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61.
Yosuke Igeta Tatsuro WatanabeHaruya Yamada Katsumi TakayamaOsamu Katoh 《Continental Shelf Research》2011,31(16):1739-1749
Current observations were made from 14 July 2006 to 31 March 2007, using an acoustic Doppler current profiler mounted on the seafloor near the eastern coast of the Noto Peninsula, Japan, to investigate strong coastal currents induced by large-amplitude coastal-trapped waves (CTWs) and near-inertial fluctuations (NIFs). The CTWs were generated by the winter monsoon and the passage of a typhoon during the observation period. Two types of strong currents with velocities higher than 50 cm s-1 were observed. One type, the strong current in winter (SCW), had the coast on the left to its direction of flow. This current was observed after a strengthening of the winter monsoon in January 2007. The other type, the strong current in fall (SCF), had the coast on the right to its direction of flow and was observed after the passage of a typhoon in September 2006. The SCW was inferred to be formed mainly by low-mode CTWs without NIFs. Compared to the SCW, the SCF had a more complicated vertical structure and time variations. The SCF was inferred to be generated by low-mode CTWs strengthened by NIFs. The contributions of NIFs to the strong coastal currents became important when the wind stress direction was rotating clockwise. 相似文献
62.
Florent Brenguier Daniel Clarke Yosuke Aoki Nikolai M. Shapiro Michel Campillo Valérie Ferrazzini 《Comptes Rendus Geoscience》2011,343(8-9):633-638
In this article, we summarize some recent results of measurements of temporal changes of active volcanoes using seismic noise cross-correlations. We first present a novel approach to estimate volcano interior temporal seismic velocity changes. The proposed method allows to measure very small velocity changes (≈ 0.1%) with a time resolution as small as one day. The application of that method to Piton de la Fournaise Volcano (La Réunion Island) shows velocity decreases preceding eruptions. Moreover, velocity changes from noise cross-correlations over 10 years allow to detect transient velocity changes that could be due to long-lasting intrusions of magma without eruptive activity or to pressure buildup associated to the replenishing of the magma reservoir. We also present preliminary results of noise cross-correlation waveform perturbation associated with the occurrence of dike injection and volcanic eruption. We show that such an analysis leads us to locate the areas of dike injection and eruptive fissures at Piton de la Fournaise Volcano. These recent results suggest that monitoring volcanoes using seismic noise correlations should improve our ability to forecast eruptions, their intensity and thus potential environmental impact. 相似文献
63.
Monitoring using a thermistor array and an acoustic Doppler current profiler was carried out in the outer part of Tokyo Bay
from May 20 to November 30, 2006. Current fluctuations with tidal periods were amplified during the maximum temperature period
in early September. The strong current interfered with fishing operations using set nets. Although the current fluctuation
was speculated to be baroclinic motion from a phase relationship among fluctuations of temperature, current and sea level,
empirical orthogonal function analysis showed the dominance of a barotropic structure. Such a discrepancy in the current structure
was explained by an internal tide propagating along a deep canyon in the outer part of Tokyo Bay. Furthermore, amplification
of the semidiurnal internal tide and the warming of the temperature field were found to be induced by the intrusion of Kuroshio
warm water. The amplification mechanism was examined using a two-dimensional model with idealized topography. It was concluded
that the large amplitude of the semidiurnal internal tide is resonantly generated in the deep canyon in the outer Tokyo Bay
when stratification becomes strong and the period of the internal seiche approaches the semidiurnal period. 相似文献
64.
Weili Duan Bin He Kaoru Takara Pingping Luo Daniel Nover Yosuke Yamashiki Wenrui Huang 《Natural Hazards》2014,73(3):1255-1267
During July 11–14, 2012, deadly floods and landslides triggered by a series of unprecedented heavy rains hit Kyushu, Japan, causing at least 32 deaths and around 400,000 evacuations. We focus on synoptic anomalies identified after inspecting rainfall patterns and documenting the conditions associated with this tragic event using data combined from the Global Rainfall Map in Near Real Time data, the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis dataset, and the global forecast system. Rainfall maps indicated that there were many heavy rains in Kyushu in these days and this disaster was associated with the pattern of forecasts and standardized anomalies. A weather trough with positive height anomalies appeared, the center of which moved to the north of Japan over this period, which might cause wind anomalies and whereby lots of water vapor were transported to Kyushu area with up to 90 m s?1, and high values of precipitable water formed with up to 60 mm. These results suggest that a larger-scale pattern is conducive for heavy rainfall and the anomalies put the pattern in context as to the potential for an extreme rainfall event, which can provide insights and methods for predicting extreme events’ or something similar. 相似文献
65.
The purpose of the present paper is to clarify the effects of permeability and initial heterogeneity on the strain localization of fluid‐saturated cohesive soil modelled by a strain gradient‐dependent poro‐viscoplastic constitutive model. The effects of permeability and gradient parameters on the growth rate of the fluctuation were obtained by a linear instability analysis. Deformation behaviour of clay specimens modelled as a viscoplastic model with a second order strain gradient during shear was numerically analysed by a soil–water coupled FEM under both globally undrained and partially drained conditions. It was found that the deformation pattern and the stress–strain curve greatly depend on the permeability, the drainage conditions and the initial non‐homogeneous properties. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
66.
