民间信仰载体的地域格局及其影响因素——以兰州市榆中县祠庙文化为例          下载免费PDF全文

宋周莺  虞洋  梁龙武  马振邦 《干旱区地理》2019,42(2):363-375

以祠庙祭祀为主体且祠庙保存良好的民间信仰是甘肃陇中地区民间文化的重要组成。甘肃陇中地区的民间信仰具有很强的趋同性，本文以陇中地区的榆中县为例，以各村的祠庙为民间文化载体，通过核密度分析、Logistic回归等方法探讨榆中县民间文化载体的空间分布及其影响因素对于探讨陇中地区人地关系，保护和弘扬民俗文化有着重要意义。研究结果表明：（1）根据已有研究将榆中县民间信仰归纳为山神信仰、水神信仰、天地信仰、女性信仰、英雄崇拜和祖先崇拜，祖先崇拜的祠庙数量占有重要地位；（2）榆中县祠庙主要分布在西北黄河南岸、中部陇海铁路沿线及南部风景名胜集聚区，村级层面空间差异不显著、乡镇空间差异相对较大。通过核密度分析，不同类别民间信仰空间分布热点各有不同；（3）榆中县民间信仰空间分布受到区位条件限制，民间信仰的祠庙多位于海拔高度较低、人口密度较大、交通可达性较好的地区，坡度和到水源的距离成为山神信仰和水神信仰祠庙空间分布显著的影响因子，榆中县祠庙呈现出山神信仰类祠庙“依山”，水神信仰类祠庙“傍水”的空间特点。  相似文献   

居民收入与通信网络市场经济效益研究--以河北省通信网络为实例     

刘江林  李应良  石宏宇 《成都信息工程学院学报》2005,20(6):662-666

利用Logisitic曲线模型和扩展支撑模型对居民可支配收入预测和单项消费预测，以河北省居民的收入及其消费支出为实例，研究了城镇居民和农民的可支配收入分配和单项边际消费倾向，合理建立了预测模型，并理论计算了1999～2003年的通信消费方面的边际消费倾向、预测了2004～2008年通信消费情况。最后，根据预测结果对通信网络建设提出了一些有价值的建议。  相似文献   

Doline probability map using logistic regression and GIS technology in the central Ebro Basin (Spain)   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

M. T. Lamelas  O. Marinoni  A. Hoppe  J. de la Riva 《Environmental Geology》2008,54(5):963-977

In the surroundings of Zaragoza, karstification processes are especially intense in covered karst areas where fluvial terraces lie directly on Tertiary evaporites. Since the beginning of Quaternary, these processes have lead to the development of collapse and subsidence dolines with a wide range of sizes, which have significant economic impacts. To reduce economic impact and increase safety, a regional analysis of this phenomenon is needed for spatial management. Therefore, a probability map of dolines was developed using logistic regression and geographic information system (GIS) techniques. This paper covers the selection of input data, manipulation of data using the GIS technology, and the use of logistic regression to generate a doline probability map. The primary variable in the doline development in this area is geomorphology, represented by the location of endorheic areas and different terrace levels. Secondary variables are the presence of irrigation and the water table gradient.  相似文献   

Assessment of disaster resilience capacity of hillslope communities with high risk for geological hazards   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Su-Chin Chen  Jhy-Wei Ferng  Yu-Ting Wang  Ting-Yeh Wu  Jieh-Jiuh Wang   《Engineering Geology》2008,98(3-4):86-101

This study presents a novel preparedness assessment method for assessing hazard mitigation and environmental planning of hillslope communities. A professional questionnaire was utilized to weight each indicator. Communities in Hsinchu, Taichung and Nantou counties with debris flow hazards were taken as study samples. Debris flow risk and landslide susceptibility for each community were determined using Geographic Information System (GIS) technology and logistic regression analysis. Thus, a novel risk assessment method for evaluating disaster resilience capacity of hillslope communities was established. This method was then applied to assess casualties caused by Typhoon Herb in 1996 and Typhoon Mindulle in 2004. Additionally, the analytical results generated by this assessment method were discussed with the aim of developing references for implementation of risk analysis, increasing the effectiveness of disaster mitigation, and reducing future loss of life and property.  相似文献   

