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1.
The permeability of a coal seam is an important index for coal mine gas control and coalbed methane development, and its magnitude determines the degree of difficulty of gas drainage. To obtain the permeability value, a dimensionless mathematical model for dual-porosity borehole gas-coupled flow in a coal seam was established and adopted using a simulator developed by our group. A new method of inversion was developed to determine the fracture permeability coefficient λf and the matrix micro-channel diffusion coefficient Km by fitting the simulated results with onsite measured data. A range of simulations quantified the effects of different dimensionless parameters on gas migration. The results verified the feasibility of the inversion method based on the high matching degree of the fitted results, and the dimensionless mathematical model was accurate. The desorption and release of adsorbed gas from the center to the surface in coal matrices were heterogeneous, and unsteady states and gas migration times in coal matrices cannot be neglected. The new method can be introduced to analyze the problem of gas migration in different coal reservoirs, simplify the corresponding calculation and computational processes, and provide guidance in determining the permeability of coal seams. 相似文献
2.
中国的地震频率高，旅游景区分布广泛，地震的发生常常给震源附近的景区带来风险，景区的地震风险评估研究就尤为必要。在地震及风险相关理论研究和3A级及以上景区分布特征分析的基础上，利用地震动峰值加速度这一参数表征地震危险性，运用ArcGIS软件将地震动峰值加速度区划图和中国3A级及以上景区分布图叠加分析景区的暴露性，并采用风险评估的基本模型计算得到中国3A级及以上景区的地震风险评估结果。最终表明，从各省域的角度看，我国大部分地区的景区地震风险等级较低，江苏省、甘肃省景区地震风险较高，北京市景区地震风险最高。根据评估结果从三个角度分析了3A级及以上景区的地震风险分布态势并有针对性地提出应对策略。 相似文献
3.
基于地震灾害风险形成机理,在建立人口震害脆弱性曲线与确定地震发生参数的基础上,本文利用评估模型对我国Ⅴ-Ⅺ地震烈度下各县域单元的人口死亡风险进行评估并分析其空间分布格局。主要研究内容有:(1)首次采用基于过去—现在—未来的多方面地震孕灾环境资料来处理地震发生的可能性。具体综合历史地震综合烈度、地震活动断裂带分布、地震动峰值加速度三方面来确定全国2355个县域单元的地震发生参数;(2)利用1990-2009年我国历史地震灾情数据,对地震烈度与人员死亡率之间进行线性拟合,建立适合我国地震灾害风险评估的震害人口死亡脆弱性曲线;(3)利用震害风险评估模型对我国各县域单元的人口死亡风险进行定量评估,并分析风险空间分布格局,彻底摸清Ⅴ-Ⅺ地震烈度下我国各县域单元的地震灾害人口死亡风险。研究表明:在不同地震烈度下,我国广大的东、中部地区面临更高的风险,而西部的人口死亡风险相对较低。高风险区域呈零星状分布于山东与江苏大部、安徽北部、黑龙江与吉林东部等人口分布较密集且孕灾环境发育完备的区域。而无风险区域在全国范围内呈斑块状散布,分布格局基本保持不变。 相似文献
4.
The frequency–energy distribution of global seismicity is studied using broad-band radiated energy of shallow earthquakes from January 1987 to December 1994 estimated by NEIC. Rank-ordering statistics are applied to enhance the resolution in retrieving the power-law distribution with undersampled data, namely a few tens of events. Seen in the perspective of broad-band radiated energy with higher resolution, a single (Gutenberg–Richter-type) power-law distribution can fit the data. For earthquakes with energy larger than 10 14 J, the number N of events with energy E depends on E via N∝E −B , with the scaling constant B = 0.64 ± 0.04, corresponding to b = 0.95 ± 0.06. This relation is different from that of scalar seismic moment, which shows a transition of power-law distributions between small and large earthquakes. To demonstrate such a difference we use the same set of earthquakes with both broad-band energy estimation and CMT estimation. It is found that for the same data set, the energy distribution and the moment distribution show different patterns. The moment distribution has a clear kink between small and large earthquakes, while the energy distribution shows a single power law with no convincing kink between small and large earthquakes. To investigate the effect of different focal mechanisms and different seismic regions, events with strike-slip mechanisms and events within the Japan–Kuril region are considered. For these subsets of events, a similar pattern exists, in which the moment distribution shows a kink between small and large earthquakes, while the energy distribution shows a single power law. 相似文献
5.
