Short-term Climate Characteristics at Ny-(A)lesund over the Arctic Tundra Area     

Deng Haibin  Lu Longhua  Bian Lingen 《极地研究(英文版)》2005,16(2)

Based on the Germany Koldwey Station's 1994-2003 conventional observation hourly data, this paper conducts a statistical analysis on the short-term climate characteristics for an arctic tundra region (Ny-(A)lesund island) where our first arctic expedition station (Huanghe Station) was located. Affected by the North Atlantic warming current, this area has a humid temperate climate, and the air temperature at Ny-(A)lesund rose above 0 ℃ even during deep winter season during our research period. The wind speed in this area was low and appeared most at southeast direction. We find that the temperature at Ny-(A)lesund rose in the faster rate (0.68 ℃/10 a) than those at the whole Arctic area. Compared with the floating ices where our expedition conducted in the Arctic, Ny-(A)lesund was warmer and more humid and had lower wind speed. Comparison of the near surface air temperature derived by NCEP/NCAR reanalysis to the conventional measurements conducted at the Koldwey site in Ny-(A)lesund area shows a good agreement for winter season and a significant difference for summer season.  相似文献   

热带气旋进入广西影响区强度突然加强的环流特征及物理量诊断分析     

李宇  陈润珍  蔡敏  孔宁谦 《海洋预报》2006,23(Z1):104-109

本文对1960~2002年进入广西影响区的热带气旋进行统计分析,发现平均每年有4.3个热带气旋进入广西影响区,强度突然加强的平均每年有0.3个,发生在6~10月,其区域分布主要集中在海南岛东北部近海至粤西近海区域和北部湾海域。利用《台风年鉴》和《历史天气图》以及欧洲中心NCEP再分析资料,对这类热带气旋进行环流特征诊断分析,得出了一些结论,有助于更好地做出这类热带气旋的风力和降水预报。  相似文献   

利用浮标资料初步评估NCEP再分析湍通量     

史剑  闻斌  王凯 《海洋预报》2007,24(2):74-82

通过与浮标观测资料的对比分析,指出NCEP动量通量、再计算NCEP热通量更能够代表NCEP再分析数据库的数值模拟效果。当风速大于20m/s时,数值模拟的湍通量低于浮标块体湍通量,当风速在10～20m/s时,数值模拟的湍通量高于浮标块体湍通量。同时还发现数值模拟结果的延迟现象,以及不能反映大风过后快速的海气温差变化而引起的感热通量变化。  相似文献   

北极苔原新奥尔松地区的地表辐射特征   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

邓海滨  陆龙骅  卞林根 《极地研究》2006,18(4):254-264

利用我国北极黄河站所在地,德国Koldewey站1993-2003年的资料,对新奥尔松地区的地表辐射特征进行了初步分析。结果表明,由于云的影响,新奥尔松极昼期间的日照百分率仅为32.2%。暖季由于下垫面地表冰雪融化,地表反射率迅速减小,地面吸收辐射和地面有效辐射都迅速增大。全年累计的净辐射为正值;暖季是接受太阳辐射能的主要时段,寒季接受的太阳辐射能极少。虽近10年来新奥尔松地区的气温增加十分显著,但各辐射量的变化趋势不明显。地表辐射实测值与同期NCEP/NCAR相邻格点逐日资料的比较表明,NCEP资料对各辐射项模拟的精度不高。  相似文献   

MODIS与NCEP大气可降水量资料的比较分析   总被引：1，自引：4，他引：1  

权维俊  陈洪滨  肖稳安 《南京气象学院学报》2004,27(2):169-177

利用中国大陆地区2001年4个季节(1、4、7、10月)中8d和4m的NCEP资料，对整层大气的比湿进行积分得到大气可降水量。选用了同时同地的MODIS大气可降水量资料，然后对两者进行了对比分析。结果发现：在中国西北、内蒙地区MODIS大气可降水量资料要比NCEP资料普遍偏大，而在东南和华南部分地区则普遍偏小。如果对上述两个地区的MODIS资料分别乘以修正系数0．933983和1．07686，则两者的差别可控制在0．2cm以内。因此，MODIS大气可降水量资料经过修正后，可以为卫星反演模式提供同化性较好的输入资料。  相似文献   

Estimation of mean and extreme waves in the East China Seas     

《Applied Ocean Research》2016

Accurately estimating the mean and extreme wave statistics and better understanding their directional and seasonal variations are of great importance in the planning and designing of ocean and coastal engineering works. Due to the lack of long-term wave measurement data, the analysis of extreme waves is often based on the numerical wave hind-casting results. In this study, the wave climate in the East China Seas (including the Bohai Sea, the Yellow Sea and the East China Sea) for the past 35 years (1979–2013) is hind-casted using a third generation wave model – WAMC4 (Cycle 4 version of WAM model). Two sets of reanalysis wind data from NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction, USA) and ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts) are used to drive the wave model to generate the long-term wave climate. The hind-casted waves are then analysed to study the mean and extreme wave statistics in the study area. The results show that the mean wave heights decrease from south to north and from sea to land in general. The extreme wave heights with return periods of 50 and 100 years in the summer and autumn seasons are significantly higher than those in the other two seasons, mainly due to the effect of typhoon events. The mean wave heights in the winter season have the highest values, mainly due to the effect of winter monsoon winds. The comparison of extreme wave statistics from both wind fields with the field measurements at several nearshore wave observation stations shows that the extreme waves generated by the ECMWF winds are better than those generated by the NCEP winds. The comparison also shows the extreme waves in deep waters are better reproduced than those in shallow waters, which is partly attributed to the limitations of the wave model used. The results presented in this paper provide useful insight into the wave climate in the area of the East China Seas, as well as the effect of wind data resolution on the simulation of long-term waves.  相似文献   

