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1.
Salt marshes are potentially threatened by sea level rise if sediment supply is unable to balance the rising sea. A rapid sea level rise is one of the pronounced effects of global warming and global sea level is at present rising at an elevated rate of about 3.4 mm y? 1 on average. This increasing rate of sea level rise should make it possible to study the effect of rapidly rising sea level on salt marsh accumulation. However, such an understanding is generally hampered by lack of available data with sufficient precision. Here we present a high-precision dataset based on detailed radiometric measurements of 137Cs in 10 sediment cores retrieved at a natural and unmanaged micro tidal salt marsh. Two distinct 137Cs-peaks were found in all cores, one peak corresponding to the 1963-maximum caused by testing of nuclear weapons in the atmosphere and the other to the Chernobyl accident in 1986. Salt marsh accretion has generally kept pace with sea level rise since 1963 but comparison of the accumulation rates of minerogenic material in the period 1963–1986 and 1986–2003 revealed a slight decrease in accumulation with time in spite of an observed increase in inundation frequency. The observed decrease in sediment deposition is significant and gives reason for concern as it may be the first sign of a sedimentation deficiency which could be threatening this and other salt marshes in the case of a rapidly rising sea level. Our work demonstrates that the assumption of a constant relationship between salt marsh inundation and sediment deposition is not necessarily valid, even for a salt marsh that receives most of its allocthonous sediment from the adjacent sea. The apparent decrease in sediment deposition indicates that the basic assumption of sufficient sediment supply used in contemporary models dealing with salt marsh accretion is most probably not valid in the present case study and it may well be that this is also the case for many other salt marshes, especially if sea level continues to rise rapidly as indicated by some climate change scenarios.  相似文献   

2.
徐杰  邹志利 《海洋通报》2018,(4):440-449
海岸的泥沙输沙模式决定着海岸地形的演变特征,不同的输沙模式会导致形成横向和倾斜沙坝、裂流沟槽等不同的地貌特征。本研究提出了一种考虑泥沙分布不均匀性的新输沙率公式,该公式包含了反映泥沙粒径不均匀性的概率加权和考虑泥沙颗粒遮蔽效应的加权。该公式所给出的载沙量与传统输沙率公式的对比表明,相同中值粒径下,二者有明显差异。将该输沙率公式应用于地形线性不稳定分析,所得到的地形不稳定性增长率不同于假定泥沙为均匀的结果,对应的地形变形波长也有所差别。  相似文献   

3.
YANG  Shu-qing 《中国海洋工程》2003,17(4):527-540
Following Bagnold's approach, a relationship between sediment transport and energy dissipation is developed. The major assumption made in the study is that the near bed velocity plays a dominant role in the process of sediment transport. A general relationship between energy dissipation and sediment transport is first proposed. Then the equations for total sediment transport are derived by introducing the appropriate expression of energy dissipation rate under different conditions, such as open channel flows, combination of wave and current, as well as longshore sediment transport. Within the flows investigated, the derived relationships are fairly consistent with the available data over a wide range of conditions.  相似文献   

4.
从研究胶州湾沉积物中生源硅入手,利用对比分析对其限制的原因进行了探讨.研究表明,相对于邻近的黄海和渤海沉积物,胶州湾沉积物中的生源硅含量较高,在湾内外的三个站表层沉积物中生源硅的含量分别为1.58%、1.44%、1.48%,在整个柱状样中的平均含量分别为1.54%、1.48%和1.39%,属于高生源硅含量区.沉积物中BSi∶TN远远大于1,BSi∶TP也远远大于16,与水体中Si∶TN〈1,BSi∶16P〈1相反,同时沉积物中的OC∶BSi值远远小于Redfield比值(106∶16),表明沉积物中有机质的分解速率远大于BSi的分解速率,生源硅分解的较慢.研究还发现,生源硅和有机碳的含量有明显的正相关关系,二者共同作用的结果是造成相当大的一部分BSi被埋藏,不能参与再循环,从而水体中的硅被永久地“清除”,造成水体硅的缺乏,这可能是造成胶州湾浮游植物生长硅限制的根本原因.湾外BSi较湾内低的主要原因是湾外的沉积物因其有机质含量低,且沉积物的颗粒粗而造成BSi的溶解速率比湾内的高.根据沉积物中生源硅的沉积通量和初级生产力的对比可推知,由硅藻形成的生源硅在沉降过程中平均只有15.5%被分解重新进入水体,其余的84.5%可被埋葬而形成沉积物.而胶州湾沉积物中的硅通过沉积物-海水界面返回到水体中的速率也小于生源硅的沉积速率,这进一步证明了海水中的硅不断向沉积物迁移,导致水体中硅含量持续的低水平,进而使Si成为浮游植物生长限制因子的主要原因.  相似文献   