The Kunlun fault is one of the largest strike-slip faults in northern Tibet, China. In this paper, we focus upon the Kusai Lake–Kunlun Pass segment of the fault to understand the geomorphic development of offset streams caused by repeated large seismic events, based on tectono-geomorphic analysis of high-resolution satellite remote sensing images combined with field studies. The results indicate that systematic left-lateral stream offsets appear at various scales across the fault zone: Lateral offsets of small gullies caused by the 2001 Mw 7.8 Kunlun earthquake vary typically from 3 m to 6 m, meanwhile streams with cumulative offsets of 10 m, 25–30 m, 50–70 m, 250–300 m and 750–1400 m have resulted from repeated large seismic events during the late Quaternary. An average slip rate of 10 ± 1 mm/year has been estimated from the lateral stream offsets and 14C ages of alluvial fan surfaces incised by the streams. A three-dimensional model showing tectono-geomorphic features along a left-lateral strike-slip fault is also presented. The Kusai Lake–Kunlun Pass segment provides an opportunity to understand the relationship between geomorphic features produced by individual large seismic events and long-term geomorphic development caused by repeated large seismic events along a major strike-slip fault. 相似文献
6.
Seismic reflection methods measure the time a seismic wave takes to travel through the ground, from the user defined source
to a series of signal monitoring sensors known as geophones. The measured times need to be depth converted to allow for integration
with other geological data. In order to convert from time to depth, an estimate of the rock volume velocity field must be
made. The velocity field estimate can be made by assignment of velocity estimates to a geological model independent of the
seismic processing. This article presents the results of using the acoustic geophysical log data extrapolated via sequential
Gaussian simulation to derive the velocity field. The uncertainties associated with the velocity estimates were significant
and provided the means to assess confidence limits for the actual depth determination. The technique is assessed by application
to a major coal deposit, approximately 2.1 m thick and 210 m deep. Considering only the uncertainty associated with estimating
the velocity field, half of the confidence interval values showed approximately 1 m of uncertainty in depth. The application
of sequential Gaussian simulation to model the 3D distribution of acoustic velocity can be extended to other geophysical log
parameters or derived estimates. 相似文献
7.
In 1999, the large surface-rupturing earthquakes of Izmit and Duzce completed a 60-year cycle that included a westward migration
of nine consecutive large earthquake failures (>50 km surface rupture), which started with the 1939 Erzincan earthquake in
eastern Turkey. In this study, we focused on seismic cycles and seismic risk predictability along the North Anatolian Fault
(NAF). Toward the west end of the NAF (26°E–32°E, i.e. Bolu), large earthquake frequency is measured from either historic
earthquake catalogs, or geologic records from isolated outcrops and marine sediment cores from the Marmara Sea. In comparison,
the eastern part of the NAF zone (32°E–42°E) is less well documented by palaeo-seismologic archives. Thus, the sediment records
of lake basins located on the eastern NAF zone constitute a unique opportunity for testing a new palaeo-seismologic approach.
To this end, we used a diverse array of complementary methods involving: (1) a 600-km transect of fault-related lakes, (2)
sedimentologic observations on cores from six lakes, and (3) a comparison between records of catastrophic sediment transfers
in lakes (i.e. radionuclide chronomarkers and erosion tracers) and historic earthquake reports. Our study indicates that lakes
along the NAF are sensitive geologic recorders of large surface-rupturing earthquakes (surface-wave magnitude ( M
s) ≥ 6.9); smaller intensities are not recorded. The most responsive lake systems exhibit increases in sediment accumulation
by a factor of >40 for a >3-m strike-slip displacement ( M
s ≥ 7). However, based on results from the 1939 Erzincan earthquake ( M
s = 7.8) chronostratigraphic marker, large surface-rupturing earthquakes are detected only by certain lake records and not
by others. Matching multiple lake records along the NAF provides information both on the location of a surface rupture of
a paleo-earthquake as well as its magnitude. Finally, the shallow lake basins along the NAF could potentially document cycles
of large seismic events for at least the late Holocene. 相似文献
8.
