一次多单体冰雹天气过程的雷达回波与闪电特征分析     

曾勇  万雪丽  李丽丽  邹书平  罗喜平杨哲 《湖北气象》2020,39(3):250-258

利用多普勒雷达资料、三维闪电监测网资料和MICAPS常规观测资料,对2017年4月5日发生在贵州中部一次多单体冰雹天气过程雷达回波演变与闪电特征进行了综合分析,结果表明:(1)在高空槽和低空切变线配合的有利天气背景下,对流单体相继在贵州西部生成并向东移动发展,造成下游大范围冰雹灾害。(2)冰雹云单体移动发展过程中表现不同的增长特性,偏北路径冰雹云单体属于"跃增型"增长,偏南路径冰雹云单体属于"递增型"增长。"递增型"雹云单体具有较长的孕育时间,其产生的冰雹直径及密度高于"跃增型"冰雹云单体。(3)地闪频次5 min变化在降雹之前出现"跃增"现象并伴随地闪峰值,地闪频次峰值时间提前于降雹时间平均为7.3 min。"跃增型"冰雹云单体与"递增型"冰雹云单体平均正闪比和负闪比相当,但"跃增型"冰雹云单体云闪比率(Z)远高于"递增型"单体,在闪电发生空间分布上没有差异性,均沿脉冲单体移动方向呈带状分布。(4)闪电发生空间分布与雹云回波移动位置基本一致,闪电逐时分布标识出冰雹云的发展移动方向,对冰雹云移动发展具有指示作用。  相似文献   

OPERATIONAL FORECAST OF RAINFALL INDUCED BY LANDFALLING TROPICAL CYCLONES ALONG GUANGDONG COAST     

李晴岚  刘炳荣  万齐林  王玉清  李广鑫  李铁键  兰红平  冯圣中  刘春霞 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2020,26(1):1-13

Following previous studies of the rainfall forecast in Shenzhen owing to landfalling tropical cyclones(TCs), a nonparametric statistical scheme based on the classification of the landfalling TCs is applied to analyze and forecast the rainfall induced by landfalling TCs in the coastal area of Guangdong province, China. All the TCs landfalling with the distance less than 700 kilometers to the 8 coastal stations in Guangdong province during 1950—2013 are categorized according to their landfalling position and intensity. The daily rainfall records of all the 8 meteorological stations are obtained and analyzed. The maximum daily rainfall and the maximum 3 days' accumulated rainfall at the 8 coastal stations induced by each category of TCs during the TC landfall period(a couple of days before and after TC landfalling time) from 1950 to 2013 are computed by the percentile estimation and illustrated by boxplots. These boxplots can be used to estimate the rainfall induced by landfalling TC of the same category in the future. The statistical boxplot scheme is further coupled with the model outputs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts(ECMWF) to predict the rainfall induced by landfalling TCs along the coastal area. The TCs landfalling in south China from 2014 to 2017 and the corresponding rainfall at the 8 stations area are used to evaluate the performance of these boxplots and coupled boxplots schemes. Results show that the statistical boxplots scheme and coupled boxplots scheme can perform better than ECMWF model in the operational rainfall forecast along the coastal area in south China.  相似文献   

沈阳市不同功能区地表土壤多环芳烃(PAHs)污染特征研究     

侯伟  刘伟  万志强  宋昀地  陈来仪  李悦  姜磊  苏丹  于海波 《气象与环境学报》2020,36(1):108-112

采用高效液相色谱法对沈阳市地表土壤中的多环芳烃（Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons,PAHs）进行了定量分析,研究了沈阳市地表土壤中PAHs在不同功能区的含量及分布特征。结果表明：从土壤PAHs总量来看,居民区最低,其次是商业区,交通干道、文教区和公园排在商业区之后,工业区的PAHs总量最多;从PAHs的空间差异来看,靠近工业区以及机动车车流量较大的地区PAHs含量较高,靠近文教区和居住区的地区PAHs含量较低;从PAHs种类来看,所有功能区样品中PAHs的组分分布状况较为一致,以四环PAHs含量最多,其次是五环PAHs和三环PAHs;参考美国EPA沉积物PAHs质量标准和治理标准,沈阳市内五区PAHs总量超过质量标准的功能区有工业区、交通干道（4个采样点,占比36.3%）、文教区（3个采样点,占比75%）和公园区（4个采样点,占比40%）,超过治理标准的功能区有工业区,公园区（1个采样点,占比10%）,文教区（1个采样点,25%）。  相似文献   