Rain-induced debris and mudflow triggering factors assessment in the Santiago cordilleran foothills,Central Chile   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Sergio A. Sepúlveda  Cristóbal Padilla 《Natural Hazards》2008,47(2):201-215

Debris and mudflows are some of the main geological hazards in the mountain foothills of the Chilean capital city of Santiago. There, the risk of flows triggered in the basins of ravines that drain the range into the city increases with time due to the city growth. A multivariate statistical study based on the logistic regression method is presented. The model provides equations that allow the computation of combined meteorological triggering factors associated with a probability of rain-induced flow occurrence. Daily rainfall, accumulated rainfall and the snowfall level, traditionally considered as the relevant factors, are analysed for a 25-year period. The results show a strong relevance of the rainfall on the day of the flow event over the other factors. However, the relatively low probabilities returned for some real flow events suggest that the model does not capture all the significant variables and the problem is more complex than as it has been traditionally assumed, and further investigations are needed to develop predictive models of flow triggering.  相似文献   

A Reconnaissance Method for Delineation of Tracts for Regional-Scale Mineral-Resource Assessment Based on Geologic-Map Data     

Raines  Gary L.  Mihalasky  Mark J. 《Natural Resources Research》2002,11(4):241-248

The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) is proposing to conduct a global mineral-resource assessment using geologic maps, significant deposits, and exploration history as minimal data requirements. Using a geologic map and locations of significant pluton-related deposits, the pluton-related-deposit tract maps from the USGS national mineral-resource assessment have been reproduced with GIS-based analysis and modeling techniques. Agreement, kappa, and Jaccard's C correlation statistics between the expert USGS and calculated tract maps of 87%, 40%, and 28%, respectively, have been achieved using a combination of weights-of-evidence and weighted logistic regression methods. Between the experts' and calculated maps, the ranking of states measured by total permissive area correlates at 84%. The disagreement between the experts and calculated results can be explained primarily by tracts defined by geophysical evidence not considered in the calculations, generalization of tracts by the experts, differences in map scales, and the experts' inclusion of large tracts that are arguably not permissive. This analysis shows that tracts for regional mineral-resource assessment approximating those delineated by USGS experts can be calculated using weights of evidence and weighted logistic regression, a geologic map, and the location of significant deposits. Weights of evidence and weighted logistic regression applied to a global geologic map could provide quickly a useful reconnaissance definition of tracts for mineral assessment that is tied to the data and is reproducible.  相似文献   

A GIS Analysis to Evaluate Areas Suitable for Crushed Stone Aggregate Quarries in New England,USA     

Robinson  Gilpin R.  Kapo  Katherine E.  Raines  Gary L. 《Natural Resources Research》2004,13(3):143-159

Aggregate is a low unit-value mineral commodity. Costs to move aggregate from the mine site to the point of use is a large fraction of the resource cost to users. Production sites for aggregate occur where suitable source materials exist and where transportation and market conditions are favorable. The increasing demand for aggregate and the difficulty of developing and permitting new sites and of renewal of permits on existing sites of aggregate production indicates that aggregate will be supplied from sources yet to be developed or delineated in many areas. Site development and permitting for aggregate production is difficult because many land management plans and zoning actions fail to anticipate prospective source areas for aggregate in a way that is consistent with both the source rock quality and the transportation and socioeconomic factors that define the economic viability of the industry. Spatial analysis provides a method to integrate both geology and economic (transportation and marketplace) parameters in a regional model. Weights of evidence (WofE) analysis has been used to measure the spatial correlation of geologic map, transportation network, and population data with current production sites for crushed stone aggregate in the New England region of the northeastern United States. Weighted logistic regression (WLR) is used with the WofE results to rank areas in terms of their relative suitability for production of crushed stone. Spatial analysis indicates that 85% of the 106 crushed stone aggregate quarries in New England are sited within 1.6 km (1 mile) of either a principal highway or rail line in the region. Seventy-eight percent of crushed stone aggregate quarries are sited in census tracts with population densities exceeding 100 people/mile². These relations illustrate the importance of proximity to both transportation corridors and developing areas where aggregate is predominately used. Only one active crushed stone quarry is located in a census tract with a population density less than 15 people/mile², reflecting the lack of sufficient market demand in many rural areas to develop an operation there. However, since 1990, almost all new quarries have been developed in census tracts with population densities less than 200 people/mile², indicating the difficulty of permitting new quarry sites in highly populated areas. Crushed stone aggregate is produced predominately from three hard rock types that are distributed widely in New England; 28% of sites use granitic rock, 25% use carbonate rocks, and 25% use mafic rock types that are categorized as trap rock by the aggregate industry. The other crushed stone aggregate sources include a variety of fine-grained metamorphic rock types. Carbonate rocks and Jurassic basalt (the primary trap rock source) are the most prevalent source rocks on an area-weighted basis. Spatial analysis can be used on a regional scale to rank areas by their relative suitabilityfor crushed stone aggregate production based on geology, transportation, and population parameters. The results of this regional analysis can identify areas for more detailed evaluation. As transportation or population features change, the model can be revised easily to reflect these changes.  相似文献   

