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131.
秦岭为我国气候分界线和南水北调中线重要水源地,太白山为其最高峰,了解太白山区域的过去干湿变化特征对气候变化机制研究和未来水资源持续利用具有重要意义。基于秦岭太白山地区太白红杉树木年轮资料及其附近的宝鸡、眉县气象站1959—2016年气象数据进行分析,重建了1852—2016年春季(3~5月)SPEI值,分析了近165 a太白山春季干湿变化特征及其与大尺度环流变化关系。结果表明:(1) 太白山地区太白红杉径向生长主要受春季气候限制;与春季SPEI值相关性最高,达到–0.72(P<0.01),重建方程方差解释量为51.8%(调整自由度后为51.0%)。(2) 重建结果表明,近165 a来,有29 a春季为湿润年份,有23 a春季为干旱年份,分别占比为17.58%和13.94%。极端干旱年份为1892年、1929年、1945年和2006年,极端湿润年份为1881年、1921年和1990年,其中1892年(–1.73)和1881年(1.53)分别为最干旱和最湿润的年份。(3) 重建结果得到了周边地区干湿变化重建结果和历史文献灾害记载的验证;太白山地区干湿变化可以准确表征大区域干湿变化且存在2.5 a、3.1 a、3.8 a和8.4 a周期变化。太白山地区SPEI与赤道东太平洋海面温度成负相关以及与赤道西太平洋海面温度呈正相关,其干湿变化可能与ENSO活动有关。 相似文献
132.
In this work, the elastic buckling of porous solids was investigated using a lattice spring model (LSM). The capability of the LSM to solve elastic buckling problems was comprehensively verified by comparing well-established numerical and analytical solutions. Following this, the buckling of a porous solid was studied, in which two porous structures were considered, ie, the random porous model and the Voronoi porous model. The results reveal that both the porosity and the shape of the pores influence the elastic buckling bearing capacity of the porous solid. Finally, the mechanical responses of a porous solid with an extra high porosity (0.85) were numerically investigated. Our numerical results demonstrated that the nonlinear elastic response of the porous solid might come from its mesoscale elastic buckling. This work shows the ability and promise of using the LSM as a fundamental numerical tool for the deep investigation of the buckling mechanical behavior of porous solids. 相似文献
133.
E.K.KRISHNA KUMAR S.ABHILASH SANKAR SYAM P.VIJAYKUMAR K.R.SANTOSH A.V.SREENATH 《大气科学进展》2023,40(4):697-710
The inverse relationship between the warm phase of the El Ni?o Southern Oscillation(ENSO) and the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall(ISMR) is well established. Yet, some El Ni?o events that occur in the early months of the year(boreal spring) transform into a neutral phase before the start of summer, whereas others begin in the boreal summer and persist in a positive phase throughout the summer monsoon season. This study investigates the distinct influences of an exhausted spring El Ni?o(springtime)... 相似文献
134.
The interannual variations of rainfall over southwest China (SWC) during spring and
its relationship with sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) in the Pacific are analyzed,
based on monthly mean precipitation data from 26 stations in SWC between 1961 and 2010,
NCEP/NCAR re-analysis data, and Hadley global SST data. Sensitivity tests are conducted to
assess the response of precipitation in SWC to SSTAs over two key oceanic domains, using the
global atmospheric circulation model ECHAM5. The interannual variation of rainfall over SWC in
spring is very significant. There are strong negative (positive) correlation coefficients
between the anomalous precipitation over SWC and SSTAs over the equatorial central Pacific
(the mid-latitude Pacific) during spring. Numerical simulations show that local rainfall in
the northwest of the equatorial central Pacific is suppressed, and a subtropical anticyclone
circulation anomaly is produced, while a cyclonic circulation anomaly in the mid-latitude
western Pacific occurs, when the equatorial Pacific SSTAs are in a cold phase in spring.
Anomalous northerly winds appear in the northeastern part of SWC in the lower troposphere.
Precipitation increases over the Maritime Continent of the western equatorial Pacific, while a
cyclonic circulation anomaly appears in the northwest of the western equatorial Pacific. A
trough over the Bay of Bengal enhances the southerly flow in the south of SWC. The trough also
enhances the transport of moisture to SWC. The warm moisture intersects with anomalous cold
air over the northeast of SWC, and so precipitation increases during spring. On the
interannual time scale, the impacts of the mid-latitude Pacific SSTAs on rainfall in SWC
during spring are not significant, because the mid-latitude Pacific SSTAs are affected by the
equatorial central Pacific SSTAs; that is, the mid-latitude Pacific SSTAs are a feedback to
the circulation anomaly caused by the equatorial central Pacific SSTAs. 相似文献
135.
