一种COVID-19病例个体时空轨迹交互式提取与质量评估方法     

张国永  龚建华  孙麇  周洁萍  李文航  张利辉  汪东川  李文宁  胡卫东  樊鸿奎 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》2021,(2)

针对当前新型冠状病毒肺炎(coronavirus disease 2019,COVID-19)病例个体时空轨迹描述文本高度非结构化的特点,提出了一种基于自然语言处理(natural language processing,NLP)辅助的交互式轨迹提取方法,用于提高轨迹提取的效率和质量。设计了交互式轨迹提取和质量评估流程,研究并实现了地址分割与组合算法、轨迹质量评估算法等关键技术。以黑龙江本土COVID-19聚集病例为例,通过轨迹提取效率和质量对比实验,验证了该方法的有效性和实用性。实验结果表明,与无NLP辅助的提取方法相比,该方法的轨迹提取效率得到了显著提升;同时,依据轨迹定量可信度评价结果,人机交互式的提取方法还可有效解决算法轨迹自动提取中存在的轨迹点遗漏、位置错误等问题。  相似文献   

一种基于改进SEIR模型的突发公共卫生事件风险动态评估与预测方法——以欧洲十国COVID-19为例     

毕佳  王贤敏  胡跃译  罗孟涵  张俊华  胡凤昌  丁子洋 《地球信息科学学报》2021,23(2):259-273

突发公共卫生事件会严重影响社会公众生命健康,风险评估和预测可为突发公共卫生事件有效防控提供科学依据。本文提出了一种基于SEIR模型的突发公共卫生事件风险动态评估与预测方法,将突发公共卫生事件传播与人口、医疗、经济情况相结合,耦合危险性与脆弱性,建立合理的风险评估综合指标体系,利用熵值—层次分析组合模型实现突发公共卫生事件风险动态评估。此外,本文建立了传染病传播动力学修正SEIR模型,将传染病传播动力学模拟预测与风险评估相结合,实现突发公共卫生事件演变趋势的预测和风险的动态预测。2019年12月底的COVID-19疫情是一次传播速度快、感染范围广、防控难度大的重大突发公共卫生事件。本文以欧洲10国COVID-19疫情为例,开展风险评估与风险动态预测研究,依据欧洲10国自疫情开始至2020年4月16日的疫情数据,预测了2020年4月17日—2020年5月10日疫情演变的趋势,进而实现了10国的疫情风险动态预测。本文模型预测结果表明至2020年5月10日欧洲10国疫情形势仍然严峻,预测数据与真实数据的拟合优度R ²大于0.92,预测结果与疫情真实情况基本一致,在此情况下,复工复产对于疫情防控仍然是不利的。本文提出的基于SEIR模型的公共卫生事件风险动态评估与预测方法为疫情已然传播开的国家和地区提供了风险持续评估和预测的可能,为后期疫情防控决策提供了支持,同时也可用于今后新的疫情发生时期或其他突发性公共卫生事件下风险的应急评估和预测。  相似文献   

基于脆弱性视角的中国高铁城市网络韧性研究     

郭卫东  钟业喜  冯兴华 《地理研究》2022,41(5):1371-1387

基于中国高铁城市间列车流动数据构建高铁城市网络,利用脆弱性视角对中国高铁城市网络韧性进行研究,并探讨了新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情背景下武汉和湖北封城状态的网络韧性及城市响应,主要结论为：① 中国高铁城市网络发育程度有待提高,城市网络发展水平区域差异性和层级性特征明显。② 城市网络核心节点地位突出,控制能力强,关联效应显著,城市网络具有较强的适应和恢复能力,但网络韧性受关键节点影响显著。③ 蓄意攻击相比随机攻击能显著降低城市网络韧性,但在核心网络未遭受严重打击状态下,整体网络仍能保持较高的运转效率。④ 中国高铁城市核心网络保留了城市网络的主要运行特征,东高西低的网络发育特征明显,京广和京沪高铁是核心网络中交往最为频繁的通道。⑤ 武汉和湖北封城对中国高铁城市网络韧性总体影响较小,但对城市节点影响明显,总体上受到城市行政等级、交通运输干线和地理空间距离等因素影响,区域封锁状态下随着核心-边缘结构的调整,城市将提升自我核心度以弥补封锁区域核心地位的缺位。  相似文献   

新冠肺炎疫情背景下国际移民管治与个体响应策略     

杨菁华  史雨昕  黄旭 《世界地理研究》2022,31(6):1167-1178

自新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情肆虐以来,全球国际移民流动按下暂停键。我国也面临着同样的情况,部分城市内部聚集着因疫情难以回国的国际移民,这对于地方政府的移民管治提出了巨大挑战。通过结合运用地理学与人类学的跨学科视角,在福柯的权力与异端辩证关系框架的基础上,加入了“管治-响应”的逻辑思路进行重组,并采用该分析框架,以广西阳朔为例,讨论后疫情时代国际移民管治与个体生存策略。通过结合参与式观察法与网络民族志法,结果发现：首先,为避免疫情防控中政治尺度跃迁引发的国际舆论事件,地方政府在国际移民群体中寻找权力代理人,并与之形成权力联盟,对移民个体进行管治,包括“规训/照料”“医治/隔离”“监控/放任。这种转换将原本权力关系中的地方政府与移民个体之间的矛盾转化为权力代理人与移民个体之间的矛盾,有效地规避了尺度跃迁问题。其次,移民个体结合自身的社会资本,采用特有的响应策略,包括“权力代理人”“顺从/搭便车”“治疗/自我管治”“不合作/破坏”。这些发现有利于加深对国际移民社会融合的理解,为地方政府的移民管治提供新思路。  相似文献   