Improvement of the Surface Pressure Operator in GRAPES and Its Application in Precipitation Forecasting in South China   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

HUANG Yanyan  XUE Jishan  WAN Qilin  CHEN Zitong  DING Weiyu  ZHANG Chengzhong 《大气科学进展》2013,30(2):354-366

In this study we investigated the problems involved in assimilating surface pressure in the current global and regional assimilation and prediction system, GRAPES. A new scheme of assimilating surface pressure was proposed, including a new interpolation scheme and a refreshed background covariance. The new scheme takes account of the differences between station elevation and model topography, and it especially deals with stations located at elevations below that of the first model level. Contrast experiments were conducted using both the original and the new assimilation schemes. The influence of the new interpolation scheme and the updated background covariance were investigated. Our results show that the new interpolation scheme utilized more observations and improved the quality of the mass analysis. The background covariance was refreshed using statistics resulting from the technique proposed by Parrish and Derber in 1992. Experiments show that the updated vertical covariance may have a positive influence on the analysis at higher levels of the atmosphere when assimilating surface pressure. This influence may be more significant if the quality of the background field at high levels is poor. A series of assimilation experiments were performed to test the validity of the new scheme. The corresponding simulation experiments were conducted using the analysis of both schemes as initial conditions. The results indicated that the new scheme leads to better forecasting of sea level pressure and precipitation in South China, especially the forecast of moderate and heavy rain.  相似文献   

春季西南热低压的发生发展与结构特征   总被引：4，自引：1，他引：3  

杨静  汪超  雷云  万雪丽 《气象》2013,39(2):146-155

通过普查1997-2006年3-5月典型西南热低压天气过程,分析其气候特征,归纳热低压的生命史,将其分为4个不同的发展阶段:初生、成熟、相持和填塞.利用台站观测资料和NCEP 1°×1°及2.5°×2.5°再分析资料,对7次典型的春季西南热低压过程进行合成分析,揭示了成熟阶段和填塞阶段热低压结构特征.分析结果表明:在春季西南热低压系统控制下,气压降幅显著,气温升高、相对湿度降低,午后偏南风加大,气象要素具有明显的日变化特征;68％的热低压会给西南地区造成35℃以上的高温,32％的热低压给贵州造成高温.热低压系统为浅薄暖性低压,干区深厚,低压区为辐合区、正涡度区,以上升运动为主,并且是对流性不稳定.热低压填塞阶段,受冷空气侵入,低压北侧偏北风加大,近地层气旋的辐合增强,低压内为高能区,在冷空气的向南推进过程中,易出现强对流天气.  相似文献   

黑河干流高崖断面径流变化及其模拟   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

赵静  王旭升  乃力 《中国沙漠》2011,31(5):1337-1342

 作为张掖市甘州区与临泽县之间的黑河干流的控制断面,高崖断面径流量变化反映了甘州区地表水、地下水、灌溉用水之间的转化特征。在定性分析黑河干流高崖断面径流组成的基础上,提出了河道渗漏和地下水溢出的简化模型,利用月引水比例刻画灌溉引水量的年内变化,以莺落峡径流量和典型观测孔水位为输入,对高崖断面的月径流量进行了模拟。模型重建的1989—2006年高崖断面月径流量NSE(Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient of efficiency)系数达到0.88。所提出的方法充分考虑了河道水量适时变化条件下的河道渗漏行为以及人类活动的影响,是对高崖断面径流变化研究的一次积极探索。  相似文献   