基于逻辑斯蒂模型的遥感图像分类   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

刘庆生  刘高焕  蔺启忠  王志刚 《国土资源遥感》2001,12(1):36-41,65

逻辑斯蒂法是一种非线性的回归分析方法,因采用逻辑斯蒂模型而得名^[1],可用来进行未知单元类别属性的预测和判定。不同于一般的分类方法,它可分别给出某一单元属于各已知类别的概率,进而对研究的未知区中所有单元进行分类和预测。本文首先阐述了该方法的基本原理,而后利用它对内蒙古自治区两个研究区的两种图像数据进行了分类,最后探讨了影响该方法用于遥感图像分类的几个因素.  相似文献   

干旱区绿洲两种典型的LUCC过程与驱动力对比分析——以天山北坡三工河流域为例     

汤发树  陈曦  罗格平  蔺卿  刘海隆 《中国科学D辑》2006,36(Z1)

根据三工河流域绿洲1978,1987年航片、1998年TM影像以及土壤、水文与社会经济资料,综合运用遥感、GIS、土地利用/覆被变化(LUCC)指数模型、Logistic逐步回归模型及所提出的因子加权和指标,分析表征影响因子对区域土地利用空间格局的影响程度,比较小规模家庭承包和大规模农场耕作的两种典型土地经营模式下的LUCC过程和驱动力.耕地、草地控制全区土地利用的基本格局,耕地、城镇村工矿用地面积逐年增加,家庭经营区林草地面积均大幅度减少,而农场经营区仅草地有所减少(减幅12.0%),林地却增加了(增幅13.7%);研究区前期(1978～1987年)土地利用变化比后期(1987～1998年)剧烈,家庭经营区土地利用变化比农场经营区剧烈.政策是土地利用变化的决定性因素,水资源是土地利用的先决条件,在政策的宏观控制和水资源的约束下,全区土地利用变化的主要驱动因素为人口和经济,主要的限制因素为土壤肥力和地下水埋深;家庭经营区人为驱动占主导地位,农场经营区自然因素的限制作用更加突出.影响因子波动越大的区域或时段,其土地利用的变化也越显著.  相似文献   

第四纪地质环境的人工再造作用与土地荒漠化   总被引：24，自引：7，他引：17       下载免费PDF全文

林年丰 《第四纪研究》1998,18(2):128-135

第四纪地质环境的人工再造作用是一个新概念。文章在回顾人类文明历史发展的基础上,重点阐述了近50年来全球土地荒漠化发展的严重趋势。人工再造作用是人类过量的经济活动对岩石圈与生物圈接触介面产生的一种破坏作用,其动力是不断增长的世界人口及其巨大的物质需求。可将人工再造作用看作是第四纪中最新的一个地质事件。研究发现,这一破坏作用过程符合Logistic曲线的变化规律,因此可以采用Logistic数学模型开展深入研究。第四纪地质学家、环境地质学家对资源、环境、人口和可持续发展问题应给以更多的关注。  相似文献