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21.
2008年古田4.1、4.6级地震强震动观测记录   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
张锦福  蔡辉腾 《华南地震》2009,29(3):111-116
水口水电站重力坝强震反应台阵在古田ML4.1、ML4.6地震中获得了强震资料,通过对观测资料初步分析,得到以下认识:如果仅用基岩自由场顺河向振动的峰值加速度进行估算.该大坝遭受的地震强度达到Ⅵ度。这与通过现场灾害评估得出大坝位于V度区外的结论相悖:坝底和基岩自由场竖直向和顺河向振动情况一致,但幅度存在差异;对于坝体的峰值加速度,相比较于坝底,坝中部三方向均有不同程度的放大,坝顶三方向均有不同程度的缩小:从坝底至坝顶。峰值加速度出现滞后现象,但并不明显,说明坝体刚性较大。此次地震中坝体主要呈整体振动特性。  相似文献   
22.
基于华东地区测震台网记录,采用CAP方法反演2018-04-06无为ML4.1地震的震源机制解和震源深度,利用双差定位方法对2016年以来无为地区发生的地震进行重新定位。结果显示, 地震的震源机制解为:节面I,走向120°,倾角57°,滑动角27°;节面Ⅱ,走向15°,倾角68°,滑动角144°;震源深度为12 km。双差定位结果显示,2016年以来无为地区发生的地震位于无为盆地西南边界,沿SE向分布,震中由NW向SE迁移。根据震源机制解和精定位结果推测,无为ML4.1地震的断层面解为节面I,地震可能是在区域背景应力场作用下由无为盆地西南边界底部的SE向断裂运动引起的。  相似文献   
23.
利用区域气候模式RegCM4.5,分别选取不同陆面参数化方案和空间分辨率,对5个长江流域降水异常年份进行短期气候回报试验,分析对气温和降水预测效果的影响及其最优组合。结果表明:空间分辨率的提高可以改善流域降水和气温的预测性能;而不同陆面方案引起的地表净辐射能量分布不同及其地表蒸散差异,最终导致流域内气温和降水预测效果不一致。RegCM(CLM4.5+30 km)对流域内小雨预测结果最好,而RegCM(BATS+30 km)预测流域内大雨和暴雨效果最优;RegCM(CLM3.5+30 km)对流域内气温预测能力最好。  相似文献   
24.
A single-column model (SCM) is developed in the regional climate model RegCM4. The evolution of a dry convection boundary layer (DCBL) is used to evaluate this SCM. Moreover, four planetary boundary layer (PBL) schemes, namely the Holtslag-Boville scheme (HB), Yonsei University scheme (YSU), and two University of Washington schemes (UW01, Grenier-Bretherton-McCaa scheme and UW09, Bretherton-Park scheme), are compared by using the SCM approach. A large-eddy simulation (LES) of the DCBL is performed as a benchmark to examine how well a PBL parameterization scheme reproduces the LES results, and several diagnostic outputs are compared to evaluate the schemes. The results show that the SCM is proper constructed. In general, with the DCBL case, the YSU scheme performs best for reproducing the LES results, which include well-mixed features and vertical sensible heat fluxes; the simulated wind speed, turbulent kinetic energy, entrainment flux, and height of the entrainment zone are all underestimated in the UW09; the UW01 has all those biases of the UW09 but larger, and the simulated potential temperature is not well mixed; the HB is the least skillful scheme, by which the PBL height, entrainment flux, height of the entrainment zone, and the vertical gradients within the mixed layer are all overestimated, and a inversion layer near the top of the surface layer is wrongly simulated.Although more cases and further testing are required, these simulations show encouraging results towards the use of this SCM framework for evaluating the simulated physical processes by the RegCM4.  相似文献   
25.
In this research the dynamic downscaling method by Regional Climate Model (RegCM4.5) was used to assess the performance and sensitivity of seasonal simulated North and West of Iran (NI&WI) climate factors to different convection schemes, and transforms the large-scale simulated climate variables into land surface states over the North of Iran (NI) and West of Iran (WI). A 30-year (1986–2015) numerical integration simulation of climate over NI&WI was conducted using the regional climate model RegCM4.5 nested in one-way ERA-Interim reanalysis data. The Grell, Kuo and MIT-Emanuel cumulus convection with Holtslag and University of Washington (UW) planetary boundary layer (PBL) parameterization schemes were applied in the running of RegCM4.5 to test their capability in simulating precipitation and temperature in winter-spring (January–April) over NI and WI. The results demonstrated that the RegCM4.5 model has a good potential for simulating the variables and trend of surface temperature over the NI and WI region. Magnitude of the model bias for land surface temperature over different regions of Iran varies by convection parameterization schemes. In most cases, the root mean square error between post-processed simulated seasonal average temperature and observation value was less than 1 °C, but there is a systematic “cold bias”. In general, with respect to land surface temperature simulations, a better performance is obtained when using post-processing model’s data with Holtslag PBL-Grell and Holtslag PBL-Kuo configuration schemes, compared to the other simulations, over the NI&WI region. Also, the UW PBL convection schemes show a relatively excellent spatial correlations and normalized standard deviations closer to 1 for thirty-year seasonal land surface temperature anomalies over the entire NI&WI region. However, the simulation accuracy of model for precipitation is not as optimal as for temperature. The dominant feature in model simulations is a dry bias with the largest average value (∼1.04 mm/day) over NI region, while the lowest mean bias precipitation (∼−0.47 mm/day), mainly located in WI region. In the comparison of six configuration convection schemes, the Emanuel scheme has been proven to be the most accurate for simulating winter-spring seasonal mean precipitation over NI&WI region. The accuracy of the scheme also showed great difference in simulated station interpolation of precipitation, which urges the improvement for the simulation capability of spatial distribution of precipitation. In general, for seasonal variation of precipitation, the Emanuel convection with two (Holtslag, UW) PBL configuration schemes outperforms with a good correlation score between 0.7−0.8 and normalized standard deviations closer to 1.  相似文献   
26.
