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Yiguo Xue Zhiqiang Li Shucai Li Daohong Qiu Maoxin Su Zhenhao Xu 《Marine Georesources & Geotechnology》2013,31(7):816-827
AbstractThe geological conditions of subsea tunnels are extremely complex, and a water inrush disaster is prone to occur when crossing a fault. Based on a geological analysis using cloud theory, analytic hierarchy process (AHP), and entropy weight theory, we aim to establish a normal cloud model with combination weight for water inrush risk evaluation in subsea tunnels. We select seven main factors, namely, the surrounding rock grade, rock integrity, overburden thickness, seawater thickness, tunnel section, permeability coefficient, and construction technology level as risk assessment indicators for the evaluation model. The risk is divided into five levels, and the numerical characters of the cloud model are calculated based on the standard of each risk level. The subjective weight and the objective weight are determined using AHP and the entropy weight method. The combination weight is calculated using the Delphi method. The comprehensive certainty degree is used to determine the risk level of water inrush. The model is applied to the Qingdao subsea tunnel to evaluate the water inrush risk crossing the F4-1 fault, and the results are basically consistent with the actual excavation conditions. This article provides a new idea for the risk assessment of water inrush in the subsea tunnel. 相似文献
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Yiguo Xue Binghua Zhou Daohong Qiu Maoxin Su Chuanqi Qu Xueliang Zhang 《Marine Georesources & Geotechnology》2013,31(10):1267-1276
AbstractThe overlying rock thickness of a subsea tunnel controls its vertical line. It not only ensures the safety and stability of tunnel construction period and operation period, but also ensures the economy of subsea tunnel. In the current research, few papers give full consideration to the complex indicators of prediction the overlying rock thickness. However, in this study, a hybrid intelligent system was established to predict the overlying rock thickness of a subsea tunnel based on Qingdao Kiaochow Bay Subsea Tunnel, China. The sea depth, basic quality index of rock mass, soft soil layer thickness, permeability coefficient, and construction management level were selected as the main factors influencing the overlying rock thickness. Using the data obtained from project site exploration, objective weight factors were calculated using rough set theory, and subjective weight factors were calculated using the analytic hierarchy process. Furthermore, the combination of weights was obtained for each factor. Finally, the weight of influencing factors was incorporated into the extension model, and the overlying rock thickness of pending section was calculated. The results of overlying rock thickness prediction model are consistent with the actual value, indicating that the model has good engineering applicability and application value. 相似文献
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基于AHP法和灰色模式识别理论的海底管道系统路由定量风险评估 总被引：3，自引：1，他引：3
根据海底管道路由潜在风险的特点及风险类型,提出了一种将层次分析法（AHP法）和灰色模式识别理论相结合的海底管道系统路由定量风险评估方法,该方法利用AHP确定风险评价指标体系,运用灰色模式识别理论,建立识别结果标准,并结合实际工程进行计算,计算结果表明该方法是可行的. 相似文献
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海底管道路由选择与海底管道建设、运营以及后期管理等工作存在密切联系,对管道工程经济性、安全性和合理性有着重要意义。考虑影响海底管道路由选择的自然与社会环境因素,构建了量化的评价体系,以AHP层次分析方法作为数学依据确定评价权重,建立了标准化的路由选择评判模型。进一步,将该模型与GIS空间分析技术相结合,生成以地图可视化方式表现的海底管道最佳路由选择方案。最后,通过工程案例演算,验证了方法的可行性。分析表明AHP方法与GIS技术相结合,实现了评价依据的定量化和评价结果的可视化,可以为海底管道路由选择研究提供参考。 相似文献
