共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 250 毫秒
1.
2.
3.
4.
采用2010—2017年南海5个浮标波高观测资料和中国气象局热带气旋最佳路径集中的热带气旋参数, 基于前馈型误差反向传播(Forward Feedback Back Propagation, FFBP)神经网络(Artificial Neural Network, ANN)方法, 分别建立了各浮标站的台风浪高快速计算模型。研究显示, 基于热带气旋中心坐标、中心最低气压、近中心最大风速、热带气旋中心与浮标之间的距离和方位4个参数建立的神经网络模型经反复训练后, 模型输出结果可以很好地拟合观测数据, 各浮标有效波高计算值与观测值的均方根误差小于0.3m, 平均相对误差为5.78%~7.23%, 相关系数大于0.9, 属高度相关。独立测试结果显示, “山竹”( 国际编号: 1822)影响期间有效波高最大值的神经网络模型预报结果与观测值基本吻合, 相对误差为-31.06%~0.98%, 但计算的最大值出现时间和观测情况不完全一致。该计算方法可应用于热带气旋影响期间的有效波高最大值计算, 因而在海洋工程领域和海洋预报领域具有应用前景。 相似文献
5.
6.
7.
使用TRMM卫星搭载的闪电成像传感器测得的1998-2005年间的闪电信息,结合热带气旋的活动特征,提出了一种识别热带气旋闪电的方法,进而分离了1998-2005年西北太平洋热带气旋的闪电信息,并在此基础上,对西北太平洋的热带气旋闪电特征进行了初步分析.结果表明:西北太平洋热带气旋的眼壁附近(距热带气旋中心约30~50km)、内雨带(热带气旋中心外约60~100km)和外雨带(热带气旋中心外约130~610km)内普遍存在闪电现象,而且各月均有发生,并以7-8月较频;我国东南沿海地区,特别是台湾岛-台湾海峡-福建沿海地区、珠江三角洲的近海海域,是最易发生热带气旋闪电的两个区域,而日本岛东南方向广阔的西北太平洋洋面上的热带气旋,则较少有闪电发生.此外,闪电与热带气旋的强度及其变化有一定的关系,利用发生在热带气旋不同区域的闪电信息可对热带气旋的强度进行估算,估算的误差与目前的业务定强误差接近. 相似文献
8.
9.
热带气旋灾害是最严重的自然灾害之一,其影响程度主要取决于气旋的中心位置和强度。提高热带气旋中心位置及强度监测水平对于改进热带气旋分析预报精度、减少热带气旋的灾害影响具有重要意义。本文以HY-2B散射计为例,分析了散射计风场散度和旋度的分布特征,发现气旋中心附近风场的散度或旋度具有显著的分布规律,由此提出了一种新的气旋中心定位方法,并与传统的直接定位法进行比较研究。在此基础上,进一步提出了热带气旋风圈大小估计的方法,用于评估气旋的强度。最后,利用台风“范斯高”和“博罗依”的遥感数据对文中的方法进行验证,结果表明,使用新方法定位的气旋中心位置与最佳路径之间的差异小于20 km,散射计17 m/s风圈大小的变化一定程度上反映了气旋的发展规律。 相似文献
10.
11.
The tremendous increase in offshore operational activities demands improved wave forecasting techniques. With the knowledge of accurate wave conditions, it is possible to carry out the marine activities such as offshore drilling, naval operations, merchant vessel routing, nearshore construction, etc. more efficiently and safely. This paper describes an artificial neural network, namely recurrent neural network with rprop update algorithm and is applied for wave forecasting. Measured ocean waves off Marmugao, west coast of India are used for this study. Here, the recurrent neural network of 3, 6 and 12 hourly wave forecasting yields the correlation coefficients of 0.95, 0.90 and 0.87, respectively. This shows that the wave forecasting using recurrent neural network yields better results than the previous neural network application. 相似文献
12.
Real-time wave forecasting using genetic programming 总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4
The forecasting of ocean waves on real-time or online basis is necessary while carrying out any operational activity in the ocean. In order to obtain forecasts that are station-specific a time-series-based approach like stochastic modeling or artificial neural network was attempted by some investigators in the past. This paper presents an application of a relatively new soft computing tool called genetic programming for this purpose. Genetic programming is an extension of genetic algorithm and it is suited to explore dependency between input and output data sets. The wave rider buoy measurements available at two locations in the Gulf of Mexico are analyzed. The forecasts of significant wave heights are made over lead times of 3, 6, 12 and 24 h. The sample size belonged to a period of 15 years and it included an extensive testing period of 5 years. The forecasts made by the approach of genetic programming indicated that it can be regarded as a promising tool for future applications to ocean predictions. 相似文献
13.
在海底沉积物声速预报中,针对传统经验公式存在预测精度差、适用范围窄、缺乏物理意义等问题,在已有BP神经网络预测的基础上,运用遗传算法优化其初始权值和阈值的方法,构建出基于含水量、孔隙度的声速预报模型。将南沙海域采集得到的海底沉积物样品分为两部分,抽取120组涵盖陆架、陆坡、海槽等地貌单元的样品作为训练数据,另外剩余6组作为测试数据。经试验对比后发现,在对本区域进行声速预报时,宜采用遗传算法优化的BP神经网络,其要优于传统的单参数、双参数回归拟合预报方法和国内外其他学者所得到的经验公式。此种预报方法具有一定的科学依据和广泛的应用前景,可在今后为建立明确、统一的声速预报模型提供参考。 相似文献
14.