基于NCEP FNL资料的山西岢岚地区雨雪天气诊断可信度分析     

程胡华  王益柏  闻斌  武帅  智茂林  赵亮 《气象与环境学报》2019,35(2):23-31

基于山西岢岚地区2005—2014年共1218个雨雪天气日的NCEP FNL资料(1°×1°)与探空资料,采用偏差、绝对差、相关系数和偏差区间占有率的统计方法,对常规物理量(温度、相对湿度、纬向风和经向风)和诊断物理量(T_800-500、T_d800和TT_d700)进行统计分析。结果表明:常规物理量中的温度平均偏差值和绝对差值最小、相关系数值最大,分别为-0. 22℃、1. 02℃、0. 90,可信度最高;而相对湿度的平均偏差值和绝对差值最大、相关系数值最小,分别为12. 31%、19. 68%和0. 63,可信度最低;纬向风和经向风的可信度相差不大,略低于温度;诊断物理量T_800-500、T_d800和TT_d700的偏差值分别为-0. 08℃、1. 50℃和2. 79℃,绝对差值分别为1. 21℃、3. 33℃和4. 14℃,相关系数值分别为0. 95、0. 92和0. 74,偏差值为[-5,5]占总数百分比分别为98. 77%、80. 30%和75. 04%。即T_800-500可信度最高,TT_d700指数可信度最低。  相似文献   

EVALUATION OF DAILY PRECIPITATION IN CHINA FROM ECMWF AND NCEP REANALYSES   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

崔茂常  冯明  练树民 《中国海洋湖沼学报》2000,18(1):35-41

ＩＮＴＲＯＤＵＣＴＩＯＮＷｅａｔｈｅｒｆｏｒｅｃａｓｔｉｎｇａｓａｍａｊｏｒｓｕｂｊｅｃｔｉｎａｔｍｏｓｐｈｅｒｉｃｓｃｉｅｎｃｅｈａｓｄｅｖｅｌｏｐｅｄｓｉｎｃｅｔｈｅ 1 950’ｓｉｎｔｏａｍｏｄｅｒｎｓｃｉｅｎｃｅ .Ｎｕｍｅｒｉｃａｌｗｅａｔｈｅｒｆｏｒｅｃａｓｔｍｏｄｅｌｓａｒｅｅｘｔｅｎｓｉｖｅｌｙａｎｄｆｒｅｑｕｅｎｔｌｙｕｓｅｄｔｏｃｈｅｃｋｔｈｅｔｈｅｏｒｉｅｓ,ｒｕｌｅｏｕｔｔｈｅｏｌｄｉｎｃｏｒｒｅｃｔｏｎｅｓａｎｄｐｒｅｓｅｎｔｎｅｗｉｄｅａｓ,ａｎｄｓｕｇｇｅｓｔｍｅｔｈｏｄｓ…  相似文献   

Estimation of surface latent heat fluxes from IRS-P4/MSMR satellite data     

Randhir Singh  B. Simon  P. C. Joshi 《Journal of Earth System Science》2001,110(3):231-238

The brightness temperatures of the Microwave sensor MSMR (Multichannel Scanning Microwave Radiometer) launched in May 1999 onboard Indian Oceansat-1 IRS-P4 are used to develop a direct retrieval method for latent heat flux by multivariate regression technique. The MSMR measures the microwave radiances at 8 channels at frequencies of 6.6, 10.7, 18 and 21 GHz at both vertical and horizontal polarizations. It is found that the surface LHF (Latent Heat Flux) is sensitive to all the channels. The coefficients were derived using the National Centre for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) reanalysis data of three months: July, September, November of 1999. The NCEP daily analyzed latent heat fluxes and brightness temperatures observed by MSMR were used to derive the coefficients. Validity of the derived coefficients was checked within situ observations over the Indian Ocean and with NCEP analyzed LHF for global points. The LHF derived directly from the MSMR brightness temperature (Tb) yielded an accuracy of 35 watt/m². LHF was also computed by applying bulk formula using the geophysical parameters extracted from MSMR. In this case the errors were higher apparently due to the errors involved in derivation of the geophysical parameters.  相似文献   

用NCEP／NCAR再分析辐射资料估算月平均地表反照率   总被引：16，自引：1，他引：15  

张琼  钱永甫 《地理学报》1999,54(4):309-317

本文利用１９７９年￣１９９５年１７年平均的ＮＣＥＰ／ＮＣＡＲ（Ｎａｔｉｏｎａｌ Ｃｅｎｔｅｒ ｆｏｒ Ｅｎｖｉｒｏｎｍｅｎ－ｔａｌ Ｐｒｅｄｉｃｔｉｏｎ／Ｎａｔｉｏｎａｌ Ｃｅｎｔｅｒ ｆｏｒ Ａｔｍｏｓｐｈｅｒｉｃ Ｒｅｓｅａｒｃｈ,美国国家环境预报中心／美国国家大气研究中心）再分析辐射资料估算了全球月平均地表反照率．从所得结果的时空分布来看,用ＮＣＥＰ／ＮＣＡＲ辐射资料得到的全球地表反照率基本  相似文献