The dynamic coalescence of two mode II cracks on a planar fault is simulated here using the elastodynamic boundary integral equation method. We focus on the complexity of the resultant slip rate and seismic radiation in the crack coalescence model (CCM) and on the reconstruction of a single crack model (SCM) that can reproduce the CCM waveforms from heterogeneous source parameters rather than coalescence. Simulation results reveal that localized higher slip rates are generated by coalescence as a result of stress interaction between the approaching crack tips. The synthesized seismic radiation exhibits a distinct coalescence phase that has striking similarities to stopping phases in the radiation and propagation properties. The corresponding SCM yields a singular increase in the stress drop distribution, which is accompanied by a sudden decrease in it across the point of coalescence in the CCM. This implies that the generation of high-frequency radiation is more efficient from coalescence than from stopping, although both phenomena exhibit the same strong ω −2 -type displacement spectra. 相似文献
10.
新建煤矿发展循环经济是避免"三农四矿"问题的有效途径.在研究煤炭产业循环经济发展模式的基础上,以正在建设中的新郑煤矿区为例,运用SWOT方法分析了其社会经济基础,提出了目标、指标体系、总体框架和发展模式,并从区域可持续发展的角度提出了新建煤矿区在初期可按"煤-电-建"的模式发展,中后期可按"煤化工"的模式发展,并在企业、园区和社会3个层面建立循环型工业体系、循环型农业体系、资源节约型社会体系和绿色社区体系四大循环体系,为其他新建煤矿区的发展提供借鉴和示范作用. 相似文献
11.
With increasing demands for coal resources, coal has been gradually mined in deep coal seams. Due to high gas content, pressure and in situ stress, deep coal seams show great risks of coal and gas outburst. Protective coal seam mining, as a safe and effective method for gas control, has been widely used in major coal-producing countries in the world. However, at present, the relevant problems, such as gas seepage characteristics and optimization of gas drainage borehole layout in protective coal seam mining have been rarely studied. Firstly, by combining with formulas for measuring and testing permeability of coal and rock mass in different stress regimes and failure modes in the laboratory, this study investigated stress–seepage coupling laws by using built-in language Fish of numerical simulation software FLAC3D. In addition, this research analyzed distribution characteristics of permeability in a protected coal seam in the process of protective coal seam mining. Secondly, the protected coal seam was divided into a zone with initial permeability, a zone with decreasing permeability, and permeability increasing zones 1 and 2 according to the changes of permeability. In these zones, permeability rises the most in the permeability increasing zone 2. Moreover, by taking Shaqu Coal Mine, Shanxi Province, China as an example, layout of gas drainage boreholes in the protected coal seam was optimized based on the above permeability-based zoning. Finally, numerical simulation and field application showed that gas drainage volume and concentration rise significantly after optimizing borehole layout. Therefore, when gas is drained through boreholes crossing coal seams during the protective coal seam mining in other coal mines, optimization of borehole layout in Shaqu Coal Mine has certain reference values. 相似文献
12.
在中国,尤其在中国西北部地区,树轮年表是古气候信息的一个重要来源.由于某种原因,中国东部地区少有树轮研究工作.该文通过运引ARSTAN程序,建立并研究了山东境内沂山地区的树轮主年表(1750～1992).树轮和气候要素的响应面分析得出沂山地区的树轮生长和温度降水呈非线性相关,因此使用传统方法重建单个气候因子是不合理的.通过响应函数和回归分析,5月至8月份的湿润指数( P/T)被确定为重建对象,该湿润指数值代表了温度和降水对树轮生长的共同影响,且相关性很高,远超过信度检验.利用线性回归方法,获得重建湿润指数的预报方程,用树木年轮年表重建了自1750年以来的沂山地区逐年5月～8月湿润指数的变化.分析了沂山地区湿润指数重建的可靠性. 相似文献
13.
