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991.
李亮  杜修力 《岩土力学》2014,35(6):1768-1774
饱和两相介质波动问题的时域显式有限元方法具有条件稳定性。这类方法的稳定性可通过方法中动力反应时域递推计算格式传递矩阵传递因子的数值进行评估,传递因子的数值越小,方法的稳定性越好。针对饱和两相介质波动问题的两种时域显式有限元方法,基于其动力反应时域递推计算格式的传递矩阵的性质,在两相介质体系物理参数取值不同的条件下,对两种方法稳定性性质的差异进行了对比研究。结果表明:渗透系数的取值对两种时域显式有限元方法稳定性性质的差异具有较为显著的影响。当渗透系数取值较大时,两种方法的稳定性性质没有明显的差异;当渗透系数的取值较小时,两种方法的稳定性性质将表现出明显的差异,方法1的稳定性要优于方法2。  相似文献   
992.
Evaluating the role of fluvial transfer of terrestrial organic carbon (OC) and subsequent burial in the global carbon cycle requires the sources and fluxes of fluvial OC to be assessed, which remains poorly constrained in the Huanghe (Yellow River). Here, we report the elemental, stable isotopic, and radiocarbon activity of particulate organic carbon (POC) sampled at the outlet of Huanghe in 2012–2013. We show that the Huanghe riverine POC can be explained by binary mixing of fossil (POCfossil) and non‐fossil (POCnon‐fossil) components, the former may reach ~40% of the total POC. The Huanghe POCnon‐fossil is mostly sourced from C3 plants, with a mean residence time of c. 2200 years. The current human‐controlled hydrological regime strongly influenced the POC sources, transport modes, and fluxes. In 2012–2013, the Huanghe delivered 0.73 Tg (1 Tg = 1012 g) of POC to the sea, and about 28% of the annual POC flux occurred within a short human induced flood event. Globally, the Huanghe should be one of the largest rivers in the transfer and re‐burial of fossil OC. However, the fate of Huanghe fossil OC is still unconstrained and needs to be further investigated. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   
993.
This study revises Weare’s latent heat parameterization scheme and conducts an associated theoretic analysis. The revised Weare’s scheme is found to present potentially better results than Zebiak’s scheme. The Zebiak-Cane coupled ocean-atmosphere model, initialized by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction and the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) reanalysis of wind stress anomaly at 925 hPa, is referred to as the ZCW coupled model. The atmosphere models of the ZCW coupled model that use Zebiak’s scheme and the revised Weare’s scheme are referred to as the ZCW0 and ZCWN atmosphere models, respectively. The coupled ocean-atmosphere models that use Zebiak’s scheme and the revised Weare’s scheme are referred to as the ZCW0and ZCWN coupled models, respectively. The simulations between the ZCW0 and ZCWN atmosphere models and between the ZCW0 and ZCWN coupled models are analyzed. The results include: (1) The evolution of heat, meridional wind and divergence anomalies simulated by similar ZCW0 and ZCWN atmosphere models, although the magnitudes of the former are larger than those of the latter; (2) The prediction skill of the Ni?o3 index from 1982 to 1999 by the ZCWN coupled model shows improvement compared with those by the ZCW0 coupled model; (3) The analysis of El Ni?o events in 1982/1983, 1986/1987, and 1997/1998 and La Ni?a events in 1984/1985, 1988/1989, and 1998/2000 suggests that the ZCWN coupled model is better than the ZCW0 coupled model in predicting warm event evolution and cold event generation. The results also show the disadvantage of the ZCWN coupled model for predicting El Ni?o  相似文献   
994.
用GRAPES模式输出变量因子作广东沿海海雾预报   总被引:2,自引:2,他引:0  
通过分析5年(2004—2008年)NCEP的1°×1°再分析气象资料,结合2004—2008年的台站观测资料和2006—2008年海雾野外试验的观测资料建立预报变量因子,利用GRAPES模式得到并输出变量因子。结合NCEP资料分析海雾出现的各种判据和条件,选取湛江、珠海、汕头3站为代表,建立了广东沿海自西向东各地区的海雾MOS判别预报方法,实现了24h的海雾判别预报。对2008年3月湛江和汕头、4月珠海的预报检验表明,该海雾MOS判别预报方法对广东沿海海雾具有一定的预报能力,预报准确率为84%~90%,Ts评分为0.40~0.53,Hss评分为0.52~0.56。  相似文献   
995.
利用激光雨滴谱仪检验消(减)雨作业效果   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
为了有效地检验人工影响效果,设计了地面火箭和飞机催化作业方案,分析了2009年秋季的雨滴谱观测资料。计算了火箭作业点相对于激光雨滴谱仪的距离和方位,为了便于实际作业指挥中的灵活应用,将结果标注在多普勒雷达的地图上。分析了10次降水过程共5338min的雨滴浓度资料。结果显示,秋季积层混合云的雨滴浓度小于500个的占87.6%,而大于3000个的浓度出现几率很低,不同过程雨滴浓度分布有明显差别;2009年10月16日降水过程出现最大雨滴浓度6003个,部分原因可能与火箭消减雨催化作业有关。  相似文献   
996.
