基于MIKE SA模型的厦门西港海域溢油影响的数值模拟研究     

王翠  郭洲华  李青生  戴娟娟 《台湾海峡》2014,(2):229-235

基于MIKE SA溢油模块,以燃料油为油种,建立了厦门西港海域溢油模型,模拟静风、主导风向（东北东风）和不利风向（西南风）3种风场条件下,一个潮周期内涨急、高潮、落急和低潮4个时段发生10 t溢油后油膜的漂移路径和影响范围.结果显示,发生在厦门西港海域的溢油在海面的漂移过程主要受潮流和风的影响,其中潮流起着主导作用.不同风向条件下,24 h内油膜的影响范围不同,静风条件下溢油浓度超一类（或二类,≥0.05 mg/dm3）、超三类（≥0.30 mg/dm3）和超四类（≥0.50 mg/dm3）的总影响面积分别为31.33、19.63和11.74 km2;主导风向条件下溢油浓度超一类（或二类）、超三类和超四类的总影响面积分别为99.62、69.01和8.99 km2;不利风向溢油浓度超一类（或二类）、超三类和超四类的总影响面积分别为8.38、5.05和2.10 km2.该预测结果可给出溢油事故发生后的影响范围、影响程度和影响敏感目标的时间,可为溢油事故应急决策的制定及溢油损害评估提供科学决策和支持,提升厦门海域环境风险管理应急能力建设.  相似文献   

海阳中心渔港建设对附近海域冲淤的数值模拟预测     

吴园园  娄安刚  张坤  方雪原 《海岸工程》2014,(1):1-11

利用MIKE21二维水动力模型,对海阳中心渔港建设前,以及两种预选方案建设后海域潮流分别进行数值模拟。在潮流模拟验证正确的基础上,建立了海底冲淤预测模型,预测了工程建设前后静风条件下全年冲淤趋势。并运用MIKE21Coupled ModelFM模块,模拟了极端天气条件（SE15m/s大风）浪流共同作用下工程附近海域的冲淤情况。根据方案建设前后潮流场、冲淤趋势进行分析,确定最优方案,为海阳中心渔港的规划设计提供决策参考。  相似文献   

TraCE-21ka的模拟评估及误差分析          下载免费PDF全文

于天雷  程军  郭品文 《大气科学学报》2023,46(5):790-800

TraCE-21ka是全球首个利用全耦合模式针对末次盛冰期(LGM)至今气候演变的瞬变模拟。利用现代再分析资料和历史特征时期重建的连续冻土边界对TraCE-21ka模拟做了评估。结果表明TraCE-21ka能够较好地模拟现代半球尺度环流和降水的空间形态,对东亚地区的模拟冬季较好而夏季欠佳。TraCE-21ka模拟的现代时期与再分析资料相比偏冷,北半球年平均表面温度比再分析资料低3～4 ℃,基于现代温度误差的分析表明TraCE-21ka对东亚地区气候演变的模拟欠佳。对于历史特征时期,重建的连续冻土边界线指示TraCE-21ka模拟的亚欧大陆在LGM偏暖,全新世中期偏冷,即低估了LGM以来的变温幅度。利用连续冻土边界线的年均表面温度约为-7 ℃这一特性,进一步定量评估出TraCE-21ka模拟的亚欧大陆中纬地区从LGM至今的升温幅度约为真实气候的40％。通过分析近百年全球升温速率证实TraCE-21ka的气候敏感性显著偏低,由此产生的误差在瞬变模拟中会不断累积。  相似文献   

A hydro‐economic modelling framework for flood damage estimation and the role of riparian vegetation     

Nektarios N. Kourgialas  George P. Karatzas 《水文研究》2013,27(4):515-531

A modelling framework for the quick estimate of flood inundation and the resultant damages is developed in this paper. The model, called the flood economic impact analysis system (FEIAS), can be applied to a river reach of any hydrogeological river basin. For the development of the integrated modelling framework, three models were employed: (1) a modelling scheme based on the Hydrological Simulation Program FORTRAN model that was developed for any geomorphological river basin, (2) a river flow/floodplain model, and (3) a flood loss estimation model. The first sub‐model of the flood economic impact analysis system simulates the hydrological processes for extended periods of time, and its output is used as input to a second component, the river/floodplain model. The hydraulic model MIKE 11 (quasi‐2D) is the river/floodplain model employed in this study. The simulated flood parameters from the hydraulic model MIKE 11 (quasi‐2D) are passed, at the end of each time step, to a third component, the flood loss model for the estimation of flood damage. In the present work, emphasis was given to the seasonal variation of Manning's coefficient (n), which is an important parameter for the determination of the flood inundation in hydraulic modelling. High values of Manning's coefficient for a channel indicate high flow resistance. The riparian vegetation can have a large impact on channel resistance. The modelling framework developed in this paper was used to investigate the role of riparian vegetation in reducing flood damage. Moreover, it was used to investigate the influence of cutting riparian vegetation scenarios on the flow characteristics. The proposed framework was applied to the downstream part of the Koiliaris River basin in Crete, Greece, and was tested and validated with historical data. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Optimal filters for the construction of the ensemble pulsar time     