This paper documents a decadal strengthened co-variability of the Antarctic Oscillation(AAO)and ENSO in austral spring after the mid-1990 s.During the period 1979–93,the ENSO(AAO)spatial signatures are restricted to the tropics–midlatitudes(Antarctic–midlatitudes)of the Southern Hemisphere(SH),with a weak connection between the two oscillations.Comparatively,after the mid-1990 s,the El Ni o-related atmospheric anomalies project on a negative AAO pattern with a barotropic structure in the mid–high latitudes of the SH.The expansion of El Ni o-related air temperature anomalies have a heightened impact on the meridional thermal structure of the SH,contributing to a weakened circumpolar westerly and strengthened subtropical jet.Meanwhile,the ENSO-related southern three-cell circulations expand poleward and then strongly couple the Antarctic and the tropics.Numerical simulation results suggest that the intensified connection between ENSO and SST in the South Pacific since the mid-1990 s is responsible for the strengthened AAO–ENSO relationship. 相似文献
136.
以江汉和江南西部地区春玉米为研究对象,利用研究区域内57个气象站1961-2012年的逐日降水量资料、春玉米生育期资料和春玉米涝渍灾情资料,筛选春玉米不同生育时期的涝渍灾害样本。采用多元线性回归分析方法,定量分析当前过程降水量和前期降水量对春玉米涝渍灾害的影响,并据此构建当量降水量。基于正态分布的Lilliefors检验和t-分布区间估计方法,计算不同生育时期、不同等级涝渍灾害的当量降水量指标阈值,由此构建该区域春玉米不同生育时期的涝渍灾害等级指标并进行独立样本验证。在此基础上,利用信息扩散理论风险评估方法,计算各站点的春玉米涝渍致灾风险指数。结果表明:当前过程降水量和前2旬降水量对该区域春玉米涝渍灾害有显著性影响;构建的区域春玉米涝渍等级指标能够较好地反映实际受灾情况,指标验证结果与历史记录有较高一致性;出苗-拔节期和拔节-抽雄期发生春玉米涝渍灾害的风险相对较低,抽雄-成熟期为春玉米涝渍灾害的高风险时期,高风险区域主要位于湖北省恩施市、宜昌市西南部、荆州市西南部以及湖南省张家界市北部。 相似文献
137.
资源与权力密切相关,具有政治性。只有提升到社会建构层面来认知旅游资源内涵,才得以洞悉中国旅游资源规制发展演变的本质。以广东南昆山温泉为典型案例,通过实地调查、政府档案梳理和深度访谈等方法对南昆山温泉资源规制的权力和社会过程进行深度考察,以期透过南昆山温泉的典型案例形成对中国旅游资源规制更为深入的理解。研究表明,中国在旅游资源领域的市场化改革在最近30 a时间里建立起一套资本逻辑的话语霸权。在国家拟定的市场化路径下,个人(开发商)逐渐取代国家成为各地温泉资源规制的主角;地方政府与开发商的联合很大程度上主导了温泉资源地方规制的演变过程,进而导致了普遍的社会非正义的现象。要维护旅游资源开发中的正义原则,就需要破除国家与社会对发展的迷思,并借由普遍主义的阶级政治来抵抗不正义的资本积累过程。 相似文献
138.
Design,simulation, and large‐scale testing of an innovative vibration mitigation device employing essentially nonlinear elastomeric springs 下载免费PDF全文
Jie Luo Nicholas E. Wierschem Larry A. Fahnestock Billie F. Spencer Jr. D. Dane Quinn D. Michael McFarland Alexander F. Vakakis Lawrence A. Bergman 《地震工程与结构动力学》2014,43(12):1829-1851
This study proposes an innovative passive vibration mitigation device employing essentially nonlinear elastomeric springs as its most critical component. Essential nonlinearity denotes the absence (or near absence) of a linear component in the stiffness characteristics of these elastomeric springs. These devices were implemented and tested on a large‐scale nine‐story model building structure. The main focus of these devices is to mitigate structural response under impulse‐like and seismic loading when the structure remains elastic. During the design process of the device, numerical simulations, optimizations, and parametric studies of the structure‐device system were performed to obtain stiffness parameters for the devices so that they can maximize the apparent damping of the fundamental mode of the structure. Pyramidal elastomeric springs were employed to physically realize the optimized essentially nonlinear spring components. Component‐level finite element analyses and experiments were conducted to design the nonlinear springs. Finally, shake table tests using impulse‐like and seismic excitation with different loading levels were performed to experimentally evaluate the performance of the device. Experimental results demonstrate that the properly designed devices can mitigate structural vibration responses, including floor acceleration, displacement, and column strain in an effective, rapid, and robust fashion. Comparison between numerical and experimental results verified the computational model of the nonlinear system and provided a comprehensive verification for the proposed device. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
139.
140.