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泉水动态分析预测和资源评价——以辉县百泉为例 总被引：6，自引：2，他引：6
本文通过对辉县百泉泉水流量动态的分析，确定了泉水流量动态的影响因素，建立了泉水流量的衰减方程和泉水流量的预测模型，预测了天然状态泉水流量，评了泉域岩溶水的开采资源。 相似文献
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新乡百泉具有供水、农灌、人文、旅游及生态等多种功能,研究其泉水流量动态,建立泉水流量动态预测模型,对泉域水资源评价和泉水资源保护具有重要意义。为了进一步研究新乡百泉天然状态下泉水流量动态特征、评价泉域岩溶水资源,基于1964—1978年泉水年均实测流量和泉域年均降水量资料,通过逐步回归分析,确定泉水流量的主要影响因素为前1年降水量,并建立了逐步回归模型,其回归效果显著;在逐步回归分析的基础上建立了泉水流量动态预测的GM(1,2)模型、NSGM(1, 2)模型和GM(0, 2)模型。结果表明：1964—1978年百泉泉水流量动态主要受泉域降水控制,且泉水流量滞后降水1年,反映了天然状态下泉水动态特征。3种灰色模型的精度等级均为最高级（优）。1964—1978年百泉泉水实测流量为2.347～6.448 m3/s,平均为3.904 m3/s;逐步回归模型预测值为1.882～6.383 m3/s,平均为3.904 m3/s;GM(1,2)模型预测值为2.327～6.448 m3/s,平均为3.939 m3/s;NSGM(1,2)模型预测值为2.133～6.448 m3/s,平均为3.927 m... 相似文献
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山西娘子关泉流量的滑动平均模拟 总被引：6，自引：3，他引：3
<正> 娘子关泉位于山西省平定县娘子关附近,多年平均流量11.7米~3/秒,为一稳定型岩溶泉水,从水循环角度看,泉水流量实质上是地下水系统对补给调蓄作用的结果,泉流量动态不仅保留大气降水周期性变化的特征,而且包含着地下水系统调蓄作用的信息。笔者应用滑动平均模型,试图通过对娘子关泉流量与降水量之关系的模拟,从统计平均角度揭示地下水系统的总体特征,探讨泉流量动态预测、计算地下水资源的方法,为类似水文地质区地下水资源计算提供一个范例。 相似文献
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济南岩溶泉水流量衰减原因分析及动态模拟 总被引：4，自引：1，他引：3
以济南岩溶泉水为例,采用统计学方法,结合统计学分析软件SPSS对岩溶含水系统的流量动态进行分析。根据济南市38年（1959—1996年）的观测资料,将泉水流量多年动态过程分为两个阶段（1959—1968年及1969—1996年）,分别对其进行偏相关分析。结果发现,前一阶段的影响因素主要为自然因素,而后一个阶段则受自然因素和人类活动共同影响。在此基础上,建立了各阶段的数学模型并对流量动态进行了模拟和预测。结果表明,模拟阶段（1959—1980年）的流量误差为2％,预测阶段（1981—1987年）的流量误差为3．4％,结果较好。 相似文献
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应用地下水模拟软件GMS建立山东济南明水泉域的三维地下水流数值模拟模型,对泉域内岩溶地下水进行数值模拟和水平衡分析,评价了泉域岩溶地下水资源总量和在保持泉水常年喷涌条件下的岩溶地下水可采资源量。在此基础上,应用时间序列分析法对泉水水位动态进行了预测。结果表明:明水泉域多年（2003-2014年）地下水补给量为1.23×108 m3·a-1,排泄量为1.36×108 m3·a-1,均衡差为-1.30×108 m3·a-1;模型预测未来20年泉水最低水位为55.65 m,最高水位为68.72 m,平均泉流量为34.6×104 m3·d-1。 相似文献
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在野外调查和收集现有资料基础上,对下河泉水源地水文地质条件、泉水流量动态、水源地保证程度与可能的环境问题进行了分析,论证了建立下河泉水源地的可行性. 相似文献
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洪山泉流量动态及影响因素分析 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
以39年洪水泉流量观测资料为基础，对泉水稳定性、变化特征及影响因素进行了探讨分析，结果表明洪水泉39年的泉水流量动态曲线出现了4个高峰、4个低谷，峰谷交替时间间隔周期为8年左右。大气降水是洪水泉水的主要补给来源，对泉水补给存在着8年的滞后期，是控制着泉水的流量的主要因素，随着多年降雨量的减少泉水流量呈下降趋势，采煤及地下水超采改变了地下水的补经排条件，影响了洪水泉水量水质，也是洪水泉流量减少的重要原因，今后应加强洪水泉的保护，进行合理开发以达到可持续利用的目的。 相似文献
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济南岩溶含水系统的泉水位和泉流量明显滞迟于降水量。利用峰值时段差、原始序列回归等方法,并考虑了降水量、泉水位、泉流量周期性的影响,计算出济南岩溶含水系统的滞迟时间为2～6个月。以不同滞迟时间建立了泉流量预测模型,并进行了对比分析,滞迟时间6个月预测模型,预测精度较高,物理概念不明确;滞迟时间2个月预测模型,预测精度稍差,但物理概念明确,建议采用该模型进行泉流量预测。 相似文献
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本文运用GM(1,1)分解模型和ARIMA模型分别模拟柳林泉流量。根据影响特征将泉水流量变化分为两个时段研究:1957—1973年泉水流量处于自然状态;1974—2009年泉水流量受气候变化和人类活动双重影响。运用第1时段的数据建模获得自然状态下泉水流量的模型,将模型外推,获得第2阶段自然状态下泉水流量,然后根据水量平衡原理,减去同期实测流量,获得人类活动对泉水流量衰减的贡献。GM(1,1)分解模型的结果显示,从20世纪70年代到21世纪初柳林泉衰减量为2.26m3/s;ARIMA模型的结果为2.32m3/s;与同期实际衰减量2.27m3/s比,相对误差分别为0.44%和2.20%,表明两种模型都适用于泉水流量的模拟。对比人类活动和气候变化对柳林泉流量衰减的贡献,两个模型得到同样结果,即人类活动的贡献是气候变化的8～9倍。实证研究显示,GM(1,1)模型适用于指数序列的模拟,对具有周期波动的泉水流量,可通过周期修正提高精度;而ARIMA模型能够较好地反映泉水流量相对于降水量的时间滞后效应,能比较准确地模拟泉水流量与降水量的量化关系。 相似文献
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S. Viswanathan K. Surya Prakash Rao B. Mahabaleswar 《Journal of the Geological Society of India》2013,82(6):621-627