Accurate and reliable eutrophication level forecasting models are necessary for characterizing complicated water quality processes in bays. In this study, the ability of coupled discrete wavelet transform (DWT) with artificial neural network (ANN) and multi linear regression (MLR) (WANN and WMLR), ANN, MLR and genetic algorithm-support vector regression (GA-SVR) models for chlorophyll-a level forecasting applications were considered. The data used to develop and validate the models were monthly chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) data recorded from January 1994 to December 2013 were obtained from the NO.36 station located in the South San Francisco bay, USA. In the proposed WANN and WMLR models, the observed time series of Chl-a were decomposed to sub time series at different scales by DWT. Afterwards, the sub time series were used as input data to the ANN and MLR systems to predict the 1 month ahead Chl-a. Also the genetic algorithm was linked to SVR models to search for the optimal SVR parameters. The relative performance of the proposed models was compared together and the results showed that the WANN models were found to provide more accurate monthly Chl-a forecasts compared to the other models. The determination coefficient was 0.87, −0.04, 0.31, −2.36 and 0.24 for the WANN, WMLR, ANN, MLR and GA-SVR models, respectively. In addition, the WANN model predicted extreme Chl-a values precisely. The results indicate that the WANN models are a promising new method for eutrophication level forecasting in bays such as those found in South San Francisco Bay. 相似文献
15.
针对传统分类方法易受到"同物异谱"和"同谱异物"影响，致使河口湿地覆盖分类精度较低的问题，提出一种基于遗传算法优化BP神经网络分类算法。以江苏省临洪河口湿地为研究区，选用哨兵Sentinel-2影像，经辐射校正、大气校正和图像裁剪等预处理后，构建基于自适应遗传算法优化的BP神经网络算法开展临洪河口湿地土地覆盖分类研究，并与传统BP神经网络、支持向量机和随机森林算法进行精度比较。研究结果表明：遗传算法优化后的BP神经网络算法开展河口湿地土地覆盖分类的总精度为96.162 7%，Kappa系数为0.952 0；与传统BP神经网络、支持向量机和随机森林分类算法的分类总精度相比，分别提高了7.359 7%、11.677 9%和6.042 4%；对应的Kappa系数也相应提高了0.090 8、0.118 0和0.074 8；有效解决了河口湿地土地覆盖分类精度低的问题。遗传算法优化后的BP神经网络可实现河口湿地土地覆盖的高精度分类，促进湿地资源的合理开发和保护，为实现海洋生态文明建设提供技术支撑。 相似文献
16.
Unlike in the open sea, the use of wind information for forecasting waves may encounter more ambiguous uncertainties in the coastal or harbor area due to the influence of complicated geometric configurations. Thus this paper attempts to forecast the waves based on learning the characteristics of observed waves, rather than the use of the wind information. This is reported in this paper by the application of the artificial neural network (ANN), in which the back-propagation algorithm is employed in the learning process for obtaining the desired results. This model evaluated the interconnection weights among multi-stations based on the previous short-term data, from which a time series of waves at a station can be generated for forecasting or data supplement based on using the neighbor stations data. Field data are used for testing the applicability of the ANN model. The results show that the ANN model performs well for both wave forecasting and data supplement when using a short-term observed wave data. 相似文献
17.
Forecast of storm surge by means of artificial neural network 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Marzenna Sztobryn 《Journal of Sea Research》2003,49(4):317
This study describes the construction and verification of a model of sea level changes during a storm surge, applying artificial neural network (ANN) methodology in hydrological forecasting in a tideless sea where the variation of water level is only wind generated. Some neural networks were tested to create the forecast model. The results of ANN were compared with observed sea-level values, and with the forecasts calculated by different routine methods. The results of verification show that the neural network methodology could be successfully applied in the routine, operational forecast service. 相似文献
18.
19.
With the support of big data and GPU acceleration training, the artificial intelligence technology with deep learning as its core is developing rapidly and has been widely used in many fields. At the same time, feature extraction operations are required by the current image-based corrosion damage detection method in the field of ships, with little effect but consuming the large amount of manpower and financial resources. Therefore, a new method for hull structural plate corrosion damage detection and recognition based on artificial intelligence using convolutional neural network is proposed. The convolutional neural network (CNN) model is trained through a large number of classified corrosion damage images to obtain a classifier model. Then the classifier model is used with overlap-scanning sliding window algorithm to recognize and position the location of corrosion damage. Finally, the damage detection pattern for hull structural plate corrosion damage as well as other types of superficial structural damage using convolutional neural network is proposed, which can accelerate the application of artificial intelligence technology into the field of naval architecture & ocean engineering. 相似文献
20.
基于BP人工神经网络的海水水质综合评价 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
为了能够客观地对海水水质进行综合评价,在分析人工神经网络概念和原理的基础上,从阈值角度出发,通过对各类海水水质污染指标浓度生成样本的方法,生成了适用于BP人工神经网络模型训练的样本,并应用基于误差反向传播原理的前向多层神经网络,建立了用于海水水质评价的BP人工神经网络模型。将该模型用于渤海湾近岸海域水环境评价,通过模型... 相似文献