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Yiguo Xue Guangkun Li Xiukai Wang Daohong Qiu Maoxin Su 《Marine Georesources & Geotechnology》2020,38(9):1106-1117
AbstractFault fracture zones have always been a key problem in the construction of submarine tunnels. To efficiently summarize the safety impact of different construction schemes on a submarine tunnel crossing a fault fracture, a theoretical model using numerical simulation has been established via the benching tunnelling construction method, three-step method, Center Diaphragm method (CD method), both sides heading method, Cross Diaphragm method (CRD method) and two kinds of supporting methods: pre-grouting and shotcreting. Numerical simulation studies on the excavation and support of submarine tunnels crossing fault fracture zones have been carried out. The research indicates: the fracture zone is the main area where sedimentation instability occurs; the CRD method has the lowest horizontal convergence under the support of the diaphragm; increasing the grouting strength is more effective in controlling the deformation of the surrounding rock than increasing the range of the pre-grouting and the thickness of the shotcrete in the initial support is increased, and its resulting effect is obvious. To optimize the construction scheme, we compared the settlement, horizontal convergence and surrounding rock stress of the tunnel according to the simulation results of different excavation support methods, which could provide theoretical guidance for better on-site construction techniques. 相似文献
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海底管道出露悬空环境风险的定量评价研究 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
海底管道是海洋油气输送的主要方式,其运行状况直接关系到海上油气田的安全和海洋生态环境的质量。本文先以海底管道出露悬空作为故障树的顶事件,分析出海洋环境中各项基本事件,构建针对海洋环境的海底管道故障树模型;再以灰色模糊识别为理论基础,量化对海底管道安全有影响的海洋环境因素,并以层次分析法对每个风险因素进行分级赋权,确定评价指标范围和权重,进而构建海洋环境条件的海底管道风险评价体系。利用该体系对平湖油气田海底管道4个区段进行环境风险评价,避免了将整段管道一同评价导致的信息均等化,评价结果不能真实反映风险等级高的区段的情况;评价结果与管道2014~2016年现场检测数据对比,两者均显示P2分区中海底管道的风险等级较高,说明了该模型具有一定的合理性和实用性。 相似文献
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海底管道是海洋石油主要的运输方式，但海底管道在外部静水压力作用下很可能发生局部屈曲压溃，造成灾难性后果。安装止屈器可有效阻止屈曲传播，保证管道安全，整体式止屈器在实际中应用最为广泛。整体式止屈器存在通过减小止屈器体积以节约成本进行优化的可能性，因此，在保证止屈器止屈效果的前提下，可通过减小止屈器的体积，以达到减轻重量、节约成本、减少安装难度等多种目的。研究过程中使用ABAQUS进行模型的仿真模拟，比较了广义弧长法的优缺点，决定选用更方便的静水流体单元法，计算得到不同止屈器的穿越压力以及相应的体积，对比各止屈器的穿越压力变化和体积变化，实现结构优化的目标。基于以上研究，可以得出减少止屈器体积的结构优化方案具有可行性的结论。 相似文献
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海底滑坡的危险性评价与分区,对海洋工程设施的选址和危险预防具有指导作用。本文基于无监督机器学习的谱聚类算法对黄河口埕岛海域展开了海底滑坡危险性评价,构建了输入参数为9、输出类别为4、核函数参数为0.08的海底滑坡危险性评价模型。使用该模型进行评价,将研究区分为了海底滑坡危险性高、较高、较低和低的区域。评价结果与地质环境因素分布特征对比显示,最重要的影响因素为海底沉积物类型和水动力作用,最重要的触发因子为液化。模型参数分析结果显示,合理简化输入因子可获得精度略低的评价结果,而核函数参数是影响评价准确性的重要指标。以上研究表明,谱聚类算法能够较好地用于海底滑坡危险性评价,数据类别丰富度和精度是影响评价精细程度的重要因素。 相似文献
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The horseshoe vortex generated around the sail-body junction of submarine has an important influence on the non-uniformity of submarine wake at propeller disc.The flow characteristics in the horseshoe vortex generated area are analyzed,and a new method of vortex control baffler is presented.The influence of vortex control baffler on the flow field around submarine main body with sail is numerically simulated.The wind tunnel experiment on submarine model is carried out,and it is proved that the vortex control baffler can weaken the horseshoe vortex and decrease the non-uniformity of the wake at propeller disc.It is shown from the experiment results that the effect of vortex control baffler depends on its installation position;with a proper installation position,the non-uniform coefficient of submarine wake would be declined by about 50%;the Reynolds number of submarine model has an influence on the effect of vortex control baffler too,and the higher the Reynolds number is,the better the effect of the vortex control baffler is. 相似文献
