and time-series stability experiments conducted over 2.5 years showed that inter-bottle variability of the IRONAGES sample was good (< 7%), although there was a decrease in iron concentration in the bottles over time (0.8–0.5 nM) before a stable value was observed. This raises questions over the suitability of sample acidification and storage. 相似文献
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Single-Column Model Intercomparison for a Stably Stratified Atmospheric Boundary Layer 总被引：2，自引：15，他引：2
J. Cuxart A. A. M. Holtslag R. J. Beare E. Bazile A. Beljaars A. Cheng L. Conangla M. Ek F. Freedman R. Hamdi A. Kerstein H. Kitagawa G. Lenderink D. Lewellen J. Mailhot T. Mauritsen V. Perov G. Schayes G-J. Steeneveld G. Svensson P. Taylor W. Weng S. Wunsch K-M. Xu 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2006,118(2):273-303
The parameterization of the stably stratified atmospheric boundary layer is a difficult issue, having a significant impact on medium-range weather forecasts and climate integrations. To pursue this further, a moderately stratified Arctic case is simulated by nineteen single-column turbulence schemes. Statistics from a large-eddy simulation intercomparison made for the same case by eleven different models are used as a guiding reference. The single-column parameterizations include research and operational schemes from major forecast and climate research centres. Results from first-order schemes, a large number of turbulence kinetic energy closures, and other models were used. There is a large spread in the results; in general, the operational schemes mix over a deeper layer than the research schemes, and the turbulence kinetic energy and other higher-order closures give results closer to the statistics obtained from the large-eddy simulations. The sensitivities of the schemes to the parameters of their turbulence closures are partially explored. 相似文献
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D. Murcray A. Goldman J. Kosters R. Zander W. Evans N. Louisnard C. Alamichel M. Bangham S. Pollitt B. Carli B. Dinelli S. Piccioli A. Volboni W. Traub K. Chance 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》1990,10(2):159-179
The Balloon Intercomparison Campaign (BIC) was set up to intercompare remote sensing measurements of a number of compounds other than water vapor; however, water vapor has strong absorption features throughout the infrared and mm wave regions of the spectrum. Therefore many of the investigators involved in BIC have absorption or emission features due to water vapor in the data they obtained during the balloon flights made under the campaign. These features have been used by the investigators to determine the stratospheric water vapor profiles which are compared in this paper. The profiles allow comparison of a wide range of remote sensing techniques involving both emission and absorption in the mid-infrared and emission techniques in the far infrared. 相似文献
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A. Ankilov A. Baklanov M. Colhoun K. -H. Enderle J. Gras Yu. Julanov D. Kaller A. Lindner A. A. Lushnikov R. Mavliev F. McGovern T. C. O'Connor J. Podzimek O. Preining G. P. Reischl R. Rudolf G. J. Sem W. W. Szymanski A. E. Vrtala P. E. Wagner W. Winklmayr V. Zagaynov 《Atmospheric Research》2002,62(3-4)
During an international workshop at the Institute for Experimental Physics of the University of Vienna, Austria, which was coordinated within the Committee on Nucleation and Atmospheric Aerosols (IAMAS-IUGG), 10 instruments for aerosol number concentration measurement were studied, covering a wide range of methods based on various different measuring principles. In order to investigate the detection limits of the instruments considered with respect to particle size, simultaneous number concentration measurements were performed for monodispersed aerosols with particle sizes ranging from 1.5 to 50 nm diameter and various compositions.The instruments considered show quite different response characteristics, apparently related to the different vapors used in the various counters to enlarge the particles to an optically detectable size. A strong dependence of the 50% cutoff diameter on the particle composition in correlation with the type of vapor used in the specific instrument was found. An enhanced detection efficiency for ultrafine hygroscopic sodium chloride aerosols was observed with water operated systems, an analogous trend was found for n-butanol operated systems with nonhygroscopic silver and tungsten oxide particles. 相似文献