基于产业集聚度演变的河南省承接产业转移研究   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

万三敏 《地理与地理信息科学》2011,27(5):60-63

产业集聚在四方面影响产业转移:能产生集聚经济效应,从而吸引同类企业入驻;能带动更多上下游及相关企业入驻;有利于吸引高素质务工人员,缓解产业转移中用工荒难题;能有效降低产业转移成本。运用EG指数模型对河南省农林牧渔业、采矿业、制造业、电力及能源供应业、建筑业、物流业、IT行业、金融业、房地产业九大行业2000—2009年的集聚程度进行了测量,发现3个规律:集聚度分层明显;近5年产业集聚度变化有明显规律;产业发展水平低。据此提出河南省承接产业转移的建议:1)积极采取有效措施提高制造业、IT业的集聚度,提高承接产业转移的集聚优势;2)依靠当前集聚优势,自然承接其它7个行业的转移;3)培育精品产业集聚区,进一步提高产业集聚程度;4)集约利用产业集聚区,打造完整产业链。  相似文献   

山东省前寒武纪地层形成时代—同位素地质测年的证据   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4       下载免费PDF全文

王世进  万渝生  宋志勇  杨恩秀  董春艳  王伟 《山东国土资源》2011,27(11):1-6

精确同位素地质测年结果表明,沂水岩群形成时代为2 760～2 700Ma,泰山岩群雁翎关岩组、柳杭岩组下亚组和孟家屯岩组形成时代为2 750～2 700Ma,均属新太古代早期;泰山岩群柳杭岩组上亚组、山草峪岩组形成时代为2 600～2 540Ma(被峄山岩套石英闪长岩和傲徕山岩套二长花岗岩侵入),济宁岩群岩浆锆石年龄(2 561±24)Ma,均属新太古代晚期。荆山群和粉子山群的形成时代为古元古代晚期。芝罘群碎屑锆石U-Pb年龄(1 658±32)Ma、(1 792±43)Ma,形成时代为中元古代。云台岩群花果山组碎屑锆石U-Pb年龄800～740Ma,形成时代为新元古代。  相似文献   

应用荧光显微技术判别吐哈盆地储层含油水性   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

张小青  伊海生  危国亮  万永清  黄天雪 《地球科学与环境学报》2005,27(2):56-59

通过在荧光镜下的油水特征实验，分别得出油、油包水、水包油、含油水、水的荧光特征，然后对吐哈盆地单井储层的油层、水层荧光特征反复实验，并与试油结果对比，归纳总结出了油层、水层及油水界面的识别标志。油层特征主要为荧光发光较好且均匀、大面积油包水；水层特征主要为荧光发光不均匀，可动水普遍，并出现水包油现象；油水界面特征主要为荧光从均匀发光过渡到不均匀发光，孔隙由可动油充填过渡到由可动水充填。提出了吐哈盆地储层含油规律性，从而为探井试油、油层划分提供了准确可靠的依据。  相似文献   

Stability Analysis on Speed Control System of Autonomous Underwater Vehicle   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

李晔  庞永杰  万磊  王芳  廖煜雷 《中国海洋工程》2009,23(2):345-354

The stability of the motion control system is one of the decisive factors of the control quality for Autonomous Underwater Vehicle (AUV).The divergence of control,which the unstable system may be brought about,is fatal to the operation of AUV.The stability analysis of the PD and S-surface speed controllers based on the Lyapunov' s direct method is proposed in this paper.After decoupling the six degree-of-freedom (DOF) motions of the AUV,the axial dynamic behavior is discussed and the condition is deduced,in which the parameters selection within stability domain can guarantee the system asymptotically stable.The experimental results in a tank and on the sea have successfully verified the algorithm reliability,which can be served as a good reference for analyzing other AUV nonlinear control systems.  相似文献