This paper seeks to arrive at a consistent interpretation of (1) the age model, (2) the grain size record, and (3) seismic reflection data from Lake Hovsgol (a.k.a Khubsugul or Hövsgöl), Mongolia, reported by Fedotov et al. ( 2007, earlier by Fedotov et al. 2002, 2004). In their most recent contribution, the grain size record of the KDP-01 drill core is interpreted as a climatic signal while little consideration is given to lake-level changes and hence to basin-wide changes in depositional setting evident from seismic profiles; also, a nearly linear age model is at odds with the seismic evidence for a major angular unconformity in the sediment strata. The lack of regional seismic stratigraphic analysis has thus led to an improbable interpretation of the Lake Hovsgol sediment grain size record and ultimately to an improbable scenario of Mongolian glaciation history. Using the available seismic profiles, here we show that the drill core penetrated several transgressive/regressive sedimentary sequences and a major angular unconformity. Therefore, the drilled sediment section cannot represent continuous sediment accumulation and the Brunhes age model across the unconformity cannot be nearly linear; the time interval representing a hiatus remains to be determined. The assumed nearly linear age/depth relationship in the upper 23 m above the angular unconformity is also an unlikely relationship, given the evidence of repeated changes in lake level, and hence in the depositional setting and sedimentation rates. We further propose a qualitative reference model for changes in the Lake Hovsgol depositional setting (presented as a step-by-step animation – see supplementary material) based on manually ‘backstripping and rebuilding’ the seismic pattern. We argue that this model provides a useful template of the likely sediment facies changes in the deep axial part of the Hovsgol basin: our crude model in fact captures the major depositional trends in the KDP-01 drill core section located some 10 km NW along the seismic line. We contend that changes in the depositional setting provide the first-order control on sediment grain size in the Hovsgol record. Our study provides important new constraints on the nature of sedimentary proxy records in Lake Hovsgol and on their interpretation as a record of Mongolian glaciation history. 相似文献
14.
Summary Microphones and seismographs were co-located in arrays on Skidaway Island, Georgia, for the launchings of Apollo 13 and 14, 374 km to the south. Simultaneous acoustic and seismic waves were recorded for both events at times appropriate to the arrival of the acoustic waves from the source. Significant comparisons of the true signals are (1) the acoustic signal is relatively broadband compared to the nearly monochromatic seismic signal; (2) the seismic signal is much more continuous than the more pulse-like acoustic signal; (3) ground loading from the pressure variations of the acoustic waves is shown to be too small to account for the seismic waves; (4) the measured phase velocities of both acoustic and seismic waves across the local instrument arrays differ by less than 6 per cent and possibly 3 per cent if experimental error is included. It is concluded that the seismic waves are generated by resonant coupling to the acoustic waves along some 10 km of path on Skidaway Island. The thickness of unconsolidated sediment on the island is appropriate to a resonant ground wave frequency of 3.5 to 4 Hz, as observed. Under appropriate conditions, ground wave observations may prove more effective means of detecting certain aspects of acoustic signals in view of the filtering of wind noise and amplification through resonance. 相似文献
15.
High‐resolution acoustic and seismic data acquired 100 km offshore Cape São Vicente, image with unprecedented detail one of the largest active reverse faults of the SW Iberian Margin, the Horseshoe Fault (HF). The HF region is an area seismogenically active, source of the largest magnitude instrumental and historical earthquake ( Mw > 6) occurred in the SW Iberian Margin. The HF corresponds to a N40 trending, 110 km long, and NW‐verging active thrust that affects the whole sedimentary sequence and reaches up to the seafloor, generating a relief of more than 1 km. The along‐strike structural variability as well as fault trend suggests that the HF is composed by three main sub‐segments: North (N25), Central (N50) and South (N45). Swath‐bathymetry, TOBI sidescan sonar backscatter and parametric echosounder TOPAS profiles reveal the surface morphology of the HF block, characterized by several, steep (20°) small scarps located on the hangingwall, and a succession of mass transport deposits (i.e. turbidites) on its footwall, located in the Horseshoe Abyssal Plain. A succession of pre‐stack depth‐migrated multichannel seismic reflection profiles across the HF and neighbouring areas allowed us to constrain their seismo‐stratigraphy, structural geometry, tectono‐sedimentary evolution from Upper Jurassic to present‐day, and to calculate their fault parameters. Finally, on the basis of segment length, surface fault area and seismogenic depth we evaluated the seismic potential of the HF, which in the worst‐case scenario may generate an earthquake of magnitude Mw 7.8 ± 0.1. Thus, considering the tectonic behaviour and near‐shore location, the HF should be recognized in seismic and tsunami hazard assessment models of Western Europe and North Africa. 相似文献
16.