A land-surface model (LSM) is coupled with a large-eddy simulation (LES) model to investigate the vegetation-atmosphere exchange of heat, water vapour, and carbon dioxide (CO2) in heterogeneous landscapes. The dissimilarity of scalar transport in the lower convective boundary layer is quantified in several ways: eddy diffusivity, spatial structure of the scalar fields, and spatial and temporal variations in the surface fluxes of these scalars. The results show that eddy diffusivities differ among the three scalars, by up to 10–12%, in the surface layer; the difference is partly attributed to the influence of top-down diffusion. The turbulence-organized structures of CO2 bear more resemblance to those of water vapour than those of the potential temperature. The surface fluxes when coupled with the flow aloft show large spatial variations even with perfectly homogeneous surface conditions and constant solar radiation forcing across the horizontal simulation domain. In general, the surface sensible heat flux shows the greatest spatial and temporal variations, and the CO2 flux the least. Furthermore, our results show that the one-dimensional land-surface model scheme underestimates the surface heat flux by 3–8% and overestimates the water vapour and CO2 fluxes by 2–8% and 1–9%, respectively, as compared to the flux simulated with the coupled LES-LSM.  相似文献   
997.
The computational cost required by the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) is much larger than that of some simpler assimilation schemes, such as Optimal Interpolation (OI) or three-dimension variational assimilation (3DVAR). Ensemble optimal interpolation (EnOI), a crudely simplified implementation of EnKF, is sometimes used as a substitute in some oceanic applications and requires much less computational time than EnKF. In this paper, to compromise between computational cost and dynamic covariance, we use the idea of ``dressing' a small size dynamical ensemble with a larger number of static ensembles in order to form an approximate dynamic covariance. The term ``dressing' means that a dynamical ensemble seed from model runs is perturbed by adding the anomalies of some static ensembles. This dressing EnKF (DrEnKF for short) scheme is tested in assimilation of real altimetry data in the Pacific using the HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM) over a four-year period. Ten dynamical ensemble seeds are each dressed by 10 static ensemble members selected from a 100-member static ensemble. Results are compared to two EnKF assimilation runs that use 10 and 100 dynamical ensemble members. Both temperature and salinity fields from the DrEnKF and the EnKF are compared to observations from Argo floats and an OI SST dataset. The results show that the DrEnKF and the 100-member EnKF yield similar root mean square errors (RMSE) at every model level. Error covariance matrices from the DrEnKF and the 100-member EnKF are also compared and show good agreement.  相似文献   
998.
利用NCAR的CCSM 2(community climate system model)气候系统模式分析研究插值方案对系统积分稳定性的影响。理想试验结果表明守恒插值的稳定性要好于双线性插值。但在数值试验中,由于海—气之间复杂的相互作用,使得采用两种不同插值方案计算得到的海—气界面通量的差异远小于理想试验。长期数值积分试验表明,采用守恒插值方案仅在模式系统积分的初期阶段有利于保持物理量守恒,对于模式系统的长期积分稳定性的影响,两种方案基本相同。  相似文献   
999.
基于中国科学院大气物理所大气环流模式IAP AGCM4.0总共30年(1979~2008年)的AMIP(大气环流模式比较计划)数值模拟试验结果,评估了模式对东亚高空副热带西风急流的模拟能力,分析了模式模拟偏差的可能原因,以及不同对流参数化方案对模拟结果的影响。结果表明,IAP AGCM4.0可以较好地模拟出东亚高空副热带西风急流冬季和夏季的空间结构及其季节变化特征;与JRA-25再分析资料相比,模式模拟的急流强度总体偏弱;就急流位置而言,模式模拟的急流位置冬季略偏南,夏季则相对偏北;模式可以较好地模拟出夏季西风急流的季节内演变特征,包括夏季西风急流位置逐月北跳的特征,只是模式模拟的逐月西风急流位置仍偏北。夏季200 h Pa纬向风EOF分解结果表明,模式模拟和再分析资料的EOF第一模态空间型态较为接近,均反映了西风急流的年际变化特征,但两者的时间系数相关较小,表明模式对西风急流南北位置年际变化的模拟偏差较大。针对模式模拟的地表感热通量及对流层中上层经向温度差(MTD)的分析结果表明,模式对阿拉伯半岛东南部、阿拉伯海西北部及印度北部的地表感热通量的模拟存在偏差,影响到对流层中高层温度场、高度场的模拟,使得IAP AGCM4.0模拟的MTD强度较再分析资料相对偏弱,MTD变化最大的区域位置相对偏北,且模式模拟的MTD年际变化与再分析资料相比也有较大偏差,从而造成模式对西风急流模拟的偏差。此外,不同积云对流参数化方案也可影响对流层中上层经向温度差的模拟,进而影响模式对东亚高空副热带西风急流的模拟。  相似文献   
1000.
利用2006年南京地区边界层外场观测资料对摩擦速度(u*)和摩擦温度(θ*)的几种计算方案进行了比较.u*计算方案的比较结果表明:在不稳定条件下,Pleim方案计算结果同实测值相比,二者在量值及变化趋势上都有较好的一致性;而在稳定条件下,计算结果较差,为此本文给出了一个新的计算方案,结果表明,改进方案有效的提高了u*计算精度,平均相对误差由56%降低到21%.θ*计算方案的比较结果表明:基于动力粗糙度和热力粗糙度相等的Lee方案计算误差较大,而引入阻尼项的Wesely方案计算结果较前者有明显改进.  相似文献   
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