5.
The growth of a river delta system is controlled mainly by fluvial sediment discharge and sediment retention in the deltaic areas. In the present study, we attempt to define a sediment retention index, R, and its relation to the deposition rate of the delta. Based upon two assumptions that the amount of the sediment that escapes from the deltaic areas, QE, is stationary with minor fluctuations, and that there is a linear relationship between the deposition rate averaged over the sub-aqueous delta (Dav) and the deposition rate at accretion sites within the delta (DR), the changes in the accretion/erosion patterns of the Changjiang sub-aqueous delta during the period of 1951–2007, in response to river sediment discharge changes, are analyzed. The results show that the sediment retention index can be related to the deposition rate of the sub-aqueous delta; the spatial-temporal distribution pattern of the deposition rate reveals the behaviour of sediment retention of a delta system. For the Changjiang sub-aqueous delta, fluvial sediment discharge data, together with Pb-210 based deposition rates, provide useful information on sediment retention. Changes in the sediment retention index and the accretion/erosion patterns of the sub-aqueous delta have taken place in response to river input changes. In order to improve our understanding of the processes associated with estuarine sediment retention, sediment cores with sufficient spatial coverage may be collected and analyzed to establish accurate QER and DavDR relationships. In combination with numerical modeling of sediment transport, these relationships form a basis for the analysis of sediment retention mechanisms.  相似文献   

6.
In order to investigate the sediment dynamic behavior of the Yuehu, a small inlet system characterized by abundant sediment supply and rapid sediment infilling, measurements and sampling were undertaken to obtain data sets of tidal water levels, current velocities, suspended sediment concentrations, grain size parameters, deposition rates and organic carbon contents. Sediment budget and the time–velocity asymmetry patterns of the inlet system were analyzed. The results show that the deposition rates are relatively high within the tidal basin. The total sediment flux cannot be balanced by the input from the open sea, the aerosol and biological production; rather, the material from land (which has been intensified by agricultural activities over the past several decades) represents a major component for the balance. Thus, the denudation rate must be reduced to protect the Yuehu as a natural reserve. Furthermore, it is found from the present study that the Yuehu inlet system exhibits all of the four time–velocity asymmetry patterns with varied frequencies of occurrence, compared with the two asymmetry patterns identified for larger inlet systems; such phenomena are partly due to the adjustment of entrance channel geometry. This behavior may be representative of the small tidal inlets at their late stage of morphological evolution and, therefore, may be utilized to prolong the lifespan of small inlet systems.  相似文献   

7.
We analyzed the motions of small sediment particles over a sinusoidal ripple due to an unsteady turbulent boundary layer flow using Large Eddy Simulation. The motions of sediment particles are described in terms of the Lagrangian framework as it is helpful in studying the structure of sediment suspension in detail. Strong coherent vortical structures are well developed along the upslope of the ripple surface during the accelerating flow phase, which effectively drag the particles to the ripple crest. At the maximum flow rate and at the decelerating flow phase, a cloud of vortical structures is developed vertically in the lee area of the ripple. Sediment particles render strong dispersion in the vertical direction when they are captured by these turbulent vortices, causing convective sediment flux that cannot be explained by the mean flows. The convective sediment suspension is strongest at the time of flow deceleration, while over a flat bed at the time of flow reversal. This observation suggests that bed form effect should be considered in modeling convective sediment flux.  相似文献   

8.
高抒 《海洋与湖沼》2023,54(1):1-15
海洋沉积体系的定量模拟可分为仿真和勘察式模拟,后者的目标是建立沉积特征的连续谱、凝练新的科学问题。本文提出一个勘察式模拟的方法论框架,即根据控制方程确定自变量的定义域,进而由模拟计算给出应变量的值域,并结合物质收支平衡原理和“圆台状环礁”几何模型,以此方法预估环礁及其海底阶地物质输运和堆积格局。环礁是珊瑚礁的独特类型,其礁盘区提供了礁体生长和礁外坡、海底阶地堆积的几乎全部物源。结果表明,环礁自身生长受控于生物碎屑生产,而海底阶地的范围和沉积速率不仅决定于离礁悬沙通量,而且受到环礁外水深和海盆环流的制约。悬沙输运和重力流过程形成常态沉降和水下滑坡的交替沉积。此模型所预测的环礁沉积体系高程-面积曲线与南海环礁的实际曲线相对照,可获得环礁演化的机制信息。模拟结果还提示了需进一步研究的科学问题,如环礁生长规模及其控制机制、环礁沉积体系中周期性沉积的时间尺度、环礁外坡由于珊瑚生长自组织机制形成的重力流事件与地震等极端事件的对比和机制识别、环礁群的海底阶地沉积记录多样性、海面变化对环礁演化的影响和沉积记录、环礁人居环境安全等。  相似文献   