Komatiites are mantle-derived ultramafic volcanic rocks. Komatiites have been discovered in several States of India, notably in Karnataka. Studies on the distribution of trace-elements in the komatiites of India are very few. This paper proposes a simple, accurate, precise, rapid, and non-destructive wavelength-dispersive x-ray fluorescence (WDXRF) spectrometric technique for determining Sc, V, Cr, Co, Ni, Cu, Zn, Rb, Sr, Y, Zr, Nb, Ba, Pb, and Th in komatiites, and discusses the accuracy, precision, limits of detection, x-ray spectral-line interferences, inter-element effects, speed, advantages, and limitations of the technique. The accuracy of the technique is excellent (within 3%) for Sc, V, Cr, Co, Ni, Cu, Zn, Rb, Sr, Zr, Nb, Ba, Pb, and Th and very good (within 4%) for Y. The precision is also excellent (within 3%) for Sc, V, Cr, Co, Ni, Cu, Zn, Rb, Sr, Y, Zr, Nb, Ba, Pb, and Th. The limits of detection are: 1 ppm for Sc and V; 2 ppm for Cr, Co, and Ni; 3 ppm for Cu, Zn, Rb, and Sr; 4 ppm for Y and Zr; 6 ppm for Nb; 10 ppm for Ba; 13 ppm for Pb; and 14 ppm for Th. The time taken for determining Sc, V, Cr, Co, Ni, Cu, Zn, Rb, Sr, Y, Zr, Nb, Ba, Pb, and Th in a batch of 24 samples of komatiites, for a replication of four analyses per sample, by one operator, using a manual WDXRF spectrometer, is only 60 hours. 相似文献
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奥地利安东帕有限公司 《岩矿测试》2009,28(3):306-306
最新的流行病学研究表明,空气中较高浓度的悬浮细颗粒可能对人类的健康有不利的影响。根据该项研究显示,由于心脏病、慢性呼吸问题和肺功能指标恶化而导致死亡率的升高与细尘粒子有关。这些研究结果已经促使欧盟于1999年4月出台了限制空气中二氧化硫、二氧化氮、氧化氮、铅和颗粒物含量的法案(1999/30/EC),对各项指标包括对可吸入PM10颗粒的浓度提出了新的限制性指标。PM10颗粒是指可以通过预分级器分离采集的气体动力学直径小于10μm的细颗粒。目前研究的兴趣重点逐步偏向PM2.5这些更细微颗粒物,PM2.5这种颗粒物对健康有明显的不利影响。在欧盟指令2008/50/EC中,对PM10和PM2.5都提 相似文献
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E. M. Prasolov S. A. Sergeev B. V. Belyatsky E. S. Bogomolov K. A. Gruzdov I. N. Kapitonov R. Sh. Krymsky V. O. Khalenev 《Geochemistry International》2018,56(1):46-64
This paper reports the first results of a study of 11 isotope systems (3He/4He, 40Ar/36Ar, 34S/32S, 65Cu/63Cu, 62Ni/60Ni, 87Sr/86Sr, 143Nd/144Nd, 206–208Pb/204Pb, Hf–Nd, U–Pb, and Re–Os) in the rocks and ores of the Cu–Ni–PGE deposits of the Norilsk ore district. Almost all the results were obtained at the Center of Isotopic Research of the Karpinskii All-Russia Research Institute of Geology. The use of a number of independent genetic isotopic signatures and comprehensive isotopic knowledge provided a methodic basis for the interpretation of approximately 5000 isotopic analyses of various elements. The presence of materials from two sources, crust and mantle, was detected in the composition of the rocks and ores. The contribution of the crustal source is especially significant in the paleofluids (gas–liquid microinclusions) of the ore-forming medium. Crustal solutions were probably a transport medium during ore formation. Air argon is dominant in the ores, which indicates a connection between the paleofluids and the atmosphere. This suggests intense groundwater circulation during the crystallization of ore minerals. The age of the rocks and ores of the Norilsk deposits was determined. The stage of orebody formation is restricted to a narrow age interval of 250 ± 10 Ma. An isotopic criterion was proposed for the ore-bearing potential of mafic intrusions in the Norilsk–Taimyr region. It includes several interrelated isotopic ratios of various elements: He, Ar, S, and others. 相似文献