Alexander E. Rodin 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2008,387(4):1583-1588

An algorithm of the ensemble pulsar time based on the optimal Wiener filtration method has been constructed. This algorithm allows the separation of the contributions to the post-fit pulsar timing residuals of the atomic clock and the pulsar itself. Filters were designed using the cross- and auto-covariance functions of the timing residuals. The method has been applied to the timing data of millisecond pulsars PSR B1855+09 and B1937+21 and allowed the filtering out of the atomic-scale component from the pulsar data. Direct comparison of the terrestrial time TT(BIPM06) and the ensemble pulsar time PT_ens revealed that the fractional instability of TT(BIPM06)−PT_ens is equal to  σ _z = (0.8 ± 1.9) × 10⁻¹⁵  . Based on the  σ _z   statistics of TT(BIPM06)−PT_ens, a new limit of the energy density of the gravitational wave background was calculated to be equal to  Ω_g h ²∼ 3 × 10⁻⁹  .  相似文献   

Elemental abundance analyses with DAO spectrograms: XXX. The middle B through early A stars ξ2 Ceti (B9 III), 21 Aquilae (B8 II‐III), ι Aquilae (B5 III), and ι Delphini (A2V)     

S.J. Adelman  P.C. Westbrook  A.F. Gulliver 《Astronomische Nachrichten》2010,331(4):378-383

This series of high quality elemental abundance analyses of mostly main‐sequence band normal and peculiar B, A, and F stars defines their properties and provides data for the comparison with the analyses of somewhat similar stars and with theoretical predictions. Most use high dispersion and high S/N (≥ 200) spectrograms obtained with CCD detectors at the long camera of the Coudé spectrograph of the 1.22‐m Dominion Astrophysical Observatory telescope. Here we reanalyze 21 Aql with better quality spectra and increase the number of stars consistently analyzed in the spectral range B5 to A2 by analyzing three new stars for this series. In the early A stars the normal and non‐mCP stars have abundances with overlapping ranges. But more stars are needed especially in the B5 to B9 range. ξ² Cet on average has a solar composition with a few abundances outside the solar range while both 21 Aql and ι Aql have abundances marginally less than solar. The abundances of ι Del are greater than solar with a few elements such as Ca being less than solar. It is an Am star (© 2010 WILEY‐VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim)  相似文献   

Maintenance and development of the Ural high and its contribution to severe cold wave activities in winter 2020/21          下载免费PDF全文

Jingbei Peng  Shuqing Sun  Bomin Chen 《大气和海洋科学快报》2022,15(2):54-58

2020年底至2021年初,连续两次强寒潮入侵中国东部地区,导致大范围强降温.本文研究这两次寒潮的特征和形成机理.主要结果如下:从2020年12月中旬到2021年1月中旬,乌拉尔山地区维持一宽阔的高压脊.脊前北风的维持和加强导致局地斜压性增加,导致下游横槽槽底等高线梯度加大,冷平流加强,西伯利亚高压加强和向南扩张.准定...  相似文献   

C2/m丁道衡矿-(Ce)的发现与研究     

徐金沙  沈敢富  李国武 《矿物学报》2012,32(4):486-492

丁道衡矿-(Ce)是在白云鄂博REE-Nb-Fe矿发现的一种新的稀土元素矿物,被视为是真正的珀硅铈钛矿(Perrierite)的同质多象体和硅钛铈矿(Chevkinite)亚族C(1)位上的钛类似物。同时,它还是自然界发现的首例硅钛铈矿亚族具P21/a空间群的天然产物。之后,在攀枝花V-Ti-Fe矿红格矿区找到一种几可全方位同白云鄂博产原型丁道衡矿-(Ce)对比,但空间群为C2/m的丁道衡矿-(Ce)变体,并作了全面、系统的矿物学研究。自此,参照先例,攀枝花产具C2/m空间群的丁道衡矿-(Ce)宜称C2/m丁道衡矿-(Ce);而白云鄂博原型丁道衡矿-(Ce)宜称P21/a丁道衡矿-(Ce)。C2/m丁道衡矿-(Ce)的发现与研究揭示,已有的硅钛铈族矿物何以具有C2/m变体和P21/a变体的成因解释,尚不能圆满诠释2种变体的形成。  相似文献   