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AbstractWith the continuous expansion of energy demand, the deep-water continental slope in the northern South China Sea has become one of the significant offshore oil and gas exploration regions. The frequent occurrence of marine geological hazards in this region, especially submarine landslides, can cause serious damage to engineering facilities. However, there have been few studies on the stability of the northern continental slope of the South China Sea; these studies mainly focused on a specific submarine slope or small-range evaluation, resulting in a lack of large-scale and quantitative understanding. Hence, considering the variation in the physical and mechanical properties of marine soils with depth, formulas for calculating the safety factor of submarine slopes by an infinite sliding model are established, and the factors affecting slope stability such as soil properties, slope gradient and horizontal seismic action are systematically investigated. Using GIS techniques, the terrain slope gradients and a historical seismic database of the northern South China Sea are obtained. Combined with soil mechanical parameters, a regional stability evaluation of the northern continental slope is carried out. Furthermore, the distribution of risk zones is given. On the whole, under strong seismic action, large-scale submarine slope instability occurs and must be highly considered when assessing risk. This achievement is of great significance to engineering sites, route selection and engineering risk assessment. 相似文献
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海底石油管线铺设后可能多会出现不同程度的损伤、变形、冲刷、偏移、悬跨等情况，这通常是铺设过程中管线受到物理、化学、机械等因素的影响造成的。为避免作业风险和海洋环境污染，需要在管线铺设后对其铺设状态进行完工后调查，以便及时了解海底管线的实际情况，并根据调查结果采取相应的维护措施。本文根据管线后调查的工作需求，从声学探测技术的工作原理出发，研究并比较分析了4种声探测技术的优势与局限性，提出在海底管道检测时将各种探测手段配合使用，使各手段“取长补短”，可有效提高探测效率。并利用工程实例验证方法的有效性与可行性；在实例验证过程中，还明确给出了相关数据的处理分析方法，得出将多种声学探测设备得到的数据进行综合分析并相互校核，可有效提高测量数据精度。结果表明应用水声探测设备开展后调查的方法同时满足准确和高效率要求，可有效支撑海底管线铺设后状态评价工作。 相似文献
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边坡稳定是淤泥质海底航道安全运营的关键问题之一。海底航道边坡失稳滑塌过程的不同阶段浅地层剖面图像声纹特征不同。采用灰度共生矩阵和小波多尺度分解方法分析了航道边坡失稳滑塌过程浅地层剖面图像纹理特征。结果表明,对比度、能量、相关度和逆差距在边坡失稳滑塌过程中具有明显的差异,分别从不同方面刻画了浅地层剖面图像声纹的清晰度、纹理粗细、主要方向和规则性,以定量的形式显示其内在异质性。能量、相关度和逆差距的水平和垂直方向变化大于对角方向,水平方向波动最明显。浅地层剖面声强时间序列和垂向空间变化序列小波多尺度分解突出了声强变化的局部细节及其在各尺度上变化的强弱分布和突变点位置,克服了常规人工识读的困难,这些声纹特征是边坡失稳滑塌预测预警的重要依据,有助于对海底航道边坡稳定性的探测。 相似文献
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FPSO单点系泊系统水下管缆众多,受环境等因素影响,管缆容易发生拉伸、扭转、弯曲和碰撞,引发干涉现象,危及工程安全.针对FPSO单点多管缆干涉风险,提出了基于模糊Petri网络的风险评估方法.首先,辨识风险因素来构建风险评估指标体系,并转化为模糊Petri网模型;其次,采用层次分析法确定风险因素的常权重,并引入模糊置信结构来提高专家主观评价的准确性;然后,将变权理论与模糊推理算法相结合来迭代求解库所可信度和状态矩阵;最后,以南海某内转塔式FPSO为例进行了风险评估.结果表明:该FPSO的风险评估等级为中等,环境与设备因素是影响管缆干涉的主要因素.通过风险排序结果对综合评估值较高的风险指标提出了风险控制措施,可有效降低管缆干涉风险发生的概率与危害. 相似文献
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基于ABAQUS的海底管道静水压溃压力的敏感性分析 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
局部屈曲压溃是海底管道发生稳定性破坏的一种形式,随着管道的刚度相对越来越柔,厚度相对越来越薄,管道发生屈曲压溃的问题也越来越突出。运用ABAQUS有限元分析软件进行管道的非线性屈曲分析,确定不同径厚比、初始椭圆度、轴向拉力和弯矩作用下的管道静水压溃压力,以分析静水压溃压力对这些因素的敏感性。 相似文献
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高分辨率声学调查结果表明,黄河水下三角洲上存在大量的不稳定地貌.总结了关于黄河水下三角洲海底土体的塌陷与滑坡2种失稳破坏的研究现状,指出目前对塌陷与滑坡机理研究的成果主要还是定性分析或推测,缺少理论计算分析和现场及室内的测试验证. 相似文献
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文中提出了一种探测潜艇的新方法,通过分析由潜艇螺旋桨产生的气泡特有的声学特征来探测潜艇。潜艇螺旋桨产生的气泡在水中会滞留比较长的时间,分布也很广泛,这给利用尾流气泡探测潜艇提供了可行性。利用此方法探测安静型潜艇具有理论和技术上的可行性。 相似文献