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Mining induced subsidence can significantly affect mining costs where major surface facilities and natural environment need to be protected. Overburden grout injection is a technology used to control coal mine subsidence by injecting the mine waste material extracted from the coal back into the inter-burden rock during longwall mining. The flowing slurry is here categorised as a nonlinear viscous cohesive (Bingham plastic) fluid. During longwall mining the grout slurry is pumped into the separated beds of the rock mass through a central vertical borehole, which is drilled deep into the inter-burden rock strata above the coal seam. However, a blockage can occur in the injection system when the slurry velocity falls below a certain critical threshold velocity, indicating a material phase change from cohesive-viscous to cohesive-frictional. In situ field injection tests through boreholes have been simulated at a smaller scale at the CSIRO laboratory in Brisbane by pumping the slurry through a radial disk (gap = 4 mm) from its centre. Laboratory experiments indicate a general, nonlinear, cohesive, viscous, frictional model for shear behaviour of the slurry, in which the material shear parameters are functions of the disk radial distance. Complete dimensional and dimensionless analytical solutions have been developed based on an approach related to Bingham–Herschel–Bulkley fluid mechanics. The derived formulae include relations for minimum pump pressure, local pressure and pressure gradient, wall shear stress, volume rate, velocity and velocity gradient. The theoretical results match the experimental measurements. The experiments covered slurries with maximum particle sizes of 0.5 to 2 mm with about 50% being larger than 100 µm. The viscosities at the various solids concentrations were measured with a standard torsion viscometer. This study differs from the previous research in several distinct aspects, namely, consideration of the variable shear parameters rather than fixed values, inclusion of total nonlinear behaviour, and implementation of a friction function to mimic behaviour of the deposited and consolidating stiff slurry, which can cause a significant pressure rise as a result of the increased shear resistance. 相似文献
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Between 1985 and 1991, two new mountain protected areas (MTNPA) covering more than 35,000 km2 and based on participatory management models — the Makalu-Barun National Park and Conservation Area, Nepal, and Qomolangma Nature Preserve, Tibet Autonomous Region — were successfully established through the collaborative efforts of Woodlands Mountain Institute and conservationists in China and Nepal. Characteristics common to both projects include the importance of establishing (1) effective rationales, (2) local support constituencies, (3) a senior advisory group, (4) a task force, (5) linkages between conservation and development, and (6) fund raising mechanisms. The lessons derived from the experiences of Woodlands Mountain Institute are of significant value to others in preserving MTNPA. Increased collaboration and communication between all interested in conservation, however, will remain a critical component for expanding mountain protected area coverage to throughout the world. 相似文献