9.
The first-order small perturbation method (Born approximation), as frequently applied to high-frequency scattering from marine sediments, is critically reviewed, tested for accuracy and extended. The sediment is modeled as an acoustic-fluid half space with random fluctuations in density and compressibility. Several cases of volume scattering from typical marine sand and mud sediments are presented to illustrate the effects of two important assumptions: (1) the effects of assuming the density and compressibility fluctuations are proportional, and (2) half-space effects. By relaxing the assumption that the sediment density and compressibility are proportional, the bistatic scattering cross section is significantly altered. The effects of properly modeling the sediment as a random half space (as opposed to an infinite continuum) are also discussed. In the context of first-order perturbation theory, half-space effects manifest themselves as a “modified” spectra for density and compressibility fluctuations. It is shown that, for lossy sediments and for scattering near the specular direction, half-space effects are significant and cannot be neglected. This result is significant because current models of sediment volume scattering do not include half-space effects. In addition to the theoretical model, exact numerical simulations are used to evaluate the accuracy of the perturbation model for a limited number of cases  相似文献   

10.
根据1951~2000年大通站实测水文资料和长江口地形图,分析了长江入海泥沙量的变化趋势及其对水下三角洲冲淤演变的影响.从20世纪60年代末开始,长江入海泥沙量出现减少趋势,90年代输沙量相对于60年代下降了1/3.流域大量修建水库是导致河流入海泥沙减少的根本原因.在此背景下,长江口门外的水下三角洲淤积速率从1958~1978年时段的55mm/a下降为1978~1998年时段的11mm/a.考虑三峡工程等多种人类活动的可能影响,估计本世纪上半叶和下半叶的河流入海泥沙量将分别减少约60%和40%.尝试建立了三角洲冲淤对河流供沙量响应的概念公式,并据此对本世纪长江三角洲的演变趋势做了初步预测:三角洲的总体淤涨速率将急剧下降,口门外水下三角洲将出现严重侵蚀.  相似文献   

11.
Abstract. An idealized mathematical, multispecies model of the pelagic foodweb was used to explore the impact of resource competition, selective grazing, and species composition within each trophic level on the structure and functioning of a foodweb at a variety of light irradiance and nutrient levels. This concept is based on the general assumption that poorly edible species are poor competitors. The concept demonstrates that with increasing eutrophication, specialists in competition will be replaced by generalists and subsequently by poorly edible primary producers. Controlling factors not only determine the growth rate of primary producers but also select predators according to their ability to utilize the energy fixation of the system. Plankton community structure seems to adapt in such a way that the energy fixation rate of the system is optimized at a given set of nutrients and light. Red tides, dense algal blooms in shallow lakes and the varying results of biomanipulation in shallow lakes, can be explained by the concept of selective grazing. If this assumption is correct, the same ecosystem concept may be applicable for terrestrial ecosystems.  相似文献   

