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1.
2014年5月17日广东强对流天气过程分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
利用常规资料及WRF模式对2014年5月17日出现在广东省的强对流天气过程进行了天气尺度背景和中尺度分析,并对此次强对流天气过程范围大、生命史较长的机制进行了分析。结果表明,WRF模式可以较好地模拟出此次强对流天气过程,可有效地用于强对流天气预警预报;此次强对流过程天气尺度背景属于典型的高空槽配合、切变线配合地面锋面,850 h Pa切变线配合地面锋面共同作用触发了强对流天气发生;环境场强的垂直风切变、强对流雷暴内部有组织的垂直上升和下沉运动是此次强对流天气维持较长生命史的主要原因。  相似文献   

2.
通过对1993~2002年焦作辖区20余次强对流天气过程的统计分析发现,在天气尺度条件下,地面气压场上中尺度辐合线对强对流天气的维持时间和落区有很好的指示性.  相似文献   

3.
王静渊  余勇 《广东气象》1994,(2):10-12,9
1引言文献[1]指出,广东春季强对流与强降水过程就其天气尺度背景来说基本上是一致的。在明显的强对流过程中,雷雨大风、冰雹、龙卷往往伴随着大范围强降水。这表明有相当一部分较强的春季强对流天气与同期某些天气系统活动过程密切相关。基于此件经验和认识、文献「fi通过普查8年资料,归纳了7种高空被动与广东早期强对流天气的关系、发现其中3种波动十分活跃,最有利于本古j!jl天’了出现。并指出,这2类被动凡前湖卜一一卜一9。。。-)本省曾出现强对流天气者,其后期()~,-A天咄现强对流天气的概率也大为提高(见表】)。根据这…  相似文献   

4.
运用天气雷达识别强对流天气的人工神经网络方法   总被引:5,自引:1,他引:5  
唐洵昌  葛文忠 《气象科学》1997,17(4):393-400
选取对强对流天气反应较好的雷达回波参数和天气因子作为输入信息单元,应用B-P神经网络方法可对强对流天气和雷雨天气非常理想又迅捷地识别出来。  相似文献   

5.
本文用多种物理因子场分析1995年4月华南各交强对流天气的落区规律,筛选出反映天气尺度系统结构与大气垂直稳定度综合特征的物理因子,结合锋面,低槽位置,组成适合业务预报使用的落区短期分析预报工具。  相似文献   

6.
榆林市一次区域性强冰雹天气过程分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1       下载免费PDF全文
对2002—06—29榆林市出现的区域性强冰雹天气从天气尺度环境条件、雷达回波和物理量等方面进行了分析。结果表明,500~250hPa随西北急流南下的冷平流,925~850hPa北上的暖平流,以及850hPa大幅度升温和一定的增湿,在河套形成位势不稳定层结。500hPa干暖益为低层能量的累积创造了条件。08—20时,从850~200hPa由下沉运动转为上升运动为强对流天气发生提供了动力条件。地面露点锋的形成、发展和东移对触发强对流天气的产生起了重要作用。  相似文献   

7.
1概况1995年是广东省强对流天气灾害较严重的一年,3月15日至8月13日,全省共有13个强对流日(未包括强降水),先后有57个站次出现雷雨大风、冰雹、龙卷风等强对流天气。强对流天气的影响遍及全省各地,尤以珠江三角洲地区为甚。据统计,1995年广东省受强对流天气袭击,共损坏房屋72200多间,倒塌2390多间,造成526人受伤,35人死亡,直接经济损失9.8亿多元。2几次主主的强对流天气过程2.1首次大范围的强对流天气过程3月15日,由于受锋面低槽影响,本省北部的阳山、乳源、连山等地降了冰雹,五大的冰雹直径达到12毫米,这是本年度广东省…  相似文献   

8.
湖北一次冰雹天气过程的落区诊断分析和预报   总被引:15,自引:3,他引:15  
利用欧洲中心和T106数值预报产品,分析常规气象资料,对湖北省1998年3月20~25日历史上罕见的连续性强对流天气过程进行诊断分析,揭示了产生强对流天气的环流形势和影响系统,并从短期角度对连续性强对流天气过程归纳出天气模型和预报指标,得出了强对流天气落区及降水性质与各要素之间的关系,为更好地提高预报强对流天气的准确率提供一定的参考。  相似文献   