Climate modeling studies in the context of Indian summer monsoon (ISM) variability have usually been performed on the seasonal and interannual timescales. The present study assesses the fidelity of the Regional Climate Model (RegCM v4.6) in capturing the subseasonal active and break spells along with the seasonal mean rainfall during the ISM season. The model fields are obtained from 24 years (1982–2005) of simulation and validated against the observations and latest reanalyzed ERA5 data products. Our analysis indicates that RegCM v4.6 fairly captures the large scale features of ISM and improvement in seasonal rainfall is noted as compared to its precedent RegCM v4.4. At subseasonal timescales, though the model captures the active and break spells of ISM, the length and frequency of these events seem inconsistent as compared to the observations. Occurrences of breaks and associated circulation features are mostly consistent but the active spells are significantly misconstrued in the model. The dry air intrusion from the western region and lack of monsoon low over the mainland and Bay of Bengal seem to suppress the precipitation in the model. This subseasonal bias might persist due to systematic errors linked to the lack of ocean coupling, inefficiency of land surface and cumulus parameterization schemes in the model. Overall, RegCM v4.6 offers improvements at seasonal timescale but needs further improvements to realistically represent the subseasonal variability of ISM.  相似文献   
27.
亚洲地区人为气溶胶对东亚冬季风影响的研究   总被引:6,自引:3,他引:3       下载免费PDF全文
利用耦合化学过程的区域气候模式RegCM4.0,研究亚洲地区硫酸盐、黑碳和有机碳3种人为气溶胶的直接气候效应对东亚冬季风的影响;并运用相关分析与合成分析方法,研究了东亚人为气溶胶主要分布区中人为气溶胶浓度变化对东亚冬季风的影响。结果表明:人为气溶胶对东亚热带和副热带冬季风均起增强作用;人为气溶胶使得中国南方东部地区的冬季降水减少。2000—2007年,秋、冬季东亚人为气溶胶主要分布区中,人为气溶胶总体呈现减少的趋势,分别导致了东亚冬季风建立的推迟和东亚冬季风的减弱。相关分析和合成分析也表明:在东亚人为气溶胶主要分布区中的人为气溶胶柱浓度含量增加,东亚冬季风的建立提前并且东亚冬季风加强,反之亦然。人为气溶胶引起陆地地表降温,而对海洋温度几乎没有影响,使低层海陆温差加大,从而导致低层海陆气压差加大,东亚冬季风的增强可能与此有关。  相似文献   
28.
A regional climate model (RegCM3), coupled with an online dust module, is used to simulate the spatio-temporal distribution and emission flux of dust aerosol (smaller than 20 μm in diameter) over East Asia in the period from 2000 to 2009. The model performance is firstly evaluated against available observations. Simulation results show that the model can capture the characteristics of spatio-temporal distribution of dust aerosol very well over East Asia. There always exist two extremes of dust aerosol optical depth (AOD) and column burden (CB), one is in the Taklimakan Desert of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China, and the other is in the Badain Jaran Desert of Inner Mongolian Autonomous Region, China. The maximum value of CB appears in spring, secondary maximum in winter and minimum in autumn. To the east of 110°E, dust is transported eastward from a maximum center at a height of 700 hPa over the East Asian continent. Dust emission sources are mainly located in the Taklimakan Desert, Badain Jaran Desert, North Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau and Southwest Mongolia. There is also an obvious seasonal variation of dust emission flux (EF). Annual mean dust EF is 1,015.34 mg/(m 2 ·d), of which 62.4% and 2.3% are re-deposited onto the East Asian continent through a dry and wet deposition process, respectively, and the remaining 35.3% is injected into the atmosphere or subject to long-range transport.  相似文献   
29.
以湄公河流域为研究区,采用区域气候模式RegCM3为模拟工具,以根系层土壤含水量为代表性指标,对A1B情景下未来研究区月尺度农业干旱进行了预估。基于地表能量平衡原理,系统分析了降水、蒸发、地表温度和根系层土壤含水量等农业干旱主要影响因素与区域气候模式模拟的大气环流、地表感热通量、地表潜热通量、地表净通量之间的联系和变化规律,从气陆间能量和水汽通量平衡角度,对农业干旱发生机理进行了识别。预估结果表明:从年内各月地表净通量和地表温度变化来看,未来春末(6月)和秋末(10月)湄公河流域温度增加明显,且土壤含水量减少也较为明显;同时,这两个时段蒸发旺盛和降水减少的趋势,有可能导致流域局部地区(尤其是非灌溉农业区)农业干旱的发生。  相似文献   
30.
利用耦合化学过程的区域气候模式RegCM3,模拟研究3种主要人为排放气溶胶(硫酸盐、黑碳、有机碳)对东亚区域气候的影响.计算分析近20 a来3种气溶胶的时空分布、综合辐射强迫作用及其对地面气温和降水的影响.模拟结果表明:3种气溶胶冬夏季分布有所不同,冬季气溶胶大值区主要分布在南方地区,而夏季大值区北移;气溶胶短波辐射强迫在大气层顶和地面均为负值;气溶胶的加入对东亚地区地表气温有明显影响,冬季降温中心位于四川盆地,夏季降温大值区位于华北地区.气溶胶直接气候效应使得冬季东亚大部分地区降水减少,夏季东亚地区降水与中国南方地区夏季气溶胶浓度有较好的相关关系,中国东部雨带有南移趋势.  相似文献   
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