12.
Tectonically-complex settings present accommodation and sediment supply changes with patterns and rates for which the current sequence stratigraphy paradigms are not designed. In the Tertiary Piedmont Basin (TPB) and Peri-Adriatic Basin (PAB), outcrop and seismic examples demonstrate that the observed stratal and stacking patterns cannot be entirely explained using conventional sequence-stratigraphic models. Therefore, it is of paramount importance to use a model-independent more comprehensive approach encompassing advanced sequence-stratigraphic concepts combined with process changes, while being able to consider the morphostructural complexity that characterizes these margins and their changes induced by basin reshaping.Abrupt relative sea level falls generated by uplift or basin inversion may exceed several hundreds of meters, resulting in wedge-margin progressive unconformities characterized by subaerial and subaqueous erosional truncation. A progressive increase in sediment supply occurs, expressed by increasing volume and size of mass-transport complexes overlain by forced-regressive deltas, as the maximum sediment supply is delayed until after the main uplift. Different accommodation/sediment supply ratios may also occur at the same time along different margins of the same basin, generating a diachronism in the T-R or R-T cycles, adding further complexity to the variability produced by autogenesis.On clastic shelf margins characterized by an increasing rate of relative sea level rise, such as in case of increasing rollback velocities and related flexural tilting, or following an orogenic collapse, sediment supply may not keep pace with increasing accommodation so that initially retrogradation and basinward condensation occur, marked by omission surfaces. However, when the rate of subsidence increases, the succession is punctuated by multiple subaqueous erosional unconformities marking phases of basinward tilting leading to the oversteepening of basin margins and abrupt deepening. The downwarping usually produces large-scale subaqueous erosional surfaces passing laterally into paraconformities, so hinged-margin drowning unconformities affecting clastic shelves occur, associated with regional stratigraphic gaps.The re-establishment of the slope equilibrium profile implies high volume of sediments eroded from drowned deltas and shelves, feeding turbidites deposited at the toe of above-grade slopes. These turbidites can be therefore considered as high accommodation-high sediment supply systems. This suggests that turbidites are delivered basinward not only due to bypass at sequence boundaries or during the highstand progradation of supply-driven deltas, but also due to abrupt accommodation creation on hinged-shelf margin wedges.The great variability of tectonically-driven unconformities generated under either decreasing or increasing accommodation suggests that the features described in the TPB and the PAB are probably not uncommon, controlled by linked dynamic turnarounds of accommodation, sediment supply and stratigraphy taking place throughout the development of basin reorganizations.  相似文献   

13.
Seafloor Properties From Penetrometer Tests   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
Quasi-static and freely falling dynamic penetrometers are currently in extensive use for measuring the mechanical properties of sediments composing the littoral seafloor. Sediments in this zone are often inhomogeneous both laterally and with depth so that it is difficult to predict burial of mines and other objects when relying on models that assume uniform, homogeneous sediment. The results of penetrometer tests discussed in this paper show that there can be a wide spread in the penetration resistance that is measured depending on the degree of sediment inhomogeneity and the rate of penetration. Moreover, the dilative response of granular strata appears to further complicate matters because of the sudden, large changes in shear strength that can occur. As a result, mine burial models currently in use, which often rely on simple strain-rate factors and shear strength determined from experiments utilizing uniform, reconstituted sediment, do not appear to be adequate to handle real in situ conditions in many cases. The objective of this paper is to obtain a better understanding of in situ properties and how they may be incorporated into various burial models.  相似文献   

14.
珠江口河流输沙、河口沉积与粒度信息之间的联系   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
河口三角洲地区泥沙供应充分,是现代沉积速率较高的区域。快速沉积的泥沙包含高分辨率的环境信息。采用放射性同位素测年方法研究了珠江口伶仃洋大铲湾海域6个柱样的现代沉积速率,以2mm的间隔分析了其中2个柱样上部的粒度,并对其平均粒径和珠江流域的年输沙量进行了快速傅里叶变换,以期获取河流泥沙供应、河口沉积速率和沉积物垂向粒度变化的对应关系。结果表明,大铲湾海域的沉积速率为1~3cm/a,受动力条件和泥沙供应条件的影响显著。2个柱样的平均粒径的最显著重现周期与珠江年输沙量的周期性有较好的对应关系,并可能反映了季节的、年的和多年的沉积速率信息。对于每年沉积厚度在厘米级的环境,以毫米级的高分辨率进行粒度分析,有可能揭示出沉积物供应的季节变化和年际变化。本研究亦可为其他河口的相关工作提供借鉴。  相似文献   

15.
The pore water concentrations of dissolved silica in sediment cores from the continental slope offshore from Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, varied from 150 to almost 700 μ,M with depth in the top 40 cm of sediment. Sediment cores from 630 to 2010 m depth had very similar profiles of dissolved silica in their pore waters, even though these cores came from regions greatly different in slope, topography, sedimentation rate, and abundance of benthic macrofauna. Cores from 474 to 525 m were more variable, both with respect to pore water dissolved silica profiles, and with respect to sediment texture. Experiments indicate that both the rate of dissolution of silica and the saturation concentration decrease as sediment depth below the sediment-seawater interface increases. These data are consistent with depletion of a reactive silica phase in surface sediment, which may be radiolarian tests, or the alteration of biogenic silica to a less reactive form over time. Experimental results suggest that the pore water dissolved silica concentration in sediments below the top few centimeters may be higher than the sediments could now achieve. The flux of dissolved silica out of these sediments is estimated to be 15 μmoles cm−2 yr−1.  相似文献   