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《Applied Geochemistry》2001,16(2):137-159
Five hundred and ninety-eight samples of terrestrial moss (Hylocomium splendens and Pleurozium schreberi) collected from a 188,000 km2 area of the central Barents region (NE Norway, N Finland, NW Russia) were analysed by ICP-AES and ICP-MS. Analytical results for Al, B, Ba, Ca, K, La, Mg, Mn, Na, P, Rb, Si, Sr, Th, U and Y concentrations are reported here. Graphical methods of data analysis, such as geochemical maps, cumulative frequency diagrams, boxplots and scatterplots, are used to interpret the origin of the patterns for these elements. None of the elements reported here are emitted in significant amounts from the smelting industry on the Kola Peninsula. Despite the conventional view that moss chemistry reflects atmospheric element input, the nature of the underlying mineral substrate (regolith or bedrock) is found to have a considerable influence on moss composition for several elements. This influence of the chemistry of the mineral substrate can take place in a variety of ways. (1) It can be completely natural, reflecting the ability of higher plants to take up elements from deep soil horizons and shed them with litterfall onto the surface. (2) It can result from naturally increased soil dust input where vegetation is scarce due to harsh climatic conditions for instance. Alternatively, substrate influence can be enhanced by human activity, such as open-cast mining, creation of ‘technogenic deserts’, or handling, transport and storage of ore and ore products, all of which magnify the natural elemental flux from bedrock to ground vegetation. Seaspray is another natural process affecting moss composition in the area (Mg, Na), and this is most visible in the Norwegian part of the study area. Presence or absence of some plant species, e.g., lichens, seems to influence moss chemistry. This is shown by the low concentrations of B or K in moss on the Finnish and Norwegian side of the (fenced) border with Russia, contrasting with high concentrations on the other side (intensive reindeer husbandry west of the border has selectively depleted the lichen population). 相似文献
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Marta L. PATINO-DOUCE Alberto PATINO-DOUCE Mazhar QAYYUM Roger L. NIELSEN 《Geostandards and Geoanalytical Research》1994,18(2):195-198
We have developed a set of four synthetic standards for the rare earth and high field strength elements designed for use in the determination of those elements in silicates. The base material is a glass nominally at the eutectic of the MgO-Al2 O3 -SiO2 ternary system. The nominal doping level was 2 wt% of the elements as oxides. To avoid problems associated with peak interference, the elements were doped in four separate glasses. 相似文献