In most modern coal mines, there are many coal quality parameters that are measured on samples taken from boreholes. These data are used to generate spatial models of the coal quality parameters, typically using inverse distance as an interpolation method. At the same time, downhole geophysical logging of numerous additional boreholes is used to measure various physical properties but no coal quality samples are taken. The work presented in this paper uses two of the most important coal quality variables—ash and volatile matter—and assesses the efficacy of using a number of geostatistical interpolation methods to improve the accuracy of the interpolated models, including the use of auxiliary variables from geophysical logs. A multivariate spatial statistical analysis of ash, volatile matter and several auxiliary variables is used to establish a co-regionalization model that relates all of the variables as manifestations of an underlying geological characteristic. A case study of a coal mine in Queensland, Australia, is used to compare the interpolation methods of inverse distance to ordinary kriging, universal kriging, co-kriging, regression kriging and kriging with an external drift. The relative merits of these six methods are compared using the mean error and the root mean square error as measures of bias and accuracy. The study demonstrates that there is significant opportunity to improve the estimations of coal quality when using kriging with an external drift. The results show that when using the depth of a sample as an external drift variable there is a significant improvement in the accuracy of estimation for volatile matter, and when using wireline density logs as the drift variable there is improvement in the estimation of the in situ ash. The economic benefit of these findings is that cheaper proxies for coal quality parameters can significantly increase data density and the quality of estimations. 相似文献
17.
One of the prospective methods of coal utilization, especially in case of coal resources which are not mineable by means of
conventional methods, is underground coal gasification (UCG). This technology allows recovery of coal energy “in situ” and
thus avoid the health and safety risks related to people which are inseparable from traditional coal extraction techniques.
In Poland most mining areas are characterized by numerous coal beds where extraction was ceased on account of technical and
economic reasons or safety issues. This article presents estimates of Polish hard coal resources, broken down into individual
mines, that can constitute the basis of raw materials for the gasification process. Five mines, representing more than 4 thousand
tons, appear to be UCG candidates. 相似文献
18.
Non-linear elastic response of rocks has been widely observed in laboratory, but very few seismic studies are reported in the literature, even though it is the most natural environment where this feature could be observed. Analytic solutions to the non-linear wave propagation phenomena are not readily available, and there is a need to use approximated techniques. It is clear that when a seismic wave propagates through a homogeneous non-linear elastic media, it will be perturbed by the non-linearity. This perturbation can be treated as a source of scattering, spreading the energy of the primary wave in space and time, contributing to the seismic coda. This is in some sense similar to the effect of heterogeneities. The properties of the coda due to the non-linearity depend on the amount of non-linearity and the seismic moment. Using a perturbation approach we calculate the amplitude of the scattered waves, and show that it can describe reasonably well the main features of real seismic codas. 相似文献
19.
Two-dimensional seismic modelling has been undertaken on an overall progradational succession of sloping mudstone and sandstone units from the Palaeogene of Spitsbergen. The modelling shows that the main geometric features of the section would be resolved at 1500 m depth (with frequencies below 60 Hz, which is common in seismic data at these depths). However, interference between the base and top of lithological units gives lateral amplitude variations and discrepancies between the seismic image and the geometrical model. This is particularly prominent in low-frequency models. Terminations of reflectors, resembling toplap and onlap, may be interpreted, but are artefacts of the general convergence of lithological units present in the geometrical model. The geological section causes a seismic pattern resembling sigmoid progradational seismic facies. Two-dimensional seismic modelling is an efficient tool in bridging the gap between outcrop observations and subsurface data. Hence, modelled outcrop sections are important as reference points' for improved seismic stratigraphic interpretation. 相似文献
20.
Seismic hazard maps of central-southern Africa where hazard has been expressed in terms of peak ground acceleration for an annual probability in excess of 10 -1 show relatively high values that distinguish the seismic hazard potential of the Deka fault zone, the mid-Zambezi basin-Luangwa rift and western central Mozambique. In areas such as central-southern Africa where little is known about the geology of the region and the fault systems have not been fully mapped, seismic hazard potential may be estimated from seismicity and broad-scale fault features. For this region, such potential is based on earthquake magnitude M s ≥ 6. Events of such magnitude have recently occurred in the mid-Zambezi basin, southern Zimbabwe and western-central Mozambique. This paper follows the conventional probabilistic hazard analysis procedure, defining seismic source zones from seismicity based on instrumental records from a cataloque that spans a period of 83 years. Geological and geomorphological features in the region are described on the mesoscale and are correlated with the seismicity as broad fault zones. The scarcity of strong-motion accelerogram data necessitated the formulation of attenuation values based on random vibration theory (RVT). 相似文献
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