16.
1. (1) The nature of sediment—sea interactions depends on the time scale considered. At a time scale commensurate with human life, one can define a water—sediment interface, and the main exchanges are solutes exchanges through this interface by concentration diffusion. This condition will be termed as “Short time-scale equilibrium interaction”.
On the other hand, at a geological time scale, there is a continuous accretion to the “sediment” of suspended particulate matter, bottom-current borne materials and sometimes precipitates of previously dissolved salts; to this sediment build-up corresponds a flux of water of reverse sense, from the sediment to the water column, due to the compaction of muds and oozes which reduce their porosity (their water content) under their own load. The concept of interface is then of limited utility, since physically it is constantly changing, and since the material balance of the exchanges does not depend on its characteristics at a first order of approximation. This condition will be termed “long time-scale geological interaction”.
These situations are extreme ones. In areas of present important detrital sedimentation, even for short time spans it is doubtful if the definition of an interface has some utility: we are in a situation close to “geological time scale”. On the contrary, in abyssal zones remote from continents, the rate of sedimentation is so low that even for eons an interface separating two environments in physico-chemical equilibrium exists.
2. (2) If there were no internal sources of dissolved species in the sediment, the only concentration changes to occur would be due to the decrease in porosity (in water content) following gravitational compaction of sediments. But this phenomenon is the same as sedimentation, thus transfer of matter would be unappreciable within short time spans. The fact that this transfer can be measured at human time scale shows therefore that dissolved species are actually produced in the sediment. Some of these can originate from possible inorganic chemical reactions, but all the organic molecules, and an important part of the inorganic (such as phosphates, nitrates, NH4+, S2-) require processing of organic matter for their production. Whether or not this reworking is of biological origin remains controversial. On the whole, the quantities of matter thus transferred are very minute compared to the quantities present in oceanic waters. They cannot be considered in general as a significant input. But they may be important locally (nearshore restricted water bodies, or manganese nodules formation).
3. (3) At geological time scale, sedimentation, which adds solid material to the preexisting sediment, results also in the compaction of this sediment. At every depth in the sediment there exists an equilibrium value of the porosity, i.e. the fluids content, of the sediment; it tends to this value by expelling the corresponding quantity of fluids, with a rate determined by its permeability. This input may be important, but it is mainly water, and water formerly oceanic: therefore it is not a true input, but simply a delayed return. The transfer of other fluids (mainly oil and gas) is unsignificant generally speaking. Once more, it may be locally important (submarine seepages).
4. (4) On the whole, the processes of water—sediment interaction appear not to add any new matter into the oceanic pool, but rather to regulate the restitution by the sediment to the water of substances which were already present in ocean, in particulate or dissolved form, either free or combined. One can trace out two main processes, which differ in their rates and yields:
4.1. (a) the short time scale diffusion—high rate low yield restitution of organics and inorganics in dissolved state:
4.2. (b) the long time scale compaction: low rate high yield restitution of entrapped fluids, essentially water (devoid of dissolved species).
Not only do these processes not bring any new matter to the ocean, but even the absolute quantities involved are modest compared either to the quantities present in the ocean or to the quantities generated by the photosynthetic primary production or brought by the rivers.In contrast to the insignificance of the water—sediment interaction in the oceanic material balance, this same interaction is one of the main sources for the material sedimented and especially the organic one, and therefore it is a fundamental key for all the subsequent sedimentary history.The significant inputs at the limit “bottom”-water come from the regions of deep tectonic activity, volcanism, creation of new oceanic crust etc… There tremendous amounts of substances can be brought into solution, changing at least locally the concentration equilibrium values of seawater. They are of course inorganic ions, but they can have important biological consequences. The buffering capacity of the world ocean is so high that only cosmic events can influence its composition.  相似文献   

17.
I. O. Leontiev 《Oceanology》2006,46(4):564-572
A new version of the prognostic model is suggested, which differs from the previous version by its structure and method for including long-term variables into the process of coastal modeling. A fundamental prerequisite of the model is the assumption of the quasistationary state of the coast at any arbitrary stage of its evolution. The displacement of the coast under the influence of external factors at given moment is predicted on the basis of the obtained equation for the balance of sediments. The model takes into account a number of properties of the coastline. In particular, the distinguished dependence of the coastline shape on the regime of sediment transport is used to calculate the gradient of the alongshore sediment flux. The model also uses the empirical dependence found earlier, which makes it possible to estimate the second most important component of the sediment balance for selected types of coasts — the cross-shore matter flux. Special attention is focused on adjustment of the model to Arctic conditions. The results obtained are illustrated by the example of forecasting the development of accumulative coasts of the Western Yamal. It is shown that the major part of the Sharapovy Koshki sand islands could disappear within the next 700 years due to erosion.  相似文献   