9.
林志强 《广东气象》1997,(2):41-41,37
1概况1996年广东省的强对流天气季节自3月16日开始至9月14日结束,历时近6个月,全省先后有110个站次出现雷雨大风、冰雹等强对流天气(根据各地气象台站的正规WS报资料),比1995年的57个站次约增加了一倍。本文所统计的强对流天气是指2~9月份雷达开机联防探测期间,省内各测站观测到冰雹、龙卷风或)17m/s的雷雨大风(实际上,其它月份也未曾出现过上述天气)。21996年几次主要的强对流天气过程2.1灾情最严重的一次强对流天气过程4月18~19日,在锋面低槽的影响下,广东省西南部和珠江三角洲等地区,遭受了一次严重强对流天气的袭击,…  相似文献   

10.
2003年4月江西一次强对流天气过程的诊断分析   总被引:10,自引:0,他引:10       下载免费PDF全文
利用NCEP/NCAR再分析资料、TBB资料、探空资料及多普勒雷达资料等对2003年4月12日发生在江西以及福建北部的强对流天气过程进行了诊断分析。结果表明:此次强对流天气过程是在高空槽和低层低涡切变线的有利形势下产生的, 这种下层暖湿、上层干冷的对流不稳定层结非常有利于强对流天气的产生; 强对流天气发生发展伴有多个中尺度对流云团东移南压的演变过程; 多普勒雷达资料分析表明, 冰雹发生时可观测到79 dBz的反射率因子极值并伴有弓状回波; 对流有效位能积累、释放随时间的演变过程, 对于此次强对流天气过程有很好的指示意义; 强对流天气发生前高层的干冷空气倾斜状向下侵入到对流层中低层附近, 对此次强对流天气的发生发展起了非常重要的作用; 能量锋区及锋区上强的垂直涡柱为该次强对流天气过程提供了有利的热力和动力学条件。  相似文献   

11.
Using the International Comprehensive Ocean-Atmosphere Data Set(ICOADS) and ERA-Interim data, spatial distributions of air-sea temperature difference(ASTD) in the South China Sea(SCS) for the past 35 years are compared,and variations of spatial and temporal distributions of ASTD in this region are addressed using empirical orthogonal function decomposition and wavelet analysis methods. The results indicate that both ICOADS and ERA-Interim data can reflect actual distribution characteristics of ASTD in the SCS, but values of ASTD from the ERA-Interim data are smaller than those of the ICOADS data in the same region. In addition, the ASTD characteristics from the ERA-Interim data are not obvious inshore. A seesaw-type, north-south distribution of ASTD is dominant in the SCS; i.e., a positive peak in the south is associated with a negative peak in the north in November, and a negative peak in the south is accompanied by a positive peak in the north during April and May. Interannual ASTD variations in summer or autumn are decreasing. There is a seesaw-type distribution of ASTD between Beibu Bay and most of the SCS in summer, and the center of large values is in the Nansha Islands area in autumn. The ASTD in the SCS has a strong quasi-3a oscillation period in all seasons, and a quasi-11 a period in winter and spring. The ASTD is positively correlated with the Nio3.4 index in summer and autumn but negatively correlated in spring and winter.  相似文献   

12.
正The Taal Volcano in Luzon is one of the most active and dangerous volcanoes of the Philippines. A recent eruption occurred on 12 January 2020(Fig. 1a), and this volcano is still active with the occurrence of volcanic earthquakes. The eruption has become a deep concern worldwide, not only for its damage on local society, but also for potential hazardous consequences on the Earth's climate and environment.  相似文献   

13.
The moving-window correlation analysis was applied to investigate the relationship between autumn Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) events and the synchronous autumn precipitation in Huaxi region, based on the daily precipitation, sea surface temperature (SST) and atmospheric circulation data from 1960 to 2012. The correlation curves of IOD and the early modulation of Huaxi region’s autumn precipitation indicated a mutational site appeared in the 1970s. During 1960 to 1979, when the IOD was in positive phase in autumn, the circulations changed from a “W” shape to an ”M” shape at 500 hPa in Asia middle-high latitude region. Cold flux got into the Sichuan province with Northwest flow, the positive anomaly of the water vapor flux transported from Western Pacific to Huaxi region strengthened, caused precipitation increase in east Huaxi region. During 1980 to 1999, when the IOD in autumn was positive phase, the atmospheric circulation presented a “W” shape at 500 hPa, the positive anomaly of the water vapor flux transported from Bay of Bengal to Huaxi region strengthened, caused precipitation ascend in west Huaxi region. In summary, the Indian Ocean changed from cold phase to warm phase since the 1970s, caused the instability of the inter-annual relationship between the IOD and the autumn rainfall in Huaxi region.  相似文献   