Chi-Wen Chen Hongey Chen Lun-Wei Wei Guan-Wei Lin Tomoyuki Iida Ryuji Yamada 《Landslides》2017,14(5):1793-1801
This study analyzed 267 landslide landforms (LLs) in the Kumamoto area of Japan from the database of about 0.4 million LLs for the whole of Japan identified from aerial photos by the National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience of Japan (NIED). Each LL in the inventory is composed of a scarp and a moving mass. Since landslides are prone to reactivation, it is important to evaluate the sliding-recurrence susceptibility of LLs. One possible approach to evaluate the susceptibility of LLs is slope stability analysis. A previous study found a good correlation (R 2 = 0.99) between the safety factor (F s ) and slope angle (α) of F s = 17.3α ?0.843. We applied the equation to the analysis of F s for 267 LLs in the area affected by the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake (M j = 7.3). The F s was calculated for the following three cases of failure: scarps only, moving mass only, and scarps and moving mass together. Verification with the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake event shows that the most appropriate method for the evaluation of LLs is to consider the failure of scarps and moving mass together. In addition, by analyzing the relationship between the factors of slope of entire landslide and slope of scarp for LLs and comparing the results with the Aso-ohashi landslide, the largest landslide caused by the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake, we also found that morphometric analysis of LLs is useful for forecasting the travel distance of future landslides. 相似文献
67.
68.
Masahiro Sugiyama Yosuke Arino Takanobu Kosugi Atsushi Kurosawa Shingo Watanabe 《Climate Policy》2018,18(6):681-689
Climate engineering has received increasing attention, but its discussion has remained on the sidelines of mainstream climate policy. The policy relevance of this previously exotic option is poised to rise because of the gap between the temperature goals of the Paris Agreement and slow global mitigation efforts. It is therefore crucial to understand the risks and benefits of the proposed schemes, and the social implications of policy choices. Assessment of the risks and benefits of solar geoengineering strongly depends on scenarios, but previous scenarios have not reflected the full range of social choices. In light of concerns over risks, a newer set of scenarios is desirable, which represents both uncertainties and social choices more fully. Borrowing and extending lessons from recent literature on the new community climate scenario process, we envision a possible scenario-building process that combines interdisciplinary scholarship with the involvement of stakeholders and citizens. The resultant scenarios would better characterize uncertainties of, and policy choices for, solar geoengineering, and foster critical appraisal of its risks and benefits. Such societal choices might include not only total ban and large-scale deployment, but also limited deployment, which has received less attention in the scenario literature. The interaction between scenario and governance research would be able to highlight the central issues at stake, including ethical, social, and political dimensions.
Key policy insights
A more comprehensive assessment of solar geoengineering is necessary to evaluate its risks and benefits, necessitating new scenario research
It is crucial to reflect the full span of policy choices and uncertainties with interdisciplinary collaboration in such scenarios
Such societal choices might include not only total ban and large-scale deployment, but also limited deployment, which has received less attention in the scenario literature
Participatory scenario research would enable incorporating the concerns and opinions of stakeholders and citizens in scenario creation
69.
Toyoda Takahiro Fujii Yosuke Kuragano Tsurane Kosugi Naohiro Sasano Daisuke Kamachi Masafumi Ishikawa Yoichi Masuda Shuhei Sato Kanako Awaji Toshiyuki Hernandez Fabrice Ferry Nicolas Guinehut Stéphanie Martin Matthew Andrew Peterson K. Good Simon A. Valdivieso Maria Haines Keith Storto Andrea Masina Simona Köhl Armin Yin Yonghong Shi Li Alves Oscar Smith Gregory Chang You-Soon Vernieres Guillaume Wang Xiaochun Forget Gael Heimbach Patrick Wang Ou Fukumori Ichiro Lee Tong Zuo Hao Balmaseda Magdalena 《Climate Dynamics》2017,49(3):891-907
Climate Dynamics - The interannual-decadal variability of the wintertime mixed layer depths (MLDs) over the North Pacific is investigated from an empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis of an... 相似文献
70.
Takahiro Iida Sei-Ichi Saitoh 《Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography》2007,54(23-26):2657
Seasonal and interannual variability of surface chlorophyll concentration in the Bering Sea was examined using Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis of data obtained by the Sea-viewing Wide Field-of-view Sensor (SeaWiFS) from 1998 to 2002. The analysis of normalized monthly fields (removing temporal and spatial monthly means) shows that different temporal and spatial patterns are evident in the eastern and western Bering Sea during the spring bloom period. The first EOF mode explains 30% of the variability and shows how the eastern shelf break region and the western Bering Sea are out of phase during the spring bloom. The second EOF mode (17.6%) indicates a pattern involving the eastern shelf break region and the Kamchatka Basin. This strong east–west signal is linked by both surface winds and light. EOF modes of wind-speed anomalies, derived from Special Sensor Microwave Imager (SSM/I), and photosynthetically active radiance (PAR) from SeaWiFS, show a similar dipole feature where the east–west pattern is related to the position and strength of the Aleutian Low pressure system. In years when the Aleutian Low shifts from west to east, weaker wind stress facilitates the development of stratification resulting in a strong spring bloom in the western Bering Sea. The variability of spring chlorophyll has a strong connection with variability in atmospheric forcing in the Bering Sea. 相似文献