18.
《Coastal Engineering》2005,52(7):633-645
New experimental laboratory data are presented on swash overtopping and sediment overwash on a truncated beach, approximating the conditions at the crest of a beach berm or inter-tidal ridge-runnel. The experiments provide a measure of the uprush sediment transport rate in the swash zone that is unaffected by the difficulties inherent in deploying instrumentation or sediment trapping techniques at laboratory scale. Overtopping flow volumes are compared with an analytical solution for swash flows as well as a simple numerical model, both of which are restricted to individual swash events. The analytical solution underestimates the overtopping volume by an order of magnitude while the model provides good overall agreement with the data and the reason for this difference is discussed. Modelled flow velocities are input to simple sediment transport formulae appropriate to the swash zone in order to predict the overwash sediment transport rates. Calculations performed with traditional expressions for the wave friction factor tend to underestimate the measured transport. Additional sediment transport calculations using standard total load equations are used to derive an optimum constant wave friction factor of fw = 0.024. This is in good agreement with a broad range of published field and laboratory data. However, the influence of long waves and irregular wave run-up on the overtopping and overwash remains to be assessed. The good agreement between modelled and measured sediment transport rates suggests that the model provides accurate predictions of the uprush sediment transport rates in the swash zone, which has application in predicting the growth and height of beach berms.  相似文献   

19.
Morphodynamic modeling is employed in the present work to predict the long-term evolution (over the next 100 years) of typical sedimentary coasts in the western Russian Arctic. The studied objects are the coasts of Varandey (the Barents Sea), Baydaratskaya Bay and Harasavey (the Kara Sea). The model developed takes into account both the short-term processes (storm events) and long-term factors (for example, changes in sea level, inter-annual variations in gross sediment flux, lack or excess of sediment supply). Predicted and observed morphological changes in coastal profiles are shown to agree well for time scales ranging from weeks to decades. It is revealed that under given environmental conditions, the morphological evolution is strongly influenced by storm surges and associated wind-driven circulation. The water level gradient created by a surge generates a seaward flow at the bed. This outflow is shown to be an important destructive mechanism contributing to the erosion and recession of Arctic coasts. The rate of change is found to depend on both the exposure of the coast (relative to the direction of dominant winds) and its height above the sea. The open coast of Varandey is expected to retreat as much as 300–500 m over 100 years, while recession of the less exposed coasts of Baydaratskaya Bay would not exceed about 100 m/century. If long-term sediment losses are insignificant, the rate of erosion decays with time and the morphodynamic system may tend toward equilibrium. It is concluded that the expected relative sea-level rise (up to 1 m over the nearest 100 years) is non-crucial to the future coastal evolution if an erosion activity is already high enough.  相似文献   

20.
Australia's largest river, the River Murray, discharges to the southern ocean through a coastal lagoon and river-dominated tidal inlet. Increased water extractions upstream for irrigation have led to significantly reduced flows at the mouth and, as a result, the area is undergoing rapid change, particularly with regard to the rate at which sediment is being transported into the lagoon. Based on detailed and accurate bathymetric surveys it has been possible to estimate that the rate of lagoon in-filling is of the order of 100,000 m3 per year for the period June 2000 to May 2003, although the actual rate shows significant year to year variability. Dredging of the lagoon commenced in 2000 in an attempt to reverse the trend.In an effort to understand the behaviour of the inlet a one-dimensional numerical model of the inlet has been developed. The model extends the original of van de Kreeke by including a dynamic inlet throat area based on predicted river flows and a sediment transport module to predict the resulting net sediment transport. Comparisons with water level data collected on both the ocean and lagoon sides of the mouth have shown that the model is able to predict the attenuation and lag of the tidal signal reasonably well. The sediment transport model was based on predicted sediment concentrations in the surf zone and was found to predict the rate of sediment in-filling to an acceptable level of accuracy. It is envisaged that the model will be a useful management tool, especially since it is possible to manipulate river discharges to the mouth.  相似文献   

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