14.
The atmospheric and oceanic conditions before the onset of EP El Ni?o and CP El Ni?o in nearly 30 years are compared and analyzed by using 850 hPa wind, 20℃ isotherm depth, sea surface temperature and the Wheeler and Hendon index. The results are as follows: In the western equatorial Pacific, the occurrence of the anomalously strong westerly winds of the EP El Ni?o is earlier than that of the CP El Ni?o. Its intensity is far stronger than that of the CP El Ni?o. Two months before the El Ni?o, the anomaly westerly winds of the EP El Ni?o have extended to the eastern Pacific region, while the westerly wind anomaly of the CP El Ni?o can only extend to the west of the dateline three months before the El Ni?o and later stay there. Unlike the EP El Ni?o, the CP El Ni?o is always associated with easterly wind anomaly in the eastern equatorial Pacific before its onset. The thermocline depth anomaly of the EP El Ni?o can significantly move eastward and deepen. In addition, we also find that the evolution of thermocline is ahead of the development of the sea surface temperature for the EP El Ni?o. The strong MJO activity of the EP El Ni?o in the western and central Pacific is earlier than that of the CP El Ni?o. Measured by the standard deviation of the zonal wind square, the intensity of MJO activity of the EP El Ni?o is significantly greater than that of the CP El Ni?o before the onset of El Ni?o.  相似文献   

15.
Various features of the atmospheric environment affect the number of migratory insects, besides their initial population. However, little is known about the impact of atmospheric low-frequency oscillation(10 to 90 days) on insect migration. A case study was conducted to ascertain the influence of low-frequency atmospheric oscillation on the immigration of brown planthopper, Nilaparvata lugens(Stl), in Hunan and Jiangxi provinces. The results showed the following:(1) The number of immigrating N. lugens from April to June of 2007 through 2016 mainly exhibited a periodic oscillation of 10 to 20 days.(2) The 10-20 d low-frequency number of immigrating N. lugens was significantly correlated with a low-frequency wind field and a geopotential height field at 850 h Pa.(3) During the peak phase of immigration, southwest or south winds served as a driving force and carried N. lugens populations northward, and when in the back of the trough and the front of the ridge, the downward airflow created a favorable condition for N. lugens to land in the study area. In conclusion, the northward migration of N. lugens was influenced by a low-frequency atmospheric circulation based on the analysis of dynamics. This study was the first research connecting atmospheric low-frequency oscillation to insect migration.  相似文献   

16.
基于最新的GTAP8 (Global Trade Analysis Project)数据库,使用投入产出法,分析了2004年到2007年全球贸易变化下南北集团贸易隐含碳变化及对全球碳排放的影响。结果显示,随着发展中国家进出口规模扩张,全球贸易隐含碳流向的重心逐渐向发展中国家转移。2004年到2007年,发达国家高端设备制造业和服务业出口以及发展中国家资源、能源密集型行业及中低端制造业出口的趋势加强,该过程的生产转移导致全球碳排放增长4.15亿t,占研究时段全球贸易隐含碳增量的63%。未来发展中国家的出口隐含碳比重还将进一步提高。贸易变化带来的南北集团隐含碳流动变化对全球应对气候变化行动的影响日益突出,发达国家对此负有重要责任。  相似文献   

17.
正ERRATUM to: Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 4(2011), 124-130 On page 126 of the printed edition (Issue 2, Volume 4), Fig. 2 was a wrong figure because the contact author made mistake giving the wrong one. The corrected edition has been updated on our website. The editorial office is sincerely sorry for any  相似文献   

18.
19.
Index to Vol.31     
正AN Junling;see LI Ying et al.;(5),1221—1232AN Junling;see QU Yu et al.;(4),787-800AN Junling;see WANG Feng et al.;(6),1331-1342Ania POLOMSKA-HARLICK;see Jieshun ZHU et al.;(4),743-754Baek-Min KIM;see Seong-Joong KIM et al.;(4),863-878BAI Tao;see LI Gang et al.;(1),66-84BAO Qing;see YANG Jing et al.;(5),1147—1156BEI Naifang;  相似文献   

20.
正Journal of Meteorological Research is an international academic journal in atmospheric sciences edited and published by Acta Meteorologica Sinica Press,sponsored by the Chinese Meteorological Society.It has been acting as a bridge of academic exchange between Chinese and foreign meteorologists and aiming at introduction of the current advancements in atmospheric sciences in China.The journal columns include Articles.Note and Correspondence,and research letters.Contributions from all over the world are welcome.  相似文献   

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