Spin Axis Direction of Comet 19p/Borrelly Based on Observations from 2000 and 2001     

Samarasinha  Nalin H.  Mueller  Béatrice E. A. 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》2002,90(1-4):473-482

We calculate the direction of the rotational angular momentum vector,M, of comet 19P/Borrelly based on rotational lightcurve data from 2000, groundbased imaging of the coma during the Deep Space 1encounter, and the basic near-nucleus coma morphology as revealed by the Deep Space 1 spacecraft. For the most likely direction, we derivea family of solutions (with center at RA = 221°, Dec = -7°) if the direction of M is towards the sunward hemisphere during the Deep Space 1 encounter, whereas if the rotation is of opposite sense, the diametrically opposite family of solutions (with center at RA = 41°, Dec = 7°) would result. We argue that the coma morphology in September 2001 is consistent with the nucleus being a principal axis rotator or one observationally indistinguishable from it. Therefore, for all practical purposes, the direction of the rotational angular momentum vector coincides with the spin axis. We also discuss why the determination of the spin axis direction based on observations from the last apparition is in disagreement with the current result.  相似文献   

Invisible face of COVID-19 pandemic on the freshwater environment: An impact assessment on the sediment quality of a cross boundary river basin in Turkey     

Cem Tokatlı 《国际泥沙研究》2022,37(2):139-150

In the current research,the impact of the COVID-19 lockdown period on sediment quality of the MericErgene River Basin was evaluated by determining the potentially toxic elements（PTEs） in sediment samples collected from 25 sampling points in the basin.Also some important ecological indicators including potential ecological risk index（PERI）,contamination factor（CF）,pollution load index（PLI）,biological risk index（BRI）,and geo-accumulation index(I_geo) and some important statistical indica...  相似文献   

The material conditions for research in France from 1600 to 1850: Physics,chemistry and astronomy     

《Comptes Rendus Geoscience》2015,347(3):105-111

The income of the scientists in France during the 17th to the middle of the 19th century is reviewed and compared to the cost of their instruments. Only a small number of scientists received enough public money to be able to do full-time research; this number increased substantially after the Revolution. Most scientists had to have other sources of income, in particular to be able to purchase their instruments. Large research projects, generally decided and financed by the Academy of Sciences, took place during this period, requiring collaborative interdisciplinary efforts and a considerable logistics: they anticipate our present cooperative programs and giant research facilities.  相似文献   

Imaging Borrelly     

L.A Soderblom  D.C Boice  R.H Brown  R.L Kirk  R.M Nelson  B.R Sandel  N Thomas 《Icarus》2004,167(1):4-15

The nucleus, coma, and dust jets of short-period Comet 19P/Borrelly were imaged from the Deep Space 1 spacecraft during its close flyby in September 2001. A prominent jet dominated the near-nucleus coma and emanated roughly normal to the long axis of nucleus from a broad central cavity. We show it to have remained fixed in position for more than 34 hr, much longer than the 26-hr rotation period. This confirms earlier suggestions that it is co-aligned with the rotation axis. From a combination of fitting the nucleus light curve from approach images and the nucleus' orientation from stereo images at encounter, we conclude that the sense of rotation is right-handed around the main jet vector. The inferred rotation pole is approximately perpendicular to the long axis of the nucleus, consistent with a simple rotational state. Lacking an existing IAU comet-specific convention but applying a convention provisionally adopted for asteroids, we label this the north pole. This places the sub-solar latitude at ∼60° N at the time of the perihelion with the north pole in constant sunlight and thus receiving maximum average insolation.  相似文献   

Spatiotemporal analysis of COVID-19 risk in Guangdong Province based on population migration     

Ye  Yuyao  Wang  Changjian  Zhang  Hong’ou  Yang  Ji  Liu  Zhengqian  Wu  Kangmin  Deng  Yingbin 《地理学报(英文版)》2020,30(12):1985-2001

Journal of Geographical Sciences - Population migration, especially population inflow from epidemic areas, is a key source of the risk related to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic....  相似文献   

移动GIS在传染病防控方面的应用——以COVID-19为例     

胡盼  何艺  刘韬  黄铁军  何超 《测绘通报》2020,(7):50-52

新型冠状病毒肺炎（COVID-19）疫情的出现和暴发流行，给社会、经济及人群健康提出巨大的挑战，已经成为重大公共卫生事件和社会问题。作为一种新发传染病，提早发现、迅速采用有效应对举措，是防止病毒蔓延扩散的重要环节。地理信息系统（GIS）在传染病的控制、预防、预警中有举足轻重的地位，移动GIS（Mobile GIS）作为GIS技术的发展，进一步提高了我国卫生部门应对突发传染病的能力。本文以COVID-19防控为例，重点介绍了移动GIS技术在传染病防控中的应用。  相似文献