Interannual-decadal variability of wintertime mixed layer depths in the North Pacific detected by an ensemble of ocean syntheses     

Toyoda  Takahiro  Fujii  Yosuke  Kuragano  Tsurane  Kosugi  Naohiro  Sasano  Daisuke  Kamachi  Masafumi  Ishikawa  Yoichi  Masuda  Shuhei  Sato  Kanako  Awaji  Toshiyuki  Hernandez  Fabrice  Ferry  Nicolas  Guinehut  Stéphanie  Martin  Matthew  Andrew Peterson  K.  Good  Simon A.  Valdivieso  Maria  Haines  Keith  Storto  Andrea  Masina  Simona  Köhl  Armin  Yin  Yonghong  Shi  Li  Alves  Oscar  Smith  Gregory  Chang  You-Soon  Vernieres  Guillaume  Wang  Xiaochun  Forget  Gael  Heimbach  Patrick  Wang  Ou  Fukumori  Ichiro  Lee  Tong  Zuo  Hao  Balmaseda  Magdalena 《Climate Dynamics》2017,49(3):891-907

Climate Dynamics - The interannual-decadal variability of the wintertime mixed layer depths (MLDs) over the North Pacific is investigated from an empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis of an...  相似文献   

Consistency and fidelity of Indonesian-throughflow total volume transport estimated by 14 ocean data assimilation products     

Tong Lee  Toshiyuki Awaji  Magdalena Balmaseda  Nicolas Ferry  Yosuke Fujii  Ichiro Fukumori  Benjamin Giese  Patrick Heimbach  Armin Köhl  Simona Masina  Elisabeth Remy  Anthony Rosati  Michael Schodlok  Detlef Stammer  Anthony Weaver 《Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans》2010

Monthly averaged total volume transport of the Indonesian throughflow (ITF) estimated by 14 global ocean data assimilation (ODA) products that are decade to multi-decade long are compared among themselves and with observations from the INSTANT Program (2004–2006). The main goals of the comparisons are to examine the consistency and evaluate the skill of different ODA products in simulating ITF transport. The ensemble averaged, time-mean value of ODA estimates is 13.6 Sv (1 Sv = 10⁶ m³/s) for the common 1993–2001 period and 13.9 Sv for the 2004–2006 INSTANT Program period. These values are close to the 15-Sv estimate derived from INSTANT observations. All but one ODA time-mean estimate fall within the range of uncertainty of the INSTANT estimate. In terms of temporal variability, the scatter among different ODA estimates averaged over time is 1.7 Sv, which is substantially smaller than the magnitude of the temporal variability simulated by the ODA systems. Therefore, the overall “signal-to-noise” ratio for the ensemble estimates is larger than one. The best consistency among the products occurs on seasonal-to-interannual time scales, with generally stronger (weaker) ITF during boreal summer (winter) and during La Nina (El Nino) events. The scatter among different products for seasonal-to-interannual time scales is approximately 1 Sv. Despite the good consistency, systematic difference is found between most ODA products and the INSTANT observations. All but the highest-resolution (18 km) ODA product show a dominant annual cycle while the INSTANT estimate and the 18-km product exhibit a strong semi-annual signal. The coarse resolution is an important factor that limits the level of agreement between ODA and INSTANT estimates. Decadal signals with periods of 10–15 years are seen. The most conspicuous and consistent decadal change is a relatively sharp increase in ITF transport during 1993–2000 associated with the strengthening tropical Pacific trade wind. Most products do not show a weakening ITF after the mid-1970s’ associated with the weakened Pacific trade wind. The scatter of ODA estimates is smaller after than before 1980, reflecting the impact of the enhanced observations after the 1980s. To assess the representativeness of using the average over a three-year period (e.g., the span of the INSTANT Program) to describe longer-term mean, we investigate the temporal variations of the three-year low-pass ODA estimates. The average variation is about 3.6 Sv, which is largely due to the increase of ITF transport from 1993 to 2000. However, the three-year average during the 2004–2006 INSTANT Program period is within 0.5 Sv of the long-term mean for the past few decades.  相似文献