胶州湾大桥建设前后湾内泥沙冲淤数值模拟          下载免费PDF全文

张永强  张菀君  迟万清  边淑华  曹成林  胡泽建  刘建强 《应用海洋学学报》2020,39(3):368-377

本研究通过对胶州湾大桥建成前后湾内泥沙冲淤情况进行模拟。探讨了典型时刻胶州湾大桥附近海域的海流流速和流向情况。对比胶州湾大桥建成前湾内的流场模拟结果可知,胶州湾大桥的建设对胶州湾内整体的海流流态影响较小。胶州湾大桥的建设对胶州湾水动力的改变主要在桥墩建设附近海域。通过大桥建设前后冲淤数值模拟结果可知,工程前后工程附近冲淤趋势基本一致,只是在大桥桥墩附近出现冲淤变化较大的情况,表现为在桥墩的南北两侧出现较大桥建设前淤积加强区,在桥墩的东西两侧出现冲刷加强区,在通航孔桥墩跨度较大的海域,冲刷强度增大比较明显。  相似文献   

新矿物丁道衡矿-（Ce）：珀硅钛铈矿的同质多象体和硅钛铈矿亚族C（1）位上的钛类似矿物   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

徐金沙  杨光明  李国武  邬志亮  沈敢富 《矿物学报》2008,28(3)

丁道衡矿-(Ce):(Ce,La)4Fe2 (Ti,Fe2 ,Mg,Fe3 )2Ti2Si4O22,理想的结构化学式Ce2Ce2Fe2 Ti2Ti2Si4O22单斜晶系,α=1.34656(15)nm,b=0.57356(6)nm,c=1.10977(12)nm,β=100.636(2)°,V=0.84239(46)nm3,空间群P21/a(假C2/m),Z=2.作为硅钛铈矿(chevkinite)族矿物的新成员,它产于举世闻名的白云鄂博铁.稀土.铌矿床镁夕卡岩中,多数单晶体长0.2～1.0 cm,最大者长大于1.5 cm.共生矿物有透辉石、透闪石、钠透闪石、褐帘石-(Ce)、磁铁矿、尖晶石、烧绿石、氟金云母、氟磷灰石、石英和萤石等.矿物具有褐色条痕和半金属一金属光泽的黑色,其褐黑色碎片半透明.性脆、具有贝壳状断口、无解理和裂开.显微硬度(VHN25g)为606.0～717.4 kg/mm/12(相当于摩氏硬度约5.9).矿物实测密度4.83(7)g/cm3,计算密度值4.88(0)g/cm3.丁道衡矿-(ce)的反射色为带灰色的浅黄色,多色性为不同色调的灰色.平均反射率(λ=589nm)为11.4%～12.5%.矿物为二轴晶负光性.作过结构精测的丁道衡矿-(Ce)晶体的电子探针测值:SiO2:19.29,TiO2:18.26,A12O3:0.04,FeO:8.49,Fe2O3,:1.67,ThO2:0.16,MgO:1.32,CaO:2.17,Nb2O5:0.47,Ta2O5:0.00,La2O3:19.53,Ce2O3:28.08,Y2O3:0.00,Na1O:0.01,总量99.46%;其中Fe3 /Fe2 的比值依穆斯堡尔谱换算.根据结构精测每个单位分子式中O=22和C(1)位上Ti优先占位,计算的矿物晶体化学式为(Ce2.13,La1.49Ca0.48Th0 01)Σ4.11Fe2 (Tin0.88Fe2 0.47Mg0.41 Fe0.0)Σ2.03(Ti1.96Nb0 04)Σ2.00(Si2O7)2O3.分别用P21/a和C2/m对丁道衡矿-(Ce)的晶体结构作了精测.结果表明,丁道衡矿-(Ce)的真空间群是P20/a.换言之,它才是真正珀硅钛铈矿[perrierite-(Ce)]的同质多象体.显而易见,硅钛铈矿族矿物既可以有P21/a空间群,又可以有C2/m空间